Thunder vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Thunder vs. Jazz NBA game on December 7, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Thunder
131
101
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 45 | 29 | 32 | 25 | 131 |
Jazz | 20 | 28 | 23 | 30 | 101 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Thunder
- Jazz
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thunder | 45 | 29 | 32 | 25 | 131 |
Jazz | 20 | 28 | 23 | 30 | 101 |
Q4 00:29 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:35 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:26 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:36 Thunder makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:43 Thunder misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:07 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:24 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Thunder turnover
- Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Cody Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot131-100
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 1131-101
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot131-98
- Branden Carlson offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot128-98
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot128-96
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot126-96
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot126-93
- Thunder turnover
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot126-91
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot125-89
- Jazz personal foul
- +1Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 1 of 1126-89
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Jazz offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot123-89
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 2120-89
- Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Cody Williams)
- Thunder violation
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder turnover
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot120-88
- Cody Williams defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
- Jazz personal foul
- Branden Carlson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Branden Carlson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot120-86
- Jazz offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Jazz personal foul
- Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot120-84
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Chris Youngblood, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng)
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot120-82
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot117-82
- Thunder personal foul
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot117-79
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1117-80
- Thunder personal foul
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Svi Mykhailiuk, Cody Williams)
- Thunder lineup change (Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Chris Youngblood, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot117-77
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot115-77
- Thunder turnover
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Jazz personal foul
- Walter Clayton Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
- Thunder turnover
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot115-75
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot115-73
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot112-73
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot109-73
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot109-71
- Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Jazz offensive rebound
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Thunder lineup change (Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot106-71
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Walter Clayton Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2104-71
- Walter Clayton Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- +2Jalen Williams makes two point jump shot104-70
- Kyle Filipowski turnover
- Kenrich Williams turnover
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot102-70
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot102-67
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot99-67
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot99-65
- Jazz turnover
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Kenrich Williams offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot95-65
- Jazz personal foul
- +1Kenrich Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 196-65
- Jazz turnover
- Kevin Love defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Taylor Hendricks offensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Jazz personal foul
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 292-65
- +1Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 293-65
- Jazz turnover
- Thunder personal foul
- Chet Holmgren turnover (offensive foul)
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
- Instant replay
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Kevin Love)
- Ajay Mitchell defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot91-65
- Thunder personal foul
- +1Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 289-64
- +1Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 289-65
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot89-63
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot87-63
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot87-60
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot85-60
- Jazz turnover
- Thunder turnover
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Jazz personal foul
- Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot83-60
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot83-58
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot81-58
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Instant replay
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- Jusuf Nurkic turnover
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Jusuf Nurkic personal foul (Loose ball)
- Thunder offensive rebound
- Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot81-56
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot79-56
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot79-54
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jusuf Nurkic misses two point jump shot
- Jazz personal foul
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot77-54
- Jaylin Williams turnover (bad pass)
- Jusuf Nurkic turnover
- Svi Mykhailiuk turnover (bad pass)
- Jazz personal foul
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot74-54
- Thunder personal foul
- Jaylin Williams turnover (offensive foul)
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Stoppage (Other)
- Jazz personal foul
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot74-51
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Jazz personal foul
- End of 1st Half.
- Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
- Jazz turnover
- Cason Wallace misses two point jump shot
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Aaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
- Jazz turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot74-48
- Jazz personal foul
- Jazz personal foul
- +1Jalen Williams makes technical free throw 1 of 171-48
- +1Jalen Williams makes technical free throw 1 of 172-48
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic, Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- Jazz turnover
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot70-48
- Jazz turnover
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Branden Carlson offensive rebound
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot68-48
- Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
- +3Taylor Hendricks makes three point jump shot66-48
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot66-45
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot63-45
- Keyonte George defensive rebound
- Branden Carlson misses three point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot63-42
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Branden Carlson personal foul
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot63-40
- Jazz personal foul
- Jazz 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- +1Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 262-37
- +1Aaron Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 263-37
- Jazz turnover
- Kevin Love offensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins)
- Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot61-37
- Jazz personal foul
- Kenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- Thunder personal foul
- Jazz violation
- +1Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 1 of 259-36
- +1Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 2 of 259-37
- Keyonte George defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Thunder turnover
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams)
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Keyonte George, Taylor Hendricks, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love)
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot59-35
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot57-35
- Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
- Jazz turnover
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot55-35
- Jazz personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
- Chet Holmgren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey)
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Walter Clayton Jr. offensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot53-35
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot53-32
- +2Walter Clayton Jr. makes two point jump shot51-32
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot51-30
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot49-30
- Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot47-30
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Chet Holmgren, Kenrich Williams, Jaylin Williams, Aaron Wiggins)
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Jazz personal foul
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot47-28
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot47-25
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Ace Bailey defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot45-25
- Jazz defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jazz turnover
- Thunder turnover
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot45-22
- Svi Mykhailiuk defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Jalen Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot45-20
- Instant replay
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Jazz lineup change (Walter Clayton Jr., Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson, Chet Holmgren, Aaron Wiggins)
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot43-20
- Keyonte George defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot43-18
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot43-16
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Thunder personal foul
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot40-16
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot37-16
- Jalen Williams offensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- +3Jazz makes three point jump shot34-16
- Jazz 60 second timeout
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Branden Carlson, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot34-13
- Branden Carlson defensive rebound
- Jazz personal foul
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins)
- Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Kevin Love, Isaiah Collier)
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot31-13
- Kenrich Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot28-13
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot25-13
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot25-11
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot22-11
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot22-9
- Jazz turnover
- Thunder lineup change (Branden Carlson, Cason Wallace, Kenrich Williams, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng)
- Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love, Isaiah Collier)
- Keyonte George defensive rebound
- Thunder misses two point jump shot
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot20-9
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Jazz misses two point jump shot
- Keyonte George defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Ousmane Dieng offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot18-9
- Jusuf Nurkic offensive rebound
- Thunder personal foul
- Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Kevin Love, Isaiah Collier)
- Jazz lineup change (Brice Sensabaugh, Keyonte George, Kevin Love, Svi Mykhailiuk, Isaiah Collier)
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +3Thunder makes three point jump shot18-7
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- Keyonte George defensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- +2Jazz makes two point jump shot15-7
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Jazz offensive rebound
- Thunder lineup change (Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Jaylin Williams)
- Jazz misses three point jump shot
- +2Thunder makes two point jump shot15-5
- Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
- Thunder misses three point jump shot
- Thunder 60 second timeout
- +2Ace Bailey makes two point driving floating jump shot13-5
- Ajay Mitchell personal foul (Ace Bailey draws the foul)
- Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
- Ajay Mitchell misses three point pullup jump shot
- +2Kyle Filipowski makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot13-3
- Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Ace Bailey misses two point pullup jump shot
- +3Ajay Mitchell makes three point running jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)13-1
- Cason Wallace defensive rebound
- Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
- +2Jalen Williams makes two point running layup (Jaylin Williams assists)10-1
- Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
- Ace Bailey turnover (lost ball) (Jalen Williams steals)
- Ace Bailey misses two point jump shot
- +3Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)8-1
- Thunder defensive rebound
- Chet Holmgren blocks Jusuf Nurkic's two point driving floating jump shot
- +2Chet Holmgren makes two point driving finger roll layup (Jalen Williams assists)5-1
- Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
- Jusuf Nurkic misses two point driving layup
- +3Jaylin Williams makes three point jump shot (Ajay Mitchell assists)3-1
- +1Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 1 of 20-1
- Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Jusuf Nurkic misses two point turnaround bank hook shot
- Cason Wallace turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Filipowski steals)
- Jusuf Nurkic turnover (double dribble)
- Cason Wallace misses two point stepback jump shot
- Jazz lineup change (Jusuf Nurkic, Kyle Filipowski, Keyonte George, Ace Bailey, Svi Mykhailiuk)
- Thunder lineup change (Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace, Chet Holmgren, Ajay Mitchell, Jaylin Williams)
- Chet Holmgren vs. Jusuf Nurkic (Jaylin Williams gains possession)
- Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Thunder vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Thunder vs. Jazz
- Date: Sunday, December 7, 2025
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Thunder favored at -11.5
- Total (Over/Under): 233.5
- Moneyline Odds: Thunder -560, Jazz +460
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Thunder: 81%
- Jazz: 19%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Thunder 121-111 Jazz.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Thunder a win probability of 81%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 19%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Thunder vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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