Mavericks vs. Thunder Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mavericks vs. Thunder NBA game on December 5, 2025 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Mavericks
111
132
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Thunder
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TEAM1234T
Mavericks
27 84 -39 39 111
Thunder
27 105 -32 32 132
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mavericks
    4%
  • Thunder
    96%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Mavericks
27 84 -39 39 111
Thunder
27 105 -32 32 132
Q4 00:20 D'Angelo Russell makes three point running jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
Q4 00:27 Thunder misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:53 Thunder makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:15 Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot
Q4 1:27 Brooks Barnhizer misses two point turnaround jump shot
Q4 1:52 Thunder makes two point jump shot (Branden Carlson assists)
Q4 2:08 D'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:21 Branden Carlson makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:46 Mavericks makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:20
    +3
    D'Angelo Russell makes three point running jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    111-132
  3. Q4 00:24
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  4. Q4 00:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 00:48
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    111-132
  6. Q4 00:53
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  7. Q4 1:15
    +3
    Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot
    100-128
  8. Q4 1:24
    D'Angelo Russell defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:27
    Brooks Barnhizer misses two point turnaround jump shot
  10. Q4 1:43
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    100-128
  11. Q4 1:43
    Thunder personal foul
  12. Q4 1:43
    +1
    Brandon Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-132
  13. Q4 1:52
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot (Branden Carlson assists)
    111-132
  14. Q4 2:08
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  15. Q4 2:08
    D'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 2:21
    +3
    Branden Carlson makes three point jump shot
    100-128
  17. Q4 2:46
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    111-132
  18. Q4 2:49
    Thunder personal foul
  19. Q4 2:59
    Thunder personal foul
  20. Q4 3:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  21. Q4 3:15
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  22. Q4 3:30
    +3
    D'Angelo Russell makes three point jump shot
    97-123
  23. Q4 3:45
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  24. Q4 3:48
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 3:54
    Brooks Barnhizer defensive rebound
  26. Q4 3:56
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  27. Q4 4:08
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  28. Q4 4:08
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  29. Q4 4:09
    Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 4:21
    Mavericks turnover
  31. Q4 4:29
    +2
    Brooks Barnhizer makes two point jump shot (Ousmane Dieng assists)
    100-128
  32. Q4 4:29
    +1
    Brooks Barnhizer makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    111-132
  33. Q4 4:29
    Mavericks personal foul
  34. Q4 4:30
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  35. Q4 4:36
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  36. Q4 4:44
    Chris Youngblood personal foul (Moussa Cisse draws the foul)
  37. Q4 4:44
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Kenrich Williams, Branden Carlson)
  38. Q4 4:53
    +2
    Branden Carlson makes two point jump shot
    100-128
  39. Q4 5:05
    Ousmane Dieng defensive rebound
  40. Q4 5:09
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  41. Q4 5:17
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  42. Q4 5:19
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 5:34
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    100-128
  44. Q4 5:51
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  45. Q4 5:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  46. Q4 5:54
    Chris Youngblood misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 6:05
    Thunder defensive rebound
  48. Q4 6:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  49. Q4 6:09
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  50. Q4 6:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  51. Q4 6:24
    Thunder personal foul
  52. Q4 6:29
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  53. Q4 6:31
    Ousmane Dieng misses two point jump shot
  54. Q4 6:52
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  55. Q4 6:55
    D'Angelo Russell misses two point floating jump shot
  56. Q4 7:13
    Mavericks personal foul
  57. Q4 7:13
    +2
    Chris Youngblood makes two point running layup (Brooks Barnhizer assists)
    111-132
  58. Q4 7:13
    +1
    Chris Youngblood makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    111-132
  59. Q4 7:16
    Brandon Williams turnover (Brooks Barnhizer steals)
  60. Q4 7:29
    Moussa Cisse defensive rebound
  61. Q4 7:32
    Ousmane Dieng misses three point jump shot
  62. Q4 7:44
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving layup
    111-132
  63. Q4 7:44
    Mavericks lineup change (Brandon Williams, D'Angelo Russell, Caleb Martin, Jaden Hardy, Moussa Cisse)
  64. Q4 7:44
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Chris Youngblood, Brooks Barnhizer, Branden Carlson)
  65. Q4 7:44
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  66. Q4 7:46
    Ryan Nembhard offensive rebound
  67. Q4 7:48
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  68. Q4 7:53
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  69. Q4 7:55
    Aaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 8:08
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  71. Q4 8:23
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  72. Q4 8:25
    Branden Carlson offensive rebound
  73. Q4 8:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  74. Q4 8:38
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  75. Q4 8:56
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  76. Q4 9:06
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  77. Q4 9:11
    Anthony Davis defensive rebound
  78. Q4 9:13
    Anthony Davis blocks Ajay Mitchell's two point driving floating jump shot
  79. Q4 9:32
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot (Ryan Nembhard assists)
    91-118
  80. Q4 9:34
    Anthony Davis misses two point tip layup
  81. Q4 9:34
    Anthony Davis misses two point tip layup
  82. Q4 9:34
    Anthony Davis offensive rebound
  83. Q4 9:34
    Anthony Davis offensive rebound
  84. Q4 9:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  85. Q4 9:34
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  86. Q4 9:38
    Naji Marshall misses two point jump shot
  87. Q4 9:51
    +2
    Kenrich Williams makes two point jump shot
    91-118
  88. Q4 10:06
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    111-132
  89. Q4 10:31
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  90. Q4 10:33
    +3
    Aaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot
    111-132
  91. Q4 10:45
    +3
    Jaden Hardy makes three point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    72-100
  92. Q4 11:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  93. Q4 11:17
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  94. Q4 11:25
    Thunder turnover
  95. Q4 11:35
    Mavericks turnover
  96. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  97. Q3 00:00
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point jump shot (Klay Thompson assists)
    72-100
  98. Q4 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  99. Q4 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Branden Carlson)
  100. Q3 00:15
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-132
  101. Q3 00:15
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  102. Q3 00:15
    Mavericks personal foul
  103. Q3 00:15
    +1
    Ajay Mitchell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-132
  104. Q3 00:25
    Chris Youngblood defensive rebound
  105. Q3 00:28
    Klay Thompson misses three point jump shot
  106. Q3 00:35
    Jaden Hardy personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  107. Q3 00:35
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-132
  108. Q3 00:35
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins, Chris Youngblood, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  109. Q3 00:35
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-132
  110. Q3 00:46
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  111. Q3 00:49
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 00:50
    Dwight Powell offensive rebound
  113. Q3 00:53
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  114. Q3 1:00
    +2
    Branden Carlson makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)
    91-118
  115. Q3 1:14
    +2
    Mavericks makes two point jump shot
    72-100
  116. Q3 1:22
    +2
    Aaron Wiggins makes two point jump shot (Kenrich Williams assists)
    72-100
  117. Q3 1:40
    Dwight Powell turnover
  118. Q3 1:40
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins, Kenrich Williams, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  119. Q3 1:56
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point jump shot
    91-118
  120. Q3 2:10
    +2
    Jaden Hardy makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  121. Q3 2:25
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot (Aaron Wiggins assists)
    111-132
  122. Q3 2:44
    +2
    Jaden Hardy makes two point pullup jump shot
    111-132
  123. Q3 2:51
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  124. Q3 2:53
    Cason Wallace misses three point jump shot
  125. Q3 2:58
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  126. Q3 3:01
    Jaden Hardy misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 3:14
    +3
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Cason Wallace assists)
    72-100
  128. Q3 3:20
    Cason Wallace defensive rebound
  129. Q3 3:23
    Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
  130. Q3 3:42
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  131. Q3 3:54
    Branden Carlson defensive rebound
  132. Q3 3:57
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  133. Q3 3:57
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-132
  134. Q3 3:57
    Thunder personal foul
  135. Q3 4:04
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  136. Q3 4:06
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  137. Q3 4:20
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  138. Q3 4:20
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    111-132
  139. Q3 4:20
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Aaron Wiggins, Branden Carlson, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  140. Q3 4:20
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Jaden Hardy)
  141. Q3 4:24
    Klay Thompson defensive rebound
  142. Q3 4:26
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 4:39
    +2
    Dwight Powell makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  144. Q3 4:46
    Brandon Williams defensive rebound
  145. Q3 4:47
    Thunder misses two point jump shot
  146. Q3 5:10
    +3
    Jaden Hardy makes three point stepback jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)
    111-132
  147. Q3 5:23
    Jaden Hardy defensive rebound
  148. Q3 5:27
    Thunder misses three point jump shot
  149. Q3 5:41
    Dwight Powell personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  150. Q3 5:46
    Thunder personal foul
  151. Q3 5:46
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  152. Q3 5:46
    +1
    Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-132
  153. Q3 5:46
    +1
    Jaden Hardy makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-132
  154. Q3 5:46
    Thunder lineup change (Ajay Mitchell, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  155. Q3 6:04
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  156. Q3 6:11
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  157. Q3 6:15
    Cooper Flagg misses three point jump shot
  158. Q3 6:27
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  159. Q3 6:27
    Mavericks lineup change (Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  160. Q3 6:32
    +3
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Chet Holmgren assists)
    55-84
  161. Q3 6:53
    Cooper Flagg offensive foul (Charge) (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
  162. Q3 6:53
    Thunder personal foul
  163. Q3 6:53
    Cooper Flagg turnover (offensive foul)
  164. Q3 6:57
    Max Christie offensive rebound
  165. Q3 6:59
    Jaden Hardy misses three point jump shot
  166. Q3 7:13
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  167. Q3 7:39
    +2
    Max Christie makes two point stepback jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    111-132
  168. Q3 7:57
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  169. Q3 8:00
    Jalen Williams offensive rebound
  170. Q3 8:01
    Jalen Williams misses two point jump shot
  171. Q3 8:15
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  172. Q3 8:24
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Max Christie draws the foul)
  173. Q3 8:24
    Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Jaden Hardy)
  174. Q3 8:31
    +3
    Jalen Williams makes three point jump shot
    55-84
  175. Q3 8:44
    +3
    Mavericks makes three point jump shot
    111-132
  176. Q3 8:53
    +2
    Chet Holmgren makes two point driving floating jump shot
    55-84
  177. Q3 9:11
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  178. Q3 9:13
    Mavericks misses two point jump shot
  179. Q3 9:33
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  180. Q3 9:33
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  181. Q3 9:46
    Anthony Davis turnover
  182. Q3 10:00
    +2
    Thunder makes two point jump shot
    111-132
  183. Q3 10:06
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  184. Q3 10:10
    Mavericks misses three point jump shot
  185. Q3 10:18
    Ryan Nembhard defensive rebound
  186. Q3 10:18
    Chet Holmgren misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 10:28
    +2
    Ryan Nembhard makes two point jump shot (Anthony Davis assists)
    50-68
  188. Q3 10:47
    Thunder personal foul
  189. Q3 10:48
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-66
  190. Q3 10:48
    Ryan Nembhard personal foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  191. Q3 10:48
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    111-132
  192. Q3 10:50
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  193. Q3 10:53
    Anthony Davis misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  194. Q3 11:11
    +3
    Thunder makes three point jump shot
    111-132
  195. Q3 11:19
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  196. Q3 11:22
    Cooper Flagg misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 11:44
    Mavericks defensive rebound
  198. Q3 11:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  199. Q3 11:48
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  200. Q3 12:00
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
  201. Q3 12:00
    Thunder lineup change (Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  202. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  203. Q2 00:01
    Chet Holmgren blocks Anthony Davis's two point putback layup
  204. Q2 00:01
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  205. Q2 00:01
    Anthony Davis offensive rebound
  206. Q2 00:03
    Ryan Nembhard misses two point stepback jump shot
  207. Q2 00:18
    +2
    Jalen Williams makes two point driving layup
    48-63
  208. Q2 00:28
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  209. Q2 00:29
    Chet Holmgren personal foul (Anthony Davis draws the foul)
  210. Q2 00:29
    Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  211. Q2 00:29
    Anthony Davis misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  212. Q2 00:29
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  213. Q2 00:29
    Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin)
  214. Q2 00:29
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  215. Q2 00:42
    +3
    Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    48-61
  216. Q2 00:51
    Jalen Williams defensive rebound
  217. Q2 00:53
    D'Angelo Russell misses three point jump shot
  218. Q2 1:16
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Cason Wallace)
  219. Q2 1:16
    +1
    Jaylin Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-58
  220. Q2 1:16
    Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, D'Angelo Russell, Cooper Flagg)
  221. Q2 1:16
    Jaylin Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  222. Q2 1:16
    Anthony Davis personal foul (Jaylin Williams draws the foul)
  223. Q2 1:16
    Thunder offensive rebound
  224. Q2 1:16
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  225. Q2 1:16
    Thunder personal foul
  226. Q2 1:17
    Anthony Davis misses two point driving layup
  227. Q2 1:30
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  228. Q2 1:31
    Jalen Williams misses two point driving layup
  229. Q2 1:42
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  230. Q2 1:42
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    48-57
  231. Q2 1:42
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    47-57
  232. Q2 2:04
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-57
  233. Q2 2:04
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-56
  234. Q2 2:04
    Klay Thompson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  235. Q2 2:04
    Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg, Caleb Martin)
  236. Q2 2:08
    Chet Holmgren defensive rebound
  237. Q2 2:09
    Anthony Davis misses two point jump shot
  238. Q2 2:21
    Naji Marshall shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  239. Q2 2:21
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-55
  240. Q2 2:21
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    46-54
  241. Q2 2:21
    Mavericks lineup change (Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Klay Thompson, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
  242. Q2 2:26
    Naji Marshall turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  243. Q2 2:26
    Mavericks 60 second timeout
  244. Q2 2:26
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover
  245. Q2 2:29
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Anthony Davis, Ryan Nembhard, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
  246. Q2 2:29
    Mavericks challenge timeout
  247. Q2 2:29
    Naji Marshall misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  248. Q2 2:29
    Thunder lineup change (Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Chet Holmgren, Jalen Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)
  249. Q2 2:29
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  250. Q2 2:29
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Naji Marshall draws the foul)
  251. Q2 2:29
    +1
    Naji Marshall makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-53
  252. Q2 2:29
    Mavericks offensive rebound
  253. Q2 2:29
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover
  254. Q2 2:37
    +2
    Aaron Wiggins makes two point pullup jump shot
    45-53
  255. Q2 2:49
    Aaron Wiggins defensive rebound
  256. Q2 2:52
    Brandon Williams misses three point jump shot
  257. Q2 3:12
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point pullup jump shot
    45-51
  258. Q2 3:21
    +2
    Cooper Flagg makes two point pullup jump shot (Dwight Powell assists)
    45-49
  259. Q2 3:36
    +2
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving floating jump shot
    43-49
  260. Q2 3:44
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound
  261. Q2 3:46
    Jaylin Williams personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)
  262. Q2 3:46
    +1
    Dwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    43-47
  263. Q2 3:46
    Dwight Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  264. Q2 4:00
    Naji Marshall shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)
  265. Q2 4:00
    +1
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    42-47
  266. Q2 4:00
    Thunder offensive rebound
  267. Q2 4:00
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  268. Q2 4:17
    +2
    Naji Marshall makes two point driving floating jump shot
    42-46
  269. Q2 4:27
    Brandon Williams offensive rebound
  270. Q2 4:29
    Jaylin Williams blocks Brandon Williams's two point driving layup
  271. Q2 4:43
    +3
    Cason Wallace makes three point jump shot (Jaylin Williams assists)
    40-46
  272. Q2 4:57
    Thunder defensive rebound
  273. Q2 4:57
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  274. Q2 4:57
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  275. Q2 4:57
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  276. Q2 4:57
    Thunder challenge timeout
  277. Q2 4:57
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  278. Q2 4:58
    Shai Gilgeous-Alexander blocks Cooper Flagg's two point driving bank jump shot
  279. Q2 5:12
    Cooper Flagg defensive rebound
  280. Q2 5:14
    Jaylin Williams misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 5:20
    Mavericks lineup change (Naji Marshall, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
  282. Q2 5:20
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-43
  283. Q2 5:20
    +1
    Cooper Flagg makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-43
  284. Q2 5:20
    Thunder lineup change (Ousmane Dieng, Aaron Wiggins, Jaylin Williams, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Cason Wallace)
  285. Q2 5:20
    Jaylin Williams shooting foul (Cooper Flagg draws the foul)
  286. Q2 5:25
    Max Christie defensive rebound
  287. Q2 5:28
    Jalen Williams misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 5:48
    +3
    Max Christie makes three point jump shot (Brandon Williams assists)
    38-43
  289. Q2 6:08
    +3
    Chet Holmgren makes three point jump shot (Jalen Williams assists)
    35-43
  290. Q2 6:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  291. Q2 6:16
    Mavericks lineup change (Klay Thompson, Dwight Powell, Brandon Williams, Max Christie, Cooper Flagg)
  292. Q2 6:18
    Chet Holmgren offensive rebound
  293. Q2 6:20
    Jalen Williams misses two point pullup jump shot
  294. Q2 6:27
    Jaylin Williams defensive rebound
  295. Q2 6:31
    Max Christie misses three point jump shot
  296. Q2 6:36
    Cooper Flagg offensive rebound
  297. Q2 6:37
    Klay Thompson misses two point pullup jump shot
  298. Q2 6:52
    Thunder 60 second timeout
  299. Q2 7:56
    Jalen Williams personal foul
  300. Q1 4:42
    Thunder violation
  301. Q1 9:47
    Thunder violation
Box Score
Mavericks
PosPlayerPts
Thunder
PosPlayerPts

Mavericks vs. Thunder: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mavericks vs. Thunder
  • Date: Friday, December 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Paycom Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Thunder favored at -15.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 229.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mavericks +800, Thunder -1200

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mavericks: 13%
  • Thunder: 87%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Mavericks 108-121 Thunder.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mavericks a win probability of 13%, while the Thunder have a win probability of 87%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Thunder are more likely to beat the Mavericks in the NBA game at Paycom Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mavericks vs. Thunder predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.