Pistons vs. Pacers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Pacers NBA game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Pistons
133
121
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Pacers
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
TEAM1234T
Pistons
40 41 27 25 133
Pacers
27 36 26 32 121
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pistons
    >99%
  • Pacers
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pistons
40 41 27 25 133
Pacers
27 36 26 32 121
Q4 1:23 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:36 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:04 Ronald Holland II misses three point running jump shot
Q4 11:43 Pacers makes two point jump shot
Q3 3:25 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q3 3:40 Ethan Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot
Q3 5:37 Ethan Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
Q3 8:33 Tobias Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q3 9:48 Ethan Thompson misses two point driving layup
Q3 10:26 Pacers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 1:23
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  3. Q4 1:23
    Tolu Smith offensive rebound
  4. Q4 4:36
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  5. Q4 4:47
    Kobe Brown turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  6. Q4 4:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  7. Q4 4:51
    Pistons turnover
  8. Q4 7:02
    Micah Potter personal foul (Isaac Jones draws the foul)
  9. Q4 7:04
    Ronald Holland II misses three point running jump shot
  10. Q4 9:33
    Instant replay (Request)
  11. Q4 9:33
    Vitaly Potapenko technical foul (Double)
  12. Q4 9:33
    Jim Boylen technical foul (Double)
  13. Q4 9:33
    Jalen Slawson personal foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
  14. Q4 9:33
    Pacers personal foul
  15. Q4 9:33
    Pistons personal foul
  16. Q4 9:33
    Jim Boylen technical foul (Double)
  17. Q4 9:33
    Vitaly Potapenko technical foul (Double)
  18. Q4 10:04
    Ethan Thompson turnover (lost ball) (Kevin Huerter steals)
  19. Q4 11:43
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    108-91
  20. Q4 11:47
    Daniss Jenkins turnover
  21. Q3 00:40
    Pacers personal foul
  22. Q3 00:40
    +1
    Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-107
  23. Q3 00:54
    Instant replay
  24. Q3 00:54
    Jay Huff offensive foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
  25. Q3 00:54
    Instant replay (Request: Stands)
  26. Q3 00:54
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson)
  27. Q3 00:54
    Instant replay
  28. Q3 3:21
    Obi Toppin defensive rebound
  29. Q3 3:25
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  30. Q3 3:40
    +3
    Ethan Thompson makes three point pullup jump shot
    101-78
  31. Q3 4:35
    Daniss Jenkins personal foul
  32. Q3 5:35
    Pistons defensive rebound
  33. Q3 5:37
    Ethan Thompson misses two point driving floating jump shot
  34. Q3 8:16
    Pistons personal foul
  35. Q3 8:16
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    120-107
  36. Q3 8:16
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    120-107
  37. Q3 8:27
    Pistons personal foul
  38. Q3 8:33
    +2
    Tobias Harris makes two point driving finger roll layup (Cade Cunningham assists)
    90-66
  39. Q3 9:48
    Ethan Thompson misses two point driving layup
  40. Q3 10:26
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    84-66
  41. Q3 10:31
    Pistons turnover
  42. Q3 10:44
    Pacers personal foul
  43. Q3 10:48
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  44. Q3 10:50
    Paul Reed blocks Ethan Thompson's three point jump shot
  45. Q3 10:51
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  46. Q3 10:51
    Pacers personal foul
  47. Q3 10:52
    Pacers offensive rebound
  48. Q3 10:52
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  49. Q3 11:17
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    120-107
  50. Q3 11:29
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  51. Q3 11:32
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  52. Q3 11:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  53. Q3 11:48
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  54. Q3 11:50
    Pacers personal foul
  55. Q3 11:50
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-86
  56. Q3 11:50
    Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  57. Q3 11:51
    Pacers turnover
  58. Q3 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  59. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  60. Q2 00:02
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  61. Q2 00:02
    Pistons offensive rebound
  62. Q2 00:19
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  63. Q2 00:22
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  64. Q2 00:38
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    81-63
  65. Q2 00:54
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    78-62
  66. Q2 00:54
    Pistons personal foul
  67. Q2 00:54
    +1
    Quenton Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    111-93
  68. Q2 1:09
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  69. Q2 1:09
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  70. Q2 1:10
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    111-93
  71. Q2 1:17
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  72. Q2 1:19
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  73. Q2 1:28
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    111-93
  74. Q2 1:37
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  75. Q2 1:39
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  76. Q2 1:55
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    111-93
  77. Q2 1:59
    Pacers turnover
  78. Q2 2:11
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    111-93
  79. Q2 2:29
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    111-93
  80. Q2 2:33
    Pistons turnover
  81. Q2 2:49
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    111-93
  82. Q2 2:53
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  83. Q2 2:53
    Pacers offensive rebound
  84. Q2 2:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  85. Q2 2:53
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  86. Q2 2:53
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
  87. Q2 2:53
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
  88. Q2 3:11
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    101-78
  89. Q2 3:14
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  90. Q2 3:16
    Pistons personal foul
  91. Q2 3:16
    Jalen Slawson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  92. Q2 3:16
    Pacers offensive rebound
  93. Q2 3:16
    Jalen Slawson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  94. Q2 3:16
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
  95. Q2 3:32
    +2
    Paul Reed makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
    67-55
  96. Q2 3:46
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    81-63
  97. Q2 3:51
    Pistons turnover
  98. Q2 4:09
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    81-63
  99. Q2 4:13
    Pistons turnover
  100. Q2 4:22
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    81-63
  101. Q2 4:32
    +2
    Cade Cunningham makes two point driving hook shot
    81-63
  102. Q2 4:44
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  103. Q2 4:46
    Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
  104. Q2 4:54
    +2
    Duncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Paul Reed assists)
    81-63
  105. Q2 4:58
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  106. Q2 5:01
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  107. Q2 5:08
    Pacers turnover
  108. Q2 5:17
    Pacers personal foul
  109. Q2 5:17
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-78
  110. Q2 5:17
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter)
  111. Q2 5:17
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-78
  112. Q2 5:19
    Pacers turnover
  113. Q2 5:28
    Tobias Harris offensive rebound
  114. Q2 5:28
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    101-78
  115. Q2 5:30
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  116. Q2 5:34
    Jump ball. (Cade Cunningham gains possession)
  117. Q2 5:34
    Kam Jones turnover (lost ball)
  118. Q2 5:56
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    57-47
  119. Q2 6:03
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  120. Q2 6:05
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  121. Q2 6:24
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    78-62
  122. Q2 6:40
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  123. Q2 6:40
    Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
  124. Q2 6:40
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson)
  125. Q2 6:42
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    67-55
  126. Q2 6:43
    Ethan Thompson offensive rebound
  127. Q2 6:47
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  128. Q2 6:57
    Caris LeVert turnover
  129. Q2 7:17
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    67-55
  130. Q2 7:29
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  131. Q2 7:55
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    67-55
  132. Q2 8:03
    Kobe Brown defensive rebound
  133. Q2 8:05
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  134. Q2 8:31
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  135. Q2 8:31
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  136. Q2 8:51
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  137. Q2 9:01
    Pistons personal foul
  138. Q2 9:01
    +1
    Ethan Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-55
  139. Q2 9:01
    +1
    Ethan Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-55
  140. Q2 9:01
    Pacers lineup change (Kam Jones, Micah Potter, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  141. Q2 9:04
    Pistons turnover
  142. Q2 9:14
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  143. Q2 9:18
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  144. Q2 9:24
    Pistons turnover
  145. Q2 9:35
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  146. Q2 9:38
    Micah Potter misses three point jump shot
  147. Q2 9:56
    Pacers personal foul
  148. Q2 9:56
    +1
    Kevin Huerter makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    67-55
  149. Q2 9:56
    +1
    Kevin Huerter makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    67-55
  150. Q2 9:56
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  151. Q2 10:08
    Ethan Thompson offensive rebound
  152. Q2 10:08
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  153. Q2 10:11
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  154. Q2 10:17
    Pistons personal foul
  155. Q2 10:20
    Isaiah Stewart personal foul (Jay Huff draws the foul)
  156. Q2 10:20
    Pistons personal foul
  157. Q2 10:24
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  158. Q2 10:35
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    67-55
  159. Q2 10:52
    Pistons turnover
  160. Q2 11:08
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  161. Q2 11:11
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  162. Q2 11:22
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    57-47
  163. Q2 11:48
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    46-32
  164. Q1 00:00
    Pacers personal foul
  165. Q1 00:00
    Instant replay
  166. Q1 00:00
    Caris LeVert misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  167. Q1 00:00
    Pistons offensive rebound
  168. Q1 00:00
    +1
    Caris LeVert makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-32
  169. Q1 00:00
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  170. Q1 00:00
    Pacers turnover
  171. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  172. Q1 00:05
    +3
    Quenton Jackson makes three point running jump shot (Ethan Thompson assists)
    46-32
  173. Q1 00:10
    Kobe Brown defensive rebound
  174. Q1 00:12
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  175. Q1 00:14
    Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
  176. Q1 00:18
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  177. Q1 00:34
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    40-24
  178. Q1 00:45
    Kobe Brown offensive rebound
  179. Q1 00:45
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    37-24
  180. Q1 00:47
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  181. Q1 00:53
    Jalen Slawson defensive rebound
  182. Q1 00:55
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  183. Q1 1:14
    Pistons personal foul
  184. Q1 1:14
    +1
    Jay Huff makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-21
  185. Q1 1:14
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  186. Q1 1:14
    +1
    Jay Huff makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-22
  187. Q1 1:17
    Jay Huff offensive rebound
  188. Q1 1:21
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  189. Q1 1:31
    Taelon Peter defensive rebound
  190. Q1 1:34
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  191. Q1 1:40
    Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
  192. Q1 1:43
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  193. Q1 1:45
    Kam Jones offensive rebound
  194. Q1 1:47
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  195. Q1 1:58
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  196. Q1 1:58
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    37-20
  197. Q1 2:00
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  198. Q1 2:13
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  199. Q1 2:17
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  200. Q1 2:26
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  201. Q1 2:34
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    35-20
  202. Q1 2:38
    Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
  203. Q1 2:42
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  204. Q1 2:50
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    32-20
  205. Q1 2:54
    Pacers turnover
  206. Q1 3:07
    Pacers defensive rebound
  207. Q1 3:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  208. Q1 3:07
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins, Kevin Huerter)
  209. Q1 3:09
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  210. Q1 3:22
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  211. Q1 3:25
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  212. Q1 3:36
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    30-20
  213. Q1 3:51
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    28-20
  214. Q1 4:03
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  215. Q1 4:03
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    28-17
  216. Q1 4:09
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  217. Q1 4:22
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  218. Q1 4:22
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Isaiah Stewart, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter)
  219. Q1 4:26
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    26-17
  220. Q1 4:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    26-14
  221. Q1 4:46
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  222. Q1 4:48
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  223. Q1 5:10
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    24-14
  224. Q1 5:24
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    21-14
  225. Q1 5:28
    Kam Jones misses three point jump shot
  226. Q1 5:28
    Pacers offensive rebound
  227. Q1 5:28
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  228. Q1 5:46
    Paul Reed offensive rebound
  229. Q1 5:46
    Pacers personal foul
  230. Q1 5:46
    +1
    Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    20-11
  231. Q1 5:46
    +1
    Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    21-11
  232. Q1 5:46
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Jalen Slawson, Taelon Peter)
  233. Q1 5:47
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  234. Q1 5:56
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  235. Q1 5:56
    Pistons personal foul
  236. Q1 5:56
    Kobe Brown misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  237. Q1 5:56
    Pacers offensive rebound
  238. Q1 5:56
    +1
    Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    19-10
  239. Q1 5:56
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Kam Jones, Obi Toppin, Taelon Peter, Kobe Brown)
  240. Q1 5:56
    +1
    Kobe Brown makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    19-11
  241. Q1 6:11
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    19-9
  242. Q1 6:24
    +3
    Pacers makes three point jump shot
    17-9
  243. Q1 6:34
    Pistons personal foul
  244. Q1 6:34
    Pacers lineup change (Jay Huff, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  245. Q1 6:38
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    17-6
  246. Q1 6:45
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  247. Q1 6:47
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  248. Q1 6:56
    Kobe Brown defensive rebound
  249. Q1 6:58
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  250. Q1 7:04
    Pacers turnover
  251. Q1 7:20
    Pacers personal foul
  252. Q1 7:20
    +1
    Paul Reed makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    14-6
  253. Q1 7:20
    +1
    Paul Reed makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    15-6
  254. Q1 7:20
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Obi Toppin, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  255. Q1 7:24
    Pacers turnover
  256. Q1 7:31
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    13-6
  257. Q1 7:45
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    11-6
  258. Q1 8:08
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    11-4
  259. Q1 8:21
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  260. Q1 8:23
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  261. Q1 8:42
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    9-4
  262. Q1 9:05
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    6-4
  263. Q1 9:09
    Pistons turnover
  264. Q1 9:22
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  265. Q1 9:24
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  266. Q1 9:41
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    6-2
  267. Q1 9:41
    Pacers violation
  268. Q1 9:41
    Pacers 60 second timeout
  269. Q1 9:45
    Pacers turnover
  270. Q1 9:54
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  271. Q1 9:57
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  272. Q1 10:00
    Pacers personal foul
  273. Q1 10:04
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  274. Q1 10:08
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  275. Q1 10:10
    Micah Potter offensive rebound
  276. Q1 10:14
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  277. Q1 10:18
    Pistons turnover
  278. Q1 10:25
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  279. Q1 10:30
    Pacers misses three point jump shot
  280. Q1 10:39
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    4-2
  281. Q1 10:53
    +2
    Pacers makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  282. Q1 11:07
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  283. Q1 11:15
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  284. Q1 11:17
    Pacers misses two point jump shot
  285. Q1 11:36
    Micah Potter defensive rebound
  286. Q1 11:38
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  287. Q1 11:41
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  288. Q1 11:44
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  289. Q1 12:00
    Paul Reed vs. Micah Potter (Tobias Harris gains possession)
  290. Q1 12:00
    Pacers lineup change (Micah Potter, Quenton Jackson, Jalen Slawson, Ethan Thompson, Kobe Brown)
  291. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  292. Q1 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Tobias Harris, Ausar Thompson)
Box Score
Pistons
PosPlayerPts
Pacers
PosPlayerPts

Pistons vs. Pacers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pistons vs. Pacers
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 6:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pistons favored at -15.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 231.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pistons 91¢, Pacers 9¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pistons: 88%
  • Pacers: 12%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 122-108 Pacers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 88%, while the Pacers have a win probability of 12%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Pacers in the NBA game at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pistons vs. Pacers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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