Warriors vs. Kings Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Warriors vs. Kings NBA game on April 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Warriors
118
124
Golden 1 Center
Kings
Golden 1 Center
TEAM1234T
Warriors
27 24 38 29 118
Kings
32 31 19 42 124
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Warriors
    72%
  • Kings
    28%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Warriors
27 24 38 29 118
Kings
32 31 19 42 124
Q4 7:33 Warriors misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:51 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 9:58 Kings misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:09 Warriors misses three point jump shot
Q4 10:39 Kings makes three point jump shot
Q4 11:01 Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
Q4 11:17 Warriors makes two point jump shot
Q4 11:18 Kings makes two point jump shot
Q4 11:23 Kings misses two point jump shot
Q4 11:26 Kings misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q3 Q4
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 7:30
    Devin Carter defensive rebound
  3. Q4 7:33
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 7:53
    Nique Clifford misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  5. Q4 7:53
    Kings offensive rebound
  6. Q4 7:53
    Warriors lineup change (Gary Payton II, Charles Bassey, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Brandin Podziemski)
  7. Q4 7:53
    +1
    Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-93
  8. Q4 8:56
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Gui Santos, Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis)
  9. Q4 8:56
    +1
    Stephen Curry makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    98-92
  10. Q4 9:35
    Kristaps Porzingis turnover
  11. Q4 9:48
    De'Anthony Melton personal foul
  12. Q4 9:48
    +1
    Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-93
  13. Q4 9:48
    +1
    Nique Clifford makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-93
  14. Q4 9:49
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  15. Q4 9:51
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 9:53
    Dylan Cardwell offensive rebound
  17. Q4 9:58
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 10:04
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  19. Q4 10:09
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  20. Q4 10:39
    +3
    Kings makes three point jump shot
    98-93
  21. Q4 10:50
    Kings personal foul
  22. Q4 10:50
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-93
  23. Q4 10:50
    Kings lineup change (Nique Clifford, Dylan Cardwell, Daeqwon Plowden, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
  24. Q4 10:50
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-93
  25. Q4 10:56
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  26. Q4 11:01
    Daeqwon Plowden misses three point jump shot
  27. Q4 11:03
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  28. Q4 11:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  29. Q4 11:17
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    98-93
  30. Q4 11:18
    Daeqwon Plowden offensive rebound
  31. Q4 11:18
    +2
    Kings makes two point jump shot
    98-93
  32. Q4 11:23
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 11:24
    Daeqwon Plowden offensive rebound
  34. Q4 11:26
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 11:46
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    98-93
  36. Q3 00:00
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  37. Q3 00:00
    Kings offensive rebound
  38. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  39. Q4 12:00
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Stephen Curry, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski)
  40. Q4 12:00
    Kings lineup change (Doug McDermott, Nique Clifford, Dylan Cardwell, Killian Hayes, Daeqwon Plowden)
  41. Q3 00:12
    +3
    Malevy Leons makes three point jump shot
    98-93
  42. Q3 00:25
    Malevy Leons offensive rebound
  43. Q3 00:26
    Warriors misses three point jump shot
  44. Q3 00:32
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  45. Q3 00:34
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  46. Q3 00:53
    Kings personal foul
  47. Q3 00:53
    +2
    Brandin Podziemski makes two point driving layup
    98-93
  48. Q3 00:53
    +1
    Brandin Podziemski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    98-93
  49. Q3 2:25
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  50. Q3 2:25
    Warriors personal foul
  51. Q3 2:25
    Warriors 60 second timeout
  52. Q3 2:31
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    98-93
  53. Q3 2:31
    Warriors violation
  54. Q3 2:50
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point driving floating jump shot
    98-93
  55. Q3 3:14
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    98-93
  56. Q3 3:22
    Gary Payton II defensive rebound
  57. Q3 3:26
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  58. Q3 3:38
    Dylan Cardwell defensive rebound
  59. Q3 3:40
    Kristaps Porzingis misses two point tip dunk
  60. Q3 3:40
    Maxime Raynaud defensive rebound
  61. Q3 3:41
    Warriors misses two point jump shot
  62. Q3 3:44
    De'Anthony Melton defensive rebound
  63. Q3 3:48
    Kings misses three point jump shot
  64. Q3 4:08
    +2
    Warriors makes two point jump shot
    98-93
  65. Q3 4:11
    Brandin Podziemski defensive rebound
  66. Q3 4:14
    Kings misses two point jump shot
  67. Q3 4:32
    +3
    Warriors makes three point jump shot
    72-75
  68. Q3 4:33
    Warriors personal foul
  69. Q3 4:33
    Maxime Raynaud misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  70. Q3 4:33
    Kings offensive rebound
  71. Q3 4:34
    Jump ball. (Al Horford gains possession)
  72. Q3 4:47
    Kings turnover
  73. Q3 4:47
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Al Horford, Gary Payton II, Kristaps Porzingis, Brandin Podziemski)
  74. Q3 4:58
    De'Anthony Melton misses three point jump shot
  75. Q3 4:58
    Devin Carter defensive rebound
  76. Q3 5:10
    +2
    Maxime Raynaud makes two point floating jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)
    98-92
  77. Q3 5:21
    Warriors personal foul
  78. Q3 5:35
    Stoppage (Other)
  79. Q3 5:36
    Kings lineup change (Doug McDermott, Dylan Cardwell, Killian Hayes, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
  80. Q3 6:00
    Devin Carter turnover (bad pass) (Stephen Curry steals)
  81. Q3 6:11
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point cutting layup (Draymond Green assists)
    98-93
  82. Q3 6:53
    +2
    Gary Payton II makes two point driving layup (Draymond Green assists)
    98-93
  83. Q3 7:02
    Precious Achiuwa turnover (traveling)
  84. Q3 7:09
    Draymond Green turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  85. Q3 7:31
    Gary Payton II offensive foul (Devin Carter draws the foul)
  86. Q3 7:31
    +1
    Devin Carter makes flagrant free throw 1 of 2
    72-75
  87. Q3 7:31
    Kings lineup change (Killian Hayes, Precious Achiuwa, Daeqwon Plowden, Devin Carter, Maxime Raynaud)
  88. Q3 7:59
    Daeqwon Plowden turnover (lost ball) (Gary Payton II steals)
  89. Q3 9:43
    Kristaps Porzingis defensive rebound
  90. Q3 9:44
    Warriors personal foul
  91. Q3 9:44
    Kristaps Porzingis turnover (bad pass) (Maxime Raynaud steals)
  92. Q3 9:46
    Daeqwon Plowden misses two point driving layup
  93. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  94. Q2 00:33
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Charles Bassey, Will Richard)
  95. Q2 2:33
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Charles Bassey, Will Richard)
  96. Q2 2:33
    Warriors lineup change (De'Anthony Melton, Pat Spencer, Malevy Leons, Charles Bassey, Will Richard)
  97. Q2 9:38
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  98. Q1 9:40
    Warriors turnover
  99. Q1 10:16
    Warriors personal foul
Box Score
Warriors
PosPlayerPts
Kings
PosPlayerPts

Warriors vs. Kings: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Warriors vs. Kings
  • Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Golden 1 Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Warriors favored at -10.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Warriors 82¢, Kings 18¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Warriors: 79%
  • Kings: 21%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Warriors 119-110 Kings.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Warriors a win probability of 79%, while the Kings have a win probability of 21%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Warriors are more likely to beat the Kings in the NBA game at Golden 1 Center on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Warriors vs. Kings predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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