Bucks vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Heat NBA game on March 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
Bucks
105
112
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 21 | 25 | 40 | 19 | 105 |
Heat | 31 | 16 | 47 | 18 | 112 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
- Bucks
- Heat
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 21 | 25 | 40 | 19 | 105 |
Heat | 31 | 16 | 47 | 18 | 112 |
Q4 00:11 Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:27 Heat makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:51 Giannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:02 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:23 Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup
Q4 1:33 Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:16 Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup
Q4 2:26 Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
- End of 4th Quarter.
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Bucks personal foul
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-112
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot105-111
- Bucks 60 second timeout
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, AJ Green)
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot
- Bobby Portis defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving layup105-111
- Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Jericho Sims personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-112
- Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Ryan Rollins draws the foul)
- +1Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2103-107
- +1Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-112
- Bobby Portis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-111
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-112
- Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
- +2Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup105-111
- +2Jericho Sims makes two point jump shot105-111
- Pelle Larsson shooting foul (Jericho Sims draws the foul)
- +1Jericho Sims makes regular free throw 1 of 1105-112
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot98-103
- Bucks 60 second timeout
- Bucks personal foul
- Bucks personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-112
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-112
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Bucks offensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Jericho Sims defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot105-112
- Cam Thomas personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat offensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-112
- Bucks 60 second timeout
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Cam Thomas misses three point jump shot
- Ryan Rollins offensive rebound
- Kevin Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-112
- Bobby Portis personal foul
- +1Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2105-112
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point tip layup
- Kevin Porter Jr. offensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot105-112
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
- Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point stepback jump shot
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
- Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
- Ryan Rollins offensive foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
- Ryan Rollins turnover (offensive foul)
- Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- Bam Adebayo personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)
- Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- +3Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)105-112
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
- +3Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)105-112
- Heat 60 second timeout
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point jump shot105-112
- +3Kyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)91-96
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot105-112
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
- +2Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot89-96
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- Bobby Portis personal foul
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point layup105-112
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1105-112
- Myron Gardner personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
- Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat turnover (5-second violation)
- Davion Mitchell violation
- Heat turnover
- Ryan Rollins personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)
- Ryan Rollins offensive foul (Charge) (Dru Smith draws the foul)
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
- Ryan Rollins turnover (offensive foul)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Myron Gardner turnover (bad pass) (Taurean Prince steals)
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot86-94
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot86-94
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point layup
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot86-94
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point pullup jump shot (Cam Thomas assists)86-94
- Myron Gardner personal foul (Loose ball) (AJ Green draws the foul)
- Heat offensive rebound
- Myron Gardner turnover
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Taurean Prince, Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot82-90
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- +2Dru Smith makes two point jump shot86-94
- +3Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot86-94
- +3Myron Gardner makes three point running pullup jump shot86-94
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point jump shot
- Jump ball. Bobby Portis vs. Myron Gardner (AJ Green gains possession)
- Bobby Portis defensive rebound
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
- End of 3rd Quarter.
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Taurean Prince, Bobby Portis, AJ Green)
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Ryan Rollins personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 286-94
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
- Stoppage (Court cleanup)
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2105-112
- +3Bobby Portis makes three point jump shot105-112
- +3Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)74-83
- Dru Smith offensive rebound
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- Dru Smith misses two point tip layup
- Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
- Dru Smith offensive rebound
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Taurean Prince misses two point jump shot
- +2Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)86-94
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Taurean Prince defensive rebound
- Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point pullup jump shot
- +3Taurean Prince makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)105-112
- Kel'el Ware turnover
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot86-94
- Jericho Sims defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson misses two point pullup jump shot
- +2Ryan Rollins makes two point driving floating jump shot86-94
- +2Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot86-94
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, Bobby Portis, AJ Green)
- +2Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)61-73
- Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Bobby Portis makes two point jump shot (AJ Green assists)61-73
- +3Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)86-94
- +2Bobby Portis makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jericho Sims assists)86-94
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Pelle Larsson misses two point running layup
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Bobby Portis misses three point jump shot
- +2Dru Smith makes two point layup61-72
- Kevin Porter Jr. shooting foul (Dru Smith draws the foul)
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, AJ Green)
- +1Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 186-94
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Bucks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware)
- Myles Turner defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot77-83
- Jericho Sims defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Kyle Kuzma personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr., Myles Turner, AJ Green)
- Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
- Bucks personal foul
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Kevin Porter Jr., Myles Turner)
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot77-83
- Heat turnover
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot77-83
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot77-83
- Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Myles Turner)
- +2Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot55-68
- Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- Bucks offensive rebound
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 277-83
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo turnover (lost ball)
- Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Myles Turner makes regular free throw 1 of 277-83
- +1Myles Turner makes regular free throw 2 of 277-83
- Heat turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point pullup jump shot
- Bucks 60 second timeout
- +2Davion Mitchell makes two point floating jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)52-66
- Bucks personal foul
- Kevin Porter Jr. turnover
- Kel'el Ware turnover
- Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
- Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 252-66
- Myles Turner defensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo misses two point running layup
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot61-73
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Myles Turner misses three point jump shot
- +3Davion Mitchell makes three point jump shot52-66
- Kevin Porter Jr. turnover (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
- End of 1st Half.
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng)
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot46-47
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Cam Thomas misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot46-47
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bucks defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Bucks turnover
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas)
- +2Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)46-47
- Ousmane Dieng shooting foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
- +1Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 146-47
- +3Myles Turner makes three point jump shot (Ryan Rollins assists)46-47
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Kel'el Ware misses two point turnaround hook shot
- Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
- Heat offensive rebound
- Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point driving finger roll layup
- +2Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot46-47
- +2Myles Turner makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)46-47
- Bucks personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 246-47
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 246-47
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo, Kel'el Ware)
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Ousmane Dieng, Cam Thomas)
- +3Ryan Rollins makes three point jump shot (Myles Turner assists)46-47
- Bucks personal foul
- Heat offensive rebound
- +1Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 2 of 246-47
- Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 1 of 2
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot43-46
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner, Cam Thomas)
- Heat turnover
- Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 240-46
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 241-46
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot39-46
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot37-46
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot37-43
- Bucks offensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Heat personal foul
- +1Cam Thomas makes regular free throw 1 of 235-43
- Cam Thomas misses regular free throw 2 of 2
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Myles Turner, Cam Thomas)
- Heat turnover
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Kevin Porter Jr., Cam Thomas)
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot34-43
- Bobby Portis defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- Giannis Antetokounmpo turnover (offensive foul)
- Heat turnover
- Myron Gardner defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 232-42
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 232-43
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Bam Adebayo)
- Myron Gardner offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 232-40
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr., Bobby Portis, Cam Thomas)
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
- +1Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 232-41
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio turnover
- Heat personal foul
- +1Bobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 132-39
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis, AJ Green, Cam Thomas)
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis, AJ Green, Cam Thomas)
- Bucks lineup change (Giannis Antetokounmpo, Ryan Rollins, Bobby Portis, AJ Green, Cam Thomas)
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot31-39
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot29-39
- +3Bucks makes three point jump shot29-37
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot26-37
- Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Bobby Portis, AJ Green, Cam Thomas)
- Bucks personal foul
- +3Bucks makes three point jump shot26-34
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot23-34
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot23-31
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat offensive rebound
- End of 1st Quarter.
- Heat lineup change (Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
- Bucks turnover
- Bobby Portis defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bucks personal foul
- Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
- Heat offensive rebound
- +3Bucks makes three point jump shot21-31
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot18-31
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot18-29
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot18-26
- Bobby Portis defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot16-26
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Bucks turnover
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Simone Fontecchio misses two point tip layup
- Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
- Bobby Portis defensive rebound
- Bucks personal foul
- Kyle Kuzma turnover (offensive foul)
- Heat 60 second timeout
- Instant replay
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, Bobby Portis, AJ Green)
- Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Simone Fontecchio, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot14-26
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot12-26
- Dru Smith defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- Jericho Sims defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Dru Smith, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware)
- Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, Bobby Portis)
- Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Heat turnover
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot12-24
- Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
- Bucks personal foul
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 210-23
- Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Jericho Sims, Taurean Prince, Kevin Porter Jr., Myles Turner)
- +1Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 210-24
- Bucks turnover
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot10-22
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot8-22
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot8-20
- Bucks personal foul
- Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Kel'el Ware)
- Bucks turnover
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot8-17
- Bucks 60 second timeout
- Bucks turnover
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bucks defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +2Heat makes two point jump shot8-15
- Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
- Bucks misses two point jump shot
- +3Heat makes three point jump shot8-13
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot8-10
- Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- Heat personal foul
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 25-10
- +1Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 26-10
- Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
- Heat misses two point jump shot
- Heat defensive rebound
- Stoppage (Out of bounds)
- Bucks misses three point jump shot
- Kevin Porter Jr. defensive rebound
- Heat misses three point jump shot
- +2Bucks makes two point jump shot4-10
- +3Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)2-10
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | |
|---|---|---|---|
Bucks vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Heat
- Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET
- Venue: Kaseya Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Heat favored at -6
- Total (Over/Under): 234.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +195, Heat -208
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 34%
- Heat: 66%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 114-119 Heat.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 34%, while the Heat have a win probability of 66%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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