Pistons vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Spurs NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pistons
106
121
Frost Bank Center
Spurs
Frost Bank Center
TEAM1234T
Pistons
23 35 48 0 106
Spurs
38 40 43 0 121
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pistons
    2%
  • Spurs
    98%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pistons
23 35 48 0 106
Spurs
38 40 43 0 121
Q4 1:01 Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Javonte Green misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:25 Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
Q4 1:58 Stephon Castle makes two point putback layup (Devin Vassell assists)
Q4 1:58 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Isaiah Stewart blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point jump shot
Q4 2:28 Pistons makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:44 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:08 Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:17
    Spurs turnover (shot clock violation)
  3. Q4 00:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  4. Q4 00:39
    Bismack Biyombo defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:41
    Devin Vassell personal foul (Daniss Jenkins draws the foul)
  6. Q4 00:41
    Pistons offensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:41
    Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  8. Q4 00:41
    Daniss Jenkins misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  9. Q4 00:41
    Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
  10. Q4 00:42
    Bobi Klintman defensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:44
    Devin Vassell misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  12. Q4 00:44
    Cade Cunningham personal foul
  13. Q4 00:44
    +1
    Devin Vassell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-121
  14. Q4 00:44
    Pistons lineup change (Chaz Lanier, Bobi Klintman, Javonte Green, Marcus Sasser, Daniss Jenkins)
  15. Q4 00:44
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Bismack Biyombo, Jordan McLaughlin, Carter Bryant, Lindy Waters III)
  16. Q4 00:58
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  17. Q4 1:01
    Javonte Green misses three point jump shot
  18. Q4 1:11
    Cade Cunningham personal foul
  19. Q4 1:11
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  20. Q4 1:11
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  21. Q4 1:11
    Spurs offensive rebound
  22. Q4 1:11
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  23. Q4 1:11
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-121
  24. Q4 1:14
    Javonte Green misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 1:25
    +3
    Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    106-121
  26. Q4 1:36
    Spurs personal foul
  27. Q4 1:36
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    106-121
  28. Q4 1:36
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    106-121
  29. Q4 1:36
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    106-121
  30. Q4 1:58
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point putback layup (Devin Vassell assists)
    102-113
  31. Q4 1:58
    Pistons personal foul
  32. Q4 1:58
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  33. Q4 1:58
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    103-116
  34. Q4 1:58
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  35. Q4 2:04
    Javonte Green offensive rebound
  36. Q4 2:07
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  37. Q4 2:10
    Isaiah Stewart blocks Victor Wembanyama's two point jump shot
  38. Q4 2:28
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
  39. Q4 2:28
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    102-113
  40. Q4 2:28
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    103-116
  41. Q4 2:31
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  42. Q4 2:32
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
  43. Q4 2:38
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  44. Q4 2:44
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 3:08
    +3
    Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    99-113
  46. Q4 3:29
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    102-113
  47. Q4 3:39
    Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
  48. Q4 3:42
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 4:06
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
  50. Q4 4:06
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    106-121
  51. Q4 4:06
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  52. Q4 4:06
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  53. Q4 4:23
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
    106-121
  54. Q4 4:44
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    106-121
  55. Q4 5:04
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    92-107
  56. Q4 5:17
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    92-105
  57. Q4 5:26
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:29
    Keldon Johnson misses two point cutting layup
  59. Q4 5:44
    Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
  60. Q4 5:44
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  61. Q4 5:44
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  62. Q4 5:49
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:51
    Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 5:54
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  65. Q4 5:57
    Javonte Green blocks Stephon Castle's two point layup
  66. Q4 6:15
    Pistons personal foul
  67. Q4 6:15
    Isaiah Stewart turnover (offensive foul)
  68. Q4 6:28
    +2
    Dylan Harper makes two point running dunk
    90-105
  69. Q4 6:30
    Pistons turnover
  70. Q4 6:33
    Spurs turnover
  71. Q4 6:36
    Devin Vassell personal foul
  72. Q4 6:41
    Victor Wembanyama kicked ball violation
  73. Q4 6:41
    Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  74. Q4 6:50
    Pistons defensive rebound
  75. Q4 6:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  76. Q4 6:53
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  77. Q4 6:54
    Spurs offensive rebound
  78. Q4 7:07
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point driving layup
  79. Q4 7:21
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  80. Q4 7:23
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  81. Q4 7:42
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  82. Q4 7:42
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  83. Q4 7:46
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  84. Q4 7:48
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  85. Q4 7:54
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  86. Q4 8:00
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  87. Q4 8:18
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot (Devin Vassell assists)
    92-107
  88. Q4 8:21
    Devin Vassell defensive rebound
  89. Q4 8:23
    Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
  90. Q4 8:38
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  91. Q4 8:41
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  92. Q4 9:04
    +3
    Isaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot
    106-121
  93. Q4 9:19
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
  94. Q4 9:19
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-101
  95. Q4 9:19
    Pistons personal foul
  96. Q4 9:19
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  97. Q4 9:19
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-121
  98. Q4 9:30
    Daniss Jenkins turnover (Stephon Castle steals)
  99. Q4 9:47
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
    87-99
  100. Q4 9:53
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  101. Q4 9:55
    Caris LeVert misses three point jump shot
  102. Q4 10:05
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    87-97
  103. Q4 10:09
    Pistons turnover
  104. Q4 10:22
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  105. Q4 10:24
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  106. Q4 10:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    87-95
  107. Q4 10:57
    +2
    Julian Champagnie makes two point jump shot
    106-121
  108. Q4 11:02
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  109. Q4 11:05
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  110. Q4 11:08
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  111. Q4 11:13
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  112. Q4 11:28
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  113. Q4 11:32
    Daniss Jenkins misses three point running jump shot
  114. Q4 11:36
    Paul Reed defensive rebound
  115. Q4 11:41
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  116. Q4 11:49
    Paul Reed personal foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  117. Q4 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins)
  118. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  119. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  120. Q3 00:06
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  121. Q3 00:06
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  122. Q3 00:06
    Jump ball. Paul Reed vs. Carter Bryant (Tobias Harris gains possession)
  123. Q3 00:06
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  124. Q3 00:06
    Pistons turnover
  125. Q3 00:06
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham)
  126. Q3 00:06
    Carter Bryant turnover (lost ball) (Paul Reed steals)
  127. Q3 00:09
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson)
  128. Q3 00:13
    Cade Cunningham turnover (De'Aaron Fox steals)
  129. Q3 00:28
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:33
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point pullup jump shot
  131. Q3 00:39
    Luke Kornet personal foul
  132. Q3 00:39
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    106-121
  133. Q3 00:48
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    102-113
  134. Q3 1:03
    Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
  135. Q3 1:04
    Paul Reed shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
  136. Q3 1:04
    Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  137. Q3 1:04
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-121
  138. Q3 1:04
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
  139. Q3 1:16
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  140. Q3 1:18
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  141. Q3 1:44
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    106-121
  142. Q3 1:54
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  143. Q3 1:54
    Paul Reed turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  144. Q3 1:54
    Pistons challenge timeout
  145. Q3 1:54
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  146. Q3 1:54
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  147. Q3 1:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  148. Q3 2:06
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  149. Q3 2:08
    Julian Champagnie misses two point layup
  150. Q3 2:22
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    87-99
  151. Q3 2:24
    Paul Reed offensive rebound
  152. Q3 2:26
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  153. Q3 2:44
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    75-87
  154. Q3 2:44
    Pistons personal foul
  155. Q3 2:44
    +1
    Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    87-99
  156. Q3 2:44
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham)
  157. Q3 2:44
    Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  158. Q3 2:44
    Spurs offensive rebound
  159. Q3 3:03
    +3
    Isaiah Stewart makes three point jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)
    90-101
  160. Q3 3:07
    Paul Reed offensive rebound
  161. Q3 3:10
    Isaiah Stewart misses three point jump shot
  162. Q3 3:19
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul (Paul Reed draws the foul)
  163. Q3 3:19
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  164. Q3 3:19
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
  165. Q3 3:31
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    87-99
  166. Q3 3:44
    +3
    Kevin Huerter makes three point jump shot
    75-87
  167. Q3 4:11
    Caris LeVert personal foul
  168. Q3 4:11
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    106-121
  169. Q3 4:11
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-121
  170. Q3 4:20
    Spurs offensive rebound
  171. Q3 4:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  172. Q3 4:23
    Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
  173. Q3 4:42
    Cade Cunningham turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  174. Q3 4:42
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Isaiah Stewart)
  175. Q3 4:49
    Javonte Green defensive rebound
  176. Q3 4:52
    Julian Champagnie misses three point jump shot
  177. Q3 5:00
    Paul Reed personal foul
  178. Q3 5:10
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  179. Q3 5:10
    Spurs defensive rebound
  180. Q3 5:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  181. Q3 5:23
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  182. Q3 5:25
    Victor Wembanyama misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  183. Q3 5:25
    Pistons personal foul
  184. Q3 5:25
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-87
  185. Q3 5:25
    Spurs lineup change (Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  186. Q3 5:37
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    87-99
  187. Q3 5:37
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  188. Q3 5:37
    Paul Reed offensive rebound
  189. Q3 5:37
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  190. Q3 5:51
    Stephon Castle turnover
  191. Q3 5:51
    Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Paul Reed, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
  192. Q3 6:04
    Keldon Johnson shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
  193. Q3 6:04
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-87
  194. Q3 6:04
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-121
  195. Q3 6:16
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  196. Q3 6:19
    Devin Vassell misses three point jump shot
  197. Q3 6:35
    +3
    Cade Cunningham makes three point jump shot
    90-101
  198. Q3 6:46
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    75-87
  199. Q3 6:59
    Pistons personal foul
  200. Q3 6:59
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  201. Q3 6:59
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
  202. Q3 7:06
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  203. Q3 7:11
    Tobias Harris misses three point running jump shot
  204. Q3 7:15
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  205. Q3 7:19
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  206. Q3 7:29
    Victor Wembanyama violation
  207. Q3 7:29
    +2
    Cade Cunningham makes two point driving finger roll layup
    90-101
  208. Q3 7:46
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point layup
    106-121
  209. Q3 7:48
    Jump ball. (Keldon Johnson gains possession)
  210. Q3 8:04
    Pistons personal foul
  211. Q3 8:04
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
  212. Q3 8:11
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    106-121
  213. Q3 8:20
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul
  214. Q3 8:35
    De'Aaron Fox turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  215. Q3 8:46
    Keldon Johnson personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
  216. Q3 8:46
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    106-121
  217. Q3 8:46
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  218. Q3 8:46
    Pistons offensive rebound
  219. Q3 8:52
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  220. Q3 8:52
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point driving finger roll layup
  221. Q3 8:52
    Pistons challenge timeout
  222. Q3 8:52
    Pistons defensive rebound
  223. Q3 8:52
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  224. Q3 8:52
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  225. Q3 8:52
    Instant replay
  226. Q3 8:52
    Pistons violation
  227. Q3 8:56
    +2
    Ronald Holland II makes two point layup
    106-121
  228. Q3 9:13
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Ronald Holland II)
  229. Q3 9:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q3 9:28
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    106-121
  231. Q3 9:34
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  232. Q3 9:38
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  233. Q3 9:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  234. Q3 9:46
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  235. Q3 9:46
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  236. Q3 9:55
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point layup
    58-78
  237. Q3 10:01
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  238. Q3 10:06
    Cade Cunningham misses two point stepback jump shot
  239. Q3 10:12
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  240. Q3 10:14
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point pullup jump shot
  241. Q3 10:28
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  242. Q3 10:30
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  243. Q3 10:58
    +3
    Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot
    90-101
  244. Q3 11:08
    +3
    Duncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Jalen Duren assists)
    87-99
  245. Q3 11:11
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  246. Q3 11:13
    Daniss Jenkins misses two point jump shot
  247. Q3 11:27
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  248. Q3 11:32
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point tip dunk
    58-78
  249. Q3 11:33
    Stephon Castle misses two point pullup jump shot
  250. Q3 11:48
    Jalen Duren turnover (Victor Wembanyama steals)
  251. Q2 00:00
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  252. Q2 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  253. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  254. Q3 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  255. Q3 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Daniss Jenkins)
  256. Q2 00:09
    +3
    Tobias Harris makes three point jump shot
    45-56
  257. Q2 00:28
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  258. Q2 00:28
    Cade Cunningham personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  259. Q2 00:28
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-78
  260. Q2 00:28
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    63-80
  261. Q2 00:28
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  262. Q2 00:40
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  263. Q2 00:41
    Cade Cunningham offensive rebound
  264. Q2 00:41
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  265. Q2 00:44
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  266. Q2 1:10
    Pistons personal foul
  267. Q2 1:10
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    58-78
  268. Q2 1:10
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-78
  269. Q2 1:13
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  270. Q2 1:15
    Cade Cunningham misses two point driving finger roll layup
  271. Q2 1:24
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  272. Q2 1:30
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    45-56
  273. Q2 1:48
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  274. Q2 1:50
    Cade Cunningham misses two point jump shot
  275. Q2 2:12
    Spurs offensive rebound
  276. Q2 2:12
    Tobias Harris personal foul
  277. Q2 2:12
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-56
  278. Q2 2:12
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-56
  279. Q2 2:14
    Victor Wembanyama misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 2:36
    Spurs personal foul
  281. Q2 2:36
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
  282. Q2 2:36
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama)
  283. Q2 2:37
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-56
  284. Q2 2:37
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-56
  285. Q2 2:47
    Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
  286. Q2 2:50
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  287. Q2 3:09
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    45-56
  288. Q2 3:28
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    45-56
  289. Q2 3:42
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  290. Q2 3:44
    Luke Kornet shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
  291. Q2 3:44
    Isaiah Stewart misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  292. Q2 3:44
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-56
  293. Q2 3:59
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot
    45-56
  294. Q2 4:05
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  295. Q2 4:07
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  296. Q2 4:20
    +2
    Devin Vassell makes two point jump shot
    45-56
  297. Q2 4:34
    Spurs personal foul
  298. Q2 4:34
    Duncan Robinson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  299. Q2 4:34
    Pistons lineup change (Tobias Harris, Kevin Huerter, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  300. Q2 4:34
    Pistons offensive rebound
  301. Q2 4:34
    +1
    Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-56
  302. Q2 4:42
    Javonte Green defensive rebound
  303. Q2 4:44
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  304. Q2 5:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
  305. Q2 5:08
    Dylan Harper personal foul
  306. Q2 5:08
    Kevin Huerter defensive rebound
  307. Q2 5:08
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-56
  308. Q2 5:08
    +1
    Javonte Green makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-56
  309. Q2 5:08
    Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  310. Q2 5:10
    Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
  311. Q2 5:29
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    45-56
  312. Q2 5:39
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    45-56
  313. Q2 5:50
    Duncan Robinson offensive rebound
  314. Q2 5:50
    +2
    Duncan Robinson makes two point tip layup
    45-56
  315. Q2 5:56
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 6:12
    Jalen Duren shooting foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
  317. Q2 6:12
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    45-56
  318. Q2 6:12
    Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson, Isaiah Stewart)
  319. Q2 6:12
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    45-56
  320. Q2 6:22
    Pistons personal foul
  321. Q2 6:22
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  322. Q2 6:26
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  323. Q2 6:29
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 6:37
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  325. Q2 6:39
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  326. Q2 6:59
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    45-56
  327. Q2 7:04
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  328. Q2 7:06
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  329. Q2 7:27
    Pistons turnover
  330. Q2 7:31
    Spurs turnover
  331. Q2 7:44
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  332. Q2 7:47
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    37-52
  333. Q2 7:47
    Spurs personal foul
  334. Q2 7:47
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  335. Q2 7:47
    Pistons lineup change (Kevin Huerter, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Duncan Robinson)
  336. Q2 8:01
    Spurs personal foul
  337. Q2 8:10
    Spurs violation
  338. Q2 8:10
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Stephon Castle, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  339. Q2 8:19
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    35-52
  340. Q2 8:24
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  341. Q2 8:26
    Cade Cunningham misses two point driving finger roll layup
  342. Q2 8:38
    Javonte Green shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  343. Q2 8:38
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Kevin Huerter, Jalen Duren, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green)
  344. Q2 8:38
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    39-52
  345. Q2 8:38
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    39-52
  346. Q2 8:58
    +2
    Cade Cunningham makes two point pullup jump shot
    35-47
  347. Q2 9:07
    +2
    Carter Bryant makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    33-47
  348. Q2 9:24
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  349. Q2 9:24
    Victor Wembanyama personal foul
  350. Q2 9:24
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  351. Q2 9:24
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    35-49
  352. Q2 9:24
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-52
  353. Q2 9:35
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  354. Q2 9:35
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  355. Q2 9:35
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    31-45
  356. Q2 9:35
    Pistons personal foul
  357. Q2 9:35
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    31-45
  358. Q2 9:40
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  359. Q2 9:43
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  360. Q2 9:59
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    31-45
  361. Q2 10:15
    +2
    Javonte Green makes two point jump shot (Caris LeVert assists)
    31-45
  362. Q2 10:17
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  363. Q2 10:19
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  364. Q2 10:29
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  365. Q2 10:32
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  366. Q2 10:51
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot (Victor Wembanyama assists)
    31-45
  367. Q2 11:08
    +3
    Javonte Green makes three point jump shot
    31-45
  368. Q2 11:17
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  369. Q2 11:20
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  370. Q2 11:43
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  371. Q2 11:43
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Stephon Castle, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  372. Q2 11:46
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    26-38
  373. Q1 00:00
    Spurs offensive rebound
  374. Q1 00:00
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  375. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  376. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama)
  377. Q2 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart)
  378. Q1 00:08
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  379. Q1 00:08
    Spurs personal foul
  380. Q1 00:08
    Marcus Sasser misses two point finger roll layup
  381. Q1 00:08
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-38
  382. Q1 00:08
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, De'Aaron Fox, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson, Luke Kornet)
  383. Q1 00:08
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Javonte Green, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart)
  384. Q1 00:08
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-38
  385. Q1 00:32
    +3
    De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot
    21-38
  386. Q1 00:40
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  387. Q1 00:43
    Isaiah Stewart misses two point driving layup
  388. Q1 00:57
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    21-35
  389. Q1 1:06
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  390. Q1 1:09
    Tobias Harris misses two point stepback jump shot
  391. Q1 1:24
    +2
    Luke Kornet makes two point jump shot
    21-35
  392. Q1 1:24
    Luke Kornet offensive rebound
  393. Q1 1:28
    Keldon Johnson misses two point floating jump shot
  394. Q1 1:34
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  395. Q1 1:36
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  396. Q1 1:44
    De'Aaron Fox offensive rebound
  397. Q1 1:47
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  398. Q1 1:49
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  399. Q1 1:52
    Carter Bryant blocks Daniss Jenkins's two point running dunk
  400. Q1 1:54
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  401. Q1 1:58
    Dylan Harper misses two point jump shot
  402. Q1 1:58
    Dylan Harper turnover (lost ball) (Isaiah Stewart steals)
  403. Q1 2:10
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    21-31
  404. Q1 2:16
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  405. Q1 2:18
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  406. Q1 2:28
    Pistons personal foul
  407. Q1 2:28
    Spurs personal foul
  408. Q1 2:28
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Marcus Sasser, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  409. Q1 2:40
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  410. Q1 2:40
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  411. Q1 2:40
    Pistons offensive rebound
  412. Q1 2:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  413. Q1 2:40
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  414. Q1 2:40
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, Carter Bryant)
  415. Q1 2:42
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 2:47
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  417. Q1 2:49
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  418. Q1 3:05
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  419. Q1 3:07
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  420. Q1 3:26
    Pistons personal foul
  421. Q1 3:26
    De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  422. Q1 3:26
    Spurs offensive rebound
  423. Q1 3:26
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-31
  424. Q1 3:32
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  425. Q1 3:36
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 3:54
    Spurs turnover
  427. Q1 3:59
    Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
  428. Q1 4:02
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  429. Q1 4:19
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    19-30
  430. Q1 4:19
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  431. Q1 4:19
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  432. Q1 4:19
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Daniss Jenkins)
  433. Q1 4:28
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  434. Q1 4:32
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  435. Q1 4:48
    Stoppage (Other)
  436. Q1 4:53
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    19-27
  437. Q1 5:05
    Spurs personal foul
  438. Q1 5:05
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    18-24
  439. Q1 5:05
    +1
    Ronald Holland II makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    19-24
  440. Q1 5:05
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  441. Q1 5:05
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
  442. Q1 5:06
    Spurs turnover
  443. Q1 5:16
    Stephon Castle shooting foul (Isaiah Stewart draws the foul)
  444. Q1 5:16
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    16-24
  445. Q1 5:16
    +1
    Isaiah Stewart makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    17-24
  446. Q1 5:16
    Spurs lineup change (Devin Vassell, Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Carter Bryant)
  447. Q1 5:16
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
  448. Q1 6:02
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Tobias Harris, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
  449. Q1 8:53
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  450. Q1 9:59
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    15-24
Box Score
Pistons
PosPlayerPts
Spurs
PosPlayerPts

Pistons vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pistons vs. Spurs
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Frost Bank Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 228.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pistons +130, Spurs -148

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pistons: 39%
  • Spurs: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 112-116 Spurs.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 39%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Pistons in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pistons vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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