Nets vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nets vs. Heat NBA game on March 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Nets
110
126
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Nets
26 30 27 27 110
Heat
31 29 35 31 126
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nets
    <1%
  • Heat
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nets
26 30 27 27 110
Heat
31 29 35 31 126
Q4 00:11 Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:52 Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:56 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:14 Grant Nelson misses two point driving hook shot
Q4 1:30 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:00 Tyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
Q4 2:20 Nets makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:27 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:35 Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:50 Day'Ron Sharpe misses two point tip layup
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:11
    Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:26
    Heat turnover (shot clock violation)
  4. Q4 00:26
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Dru Smith, Jahmir Young, Myron Gardner, Trevor Keels)
  5. Q4 00:49
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:52
    Ochai Agbaji misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:56
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  8. Q4 1:11
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  9. Q4 1:14
    Grant Nelson misses two point driving hook shot
  10. Q4 1:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  11. Q4 2:00
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    110-126
  12. Q4 2:20
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  13. Q4 2:20
    Dru Smith shooting foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
  14. Q4 2:20
    Nets lineup change (Jalen Wilson, Grant Nelson, Ochai Agbaji, Ziaire Williams, Josh Minott)
  15. Q4 2:20
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    110-126
  16. Q4 2:23
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  17. Q4 2:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  18. Q4 2:33
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  19. Q4 2:35
    Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 2:50
    Day'Ron Sharpe misses two point tip layup
  21. Q4 2:50
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  22. Q4 3:12
    Nets 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 3:12
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
  24. Q4 3:14
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point pullup jump shot
    110-124
  25. Q4 3:35
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  26. Q4 3:38
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  27. Q4 3:56
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 4:01
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 4:24
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  30. Q4 4:30
    Terance Mann offensive rebound
  31. Q4 4:33
    Noah Clowney misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 4:43
    Heat personal foul
  33. Q4 4:53
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  34. Q4 4:56
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 5:01
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  36. Q4 5:05
    Day'Ron Sharpe misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 5:13
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 5:43
    +2
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point dunk (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
    110-126
  39. Q4 5:56
    +3
    Kel'el Ware makes three point jump shot (Jaime Jaquez Jr. assists)
    110-126
  40. Q4 6:10
    +2
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point layup (Ziaire Williams assists)
    110-126
  41. Q4 6:12
    Ziaire Williams offensive rebound
  42. Q4 6:15
    Noah Clowney misses two point driving floating jump shot
  43. Q4 6:25
    Day'Ron Sharpe misses two point tip layup
  44. Q4 6:25
    Terance Mann offensive rebound
  45. Q4 6:35
    Heat personal foul
  46. Q4 6:41
    +3
    Michael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Terance Mann assists)
    110-126
  47. Q4 6:50
    Heat personal foul
  48. Q4 7:05
    +3
    Ziaire Williams makes three point jump shot (Noah Clowney assists)
    110-126
  49. Q4 7:15
    Kasparas Jakucionis turnover (bad pass) (Noah Clowney steals)
  50. Q4 7:16
    Nets offensive rebound
  51. Q4 7:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  52. Q4 7:19
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 7:24
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  54. Q4 7:26
    Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
  55. Q4 7:41
    +3
    Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot
    110-126
  56. Q4 7:53
    Michael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  57. Q4 7:53
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-126
  58. Q4 7:53
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-126
  59. Q4 8:25
    Nolan Traore turnover (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
  60. Q4 8:38
    +2
    Dru Smith makes two point running layup
    90-110
  61. Q4 8:40
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  62. Q4 8:44
    Kel'el Ware blocks Nic Claxton's two point hook shot
  63. Q4 9:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    90-108
  64. Q4 9:02
    Nets 60 second timeout
  65. Q4 9:03
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  66. Q4 9:08
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  67. Q4 9:28
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround jump shot
    90-106
  68. Q4 9:35
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  69. Q4 9:39
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  70. Q4 9:46
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  71. Q4 9:49
    Kel'el Ware misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  72. Q4 9:49
    Nets personal foul
  73. Q4 9:49
    +1
    Kel'el Ware makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-108
  74. Q4 9:49
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  75. Q4 9:52
    Kasparas Jakucionis misses three point running jump shot
  76. Q4 9:56
    Nolan Traore turnover (Kel'el Ware steals)
  77. Q4 10:15
    +3
    Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot
    110-126
  78. Q4 10:21
    Ziaire Williams personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  79. Q4 10:34
    Dru Smith personal foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
  80. Q4 10:34
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-108
  81. Q4 10:47
    Ziaire Williams shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  82. Q4 10:47
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point running layup
    110-126
  83. Q4 10:47
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    110-126
  84. Q4 10:54
    Kel'el Ware personal foul
  85. Q4 10:54
    Nets offensive rebound
  86. Q4 10:54
    Nic Claxton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  87. Q4 10:55
    Nolan Traore offensive rebound
  88. Q4 11:00
    Nolan Traore misses two point jump shot
  89. Q4 11:08
    Kel'el Ware turnover (Ziaire Williams steals)
  90. Q4 11:08
    Nets turnover
  91. Q4 11:14
    +3
    Ziaire Williams makes three point jump shot
    110-126
  92. Q4 11:28
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  93. Q4 11:45
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  94. Q3 00:00
    Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
  95. Q3 00:00
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  96. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  97. Q4 12:00
    Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Nic Claxton, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
  98. Q3 00:15
    Ben Saraf turnover
  99. Q3 00:27
    Day'Ron Sharpe personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  100. Q3 00:27
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-108
  101. Q3 00:27
    Pelle Larsson misses two point jump shot
  102. Q3 00:27
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    110-126
  103. Q3 00:34
    Nets turnover
  104. Q3 00:43
    +2
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes two point turnaround bank jump shot
    90-108
  105. Q3 00:43
    Nets personal foul
  106. Q3 00:43
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    110-126
  107. Q3 00:43
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
  108. Q3 00:52
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  109. Q3 00:55
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  110. Q3 1:12
    Heat turnover
  111. Q3 1:13
    Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ochai Agbaji, Ziaire Williams)
  112. Q3 1:13
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  113. Q3 1:13
    Heat offensive rebound
  114. Q3 1:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  115. Q3 1:16
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  116. Q3 1:19
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  117. Q3 1:26
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (Day'Ron Sharpe steals)
  118. Q3 1:38
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  119. Q3 1:50
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  120. Q3 1:50
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  121. Q3 1:55
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  122. Q3 1:57
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  123. Q3 1:59
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  124. Q3 1:59
    Danny Wolf turnover (bad pass)
  125. Q3 2:06
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  126. Q3 2:08
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 2:16
    Heat personal foul
  128. Q3 2:16
    Day'Ron Sharpe misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  129. Q3 2:16
    Nets offensive rebound
  130. Q3 2:16
    +1
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    110-126
  131. Q3 2:29
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    110-126
  132. Q3 2:44
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    110-126
  133. Q3 2:55
    Danny Wolf shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  134. Q3 2:55
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-112
  135. Q3 2:55
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-112
  136. Q3 3:01
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  137. Q3 3:05
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  138. Q3 3:23
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ziaire Williams)
  139. Q3 3:23
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  140. Q3 3:23
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    90-108
  141. Q3 3:23
    Nets 60 second timeout
  142. Q3 3:24
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  143. Q3 3:27
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  144. Q3 3:36
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  145. Q3 3:39
    Ziaire Williams misses three point running jump shot
  146. Q3 3:43
    Ben Saraf defensive rebound
  147. Q3 3:46
    Tyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot
  148. Q3 4:07
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    90-108
  149. Q3 4:19
    Day'Ron Sharpe shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  150. Q3 4:19
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    90-108
  151. Q3 4:19
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    90-108
  152. Q3 4:19
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney)
  153. Q3 4:32
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney)
  154. Q3 4:32
    Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
  155. Q3 4:32
    Nets personal foul
  156. Q3 4:40
    Nic Claxton offensive rebound
  157. Q3 4:40
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  158. Q3 4:40
    Nic Claxton misses two point tip layup
  159. Q3 4:45
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  160. Q3 4:55
    Noah Clowney offensive rebound
  161. Q3 4:56
    Noah Clowney misses two point jump shot
  162. Q3 5:14
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    75-79
  163. Q3 5:17
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  164. Q3 5:20
    Michael Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 5:22
    Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  166. Q3 5:25
    Terance Mann misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 5:45
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    75-79
  168. Q3 5:47
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  169. Q3 5:50
    Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
  170. Q3 6:09
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    75-79
  171. Q3 6:25
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    75-79
  172. Q3 6:34
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  173. Q3 6:35
    Nic Claxton misses two point tip layup
  174. Q3 6:35
    Nic Claxton offensive rebound
  175. Q3 6:39
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  176. Q3 6:56
    Heat personal foul
  177. Q3 6:56
    Bam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)
  178. Q3 6:56
    Heat 60 second timeout
  179. Q3 6:56
    Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell)
  180. Q3 7:08
    +2
    Nic Claxton makes two point driving layup (Terance Mann assists)
    69-72
  181. Q3 7:08
    Bam Adebayo personal foul
  182. Q3 7:08
    +1
    Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    75-79
  183. Q3 7:39
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    69-72
  184. Q3 7:55
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  185. Q3 7:58
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  186. Q3 8:15
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    69-72
  187. Q3 8:15
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  188. Q3 8:18
    Pelle Larsson misses two point running layup
  189. Q3 8:24
    Nets turnover
  190. Q3 8:35
    Nets personal foul
  191. Q3 8:35
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    75-79
  192. Q3 8:35
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    75-79
  193. Q3 8:48
    +3
    Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot
    69-72
  194. Q3 8:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  195. Q3 8:59
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    69-72
  196. Q3 9:06
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  197. Q3 9:09
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  198. Q3 9:12
    Terance Mann defensive rebound
  199. Q3 9:15
    Davion Mitchell misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 9:33
    Nets offensive rebound
  201. Q3 9:33
    Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
  202. Q3 9:33
    +1
    Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    75-79
  203. Q3 9:33
    +1
    Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    75-79
  204. Q3 9:33
    Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  205. Q3 9:45
    +3
    Pelle Larsson makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    69-72
  206. Q3 9:59
    +3
    Michael Porter Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot
    69-72
  207. Q3 10:15
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  208. Q3 10:20
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  209. Q3 10:28
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  210. Q3 10:30
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 10:32
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  212. Q3 10:37
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  213. Q3 10:44
    Nic Claxton turnover
  214. Q3 10:49
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  215. Q3 10:52
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  216. Q3 11:04
    +2
    Nic Claxton makes two point cutting layup (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
    56-60
  217. Q3 11:12
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  218. Q3 11:15
    Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  219. Q3 11:29
    +3
    Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot (Nolan Traore assists)
    69-70
  220. Q3 11:42
    Heat violation
  221. Q3 11:44
    Nets defensive rebound
  222. Q3 11:44
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  223. Q3 11:45
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  224. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  225. Q3 12:00
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
  226. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  227. Q2 00:01
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  228. Q2 00:01
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  229. Q2 00:06
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  230. Q2 00:06
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  231. Q2 00:06
    Kel'el Ware defensive goaltending violation
  232. Q2 00:06
    +2
    Nolan Traore makes two point jump shot
    56-60
  233. Q2 00:06
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Ochai Agbaji, Terance Mann, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney)
  234. Q2 00:06
    Heat 60 second timeout
  235. Q2 00:28
    +3
    Tyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    56-60
  236. Q2 00:46
    +2
    Terance Mann makes two point running layup (Nolan Traore assists)
    54-60
  237. Q2 00:51
    Tyler Herro turnover (Nic Claxton steals)
  238. Q2 00:59
    Terance Mann offensive rebound
  239. Q2 00:59
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    54-60
  240. Q2 1:00
    Terance Mann offensive rebound
  241. Q2 1:00
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  242. Q2 1:10
    Nic Claxton misses two point jump shot
  243. Q2 1:21
    Heat turnover
  244. Q2 1:46
    Heat personal foul
  245. Q2 1:46
    Nic Claxton misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  246. Q2 1:46
    Nets offensive rebound
  247. Q2 1:46
    +1
    Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    50-57
  248. Q2 1:46
    Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
  249. Q2 2:02
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    49-57
  250. Q2 2:20
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    49-55
  251. Q2 2:40
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  252. Q2 2:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  253. Q2 2:48
    Davion Mitchell offensive rebound
  254. Q2 2:52
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point floating jump shot
  255. Q2 3:03
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    47-55
  256. Q2 3:17
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  257. Q2 3:21
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  258. Q2 3:31
    Nic Claxton offensive rebound
  259. Q2 3:32
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    42-55
  260. Q2 3:32
    Heat personal foul
  261. Q2 3:32
    Nic Claxton misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  262. Q2 3:32
    Heat defensive rebound
  263. Q2 3:35
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  264. Q2 3:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    42-55
  265. Q2 4:11
    Heat 60 second timeout
  266. Q2 4:11
    Heat lineup change (Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
  267. Q2 4:12
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    42-53
  268. Q2 4:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    39-53
  269. Q2 4:30
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  270. Q2 4:32
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  271. Q2 4:56
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    39-51
  272. Q2 5:04
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  273. Q2 5:08
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  274. Q2 5:21
    Heat personal foul
  275. Q2 5:21
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
  276. Q2 5:34
    Heat turnover
  277. Q2 5:39
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  278. Q2 5:42
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  279. Q2 6:00
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    39-49
  280. Q2 6:15
    Heat personal foul
  281. Q2 6:15
    +1
    Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-47
  282. Q2 6:15
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney)
  283. Q2 6:15
    Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
  284. Q2 6:15
    +1
    Ben Saraf makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-47
  285. Q2 6:27
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    37-47
  286. Q2 6:41
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    37-45
  287. Q2 6:42
    Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  288. Q2 6:45
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  289. Q2 6:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    34-45
  290. Q2 7:08
    Nets turnover
  291. Q2 7:17
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  292. Q2 7:20
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  293. Q2 7:22
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  294. Q2 7:22
    Dru Smith misses two point tip layup
  295. Q2 7:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  296. Q2 7:35
    Instant replay
  297. Q2 7:35
    Nets 60 second timeout
  298. Q2 7:35
    Instant replay (Challenge: Ruling Overturned)
  299. Q2 7:41
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    34-43
  300. Q2 8:00
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    32-43
  301. Q2 8:11
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    32-40
  302. Q2 8:22
    Heat turnover
  303. Q2 8:22
    Heat personal foul
  304. Q2 8:22
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Nic Claxton, Ziaire Williams)
  305. Q2 8:22
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
  306. Q2 8:28
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  307. Q2 8:31
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  308. Q2 8:44
    Nets personal foul
  309. Q2 8:44
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    30-39
  310. Q2 8:44
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    30-40
  311. Q2 8:44
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
  312. Q2 9:00
    Nets turnover
  313. Q2 9:11
    Heat personal foul
  314. Q2 9:16
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  315. Q2 9:21
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  316. Q2 9:26
    Nets personal foul
  317. Q2 9:30
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    30-38
  318. Q2 9:34
    Heat turnover
  319. Q2 9:43
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  320. Q2 9:46
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  321. Q2 10:06
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    28-38
  322. Q2 10:11
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  323. Q2 10:14
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  324. Q2 10:30
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  325. Q2 10:32
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    28-35
  326. Q2 10:32
    Nets personal foul
  327. Q2 10:32
    Dru Smith misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  328. Q2 10:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  329. Q2 10:54
    Nets personal foul
  330. Q2 10:54
    Danny Wolf turnover (offensive foul)
  331. Q2 10:57
    Heat turnover
  332. Q2 11:19
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    28-33
  333. Q2 11:33
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  334. Q2 11:33
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    26-33
  335. Q2 11:38
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  336. Q1 00:00
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  337. Q1 00:00
    Nets offensive rebound
  338. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  339. Q1 00:02
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  340. Q1 00:02
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    26-31
  341. Q1 00:05
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  342. Q1 00:17
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  343. Q1 00:20
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  344. Q1 00:33
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    26-29
  345. Q1 00:50
    Nets personal foul
  346. Q1 00:50
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  347. Q1 00:50
    Heat offensive rebound
  348. Q1 00:50
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    24-29
  349. Q1 00:53
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  350. Q1 00:58
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  351. Q1 1:07
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  352. Q1 1:08
    Heat offensive rebound
  353. Q1 1:10
    Heat turnover
  354. Q1 1:36
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    24-28
  355. Q1 1:56
    Nets personal foul
  356. Q1 1:56
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    22-27
  357. Q1 1:56
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    22-28
  358. Q1 1:57
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  359. Q1 1:57
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    22-26
  360. Q1 2:01
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  361. Q1 2:14
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    20-26
  362. Q1 2:32
    Nets turnover
  363. Q1 2:37
    Heat personal foul
  364. Q1 2:43
    Nets 60 second timeout
  365. Q1 2:43
    Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ochai Agbaji, Ziaire Williams)
  366. Q1 2:43
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo)
  367. Q1 2:45
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    20-23
  368. Q1 2:58
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  369. Q1 3:01
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  370. Q1 3:06
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  371. Q1 3:10
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  372. Q1 3:16
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  373. Q1 3:20
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  374. Q1 3:44
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    20-20
  375. Q1 3:58
    Heat 60 second timeout
  376. Q1 3:58
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Day'Ron Sharpe, Ziaire Williams, Noah Clowney)
  377. Q1 3:58
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  378. Q1 3:59
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    20-18
  379. Q1 4:12
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  380. Q1 4:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  381. Q1 4:30
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    17-18
  382. Q1 4:35
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  383. Q1 4:39
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  384. Q1 4:52
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    14-18
  385. Q1 5:03
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    11-18
  386. Q1 5:07
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  387. Q1 5:10
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  388. Q1 5:12
    Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  389. Q1 5:16
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  390. Q1 5:28
    Nets personal foul
  391. Q1 5:28
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-15
  392. Q1 5:28
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-16
  393. Q1 5:43
    Heat personal foul
  394. Q1 5:43
    +1
    Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    10-14
  395. Q1 5:43
    +1
    Nic Claxton makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-14
  396. Q1 5:58
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    9-14
  397. Q1 6:19
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    9-12
  398. Q1 6:25
    Heat personal foul
  399. Q1 6:25
    Heat lineup change (Kel'el Ware, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Davion Mitchell)
  400. Q1 6:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  401. Q1 6:36
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  402. Q1 6:36
    Heat offensive rebound
  403. Q1 6:37
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  404. Q1 6:40
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  405. Q1 6:44
    Nolan Traore defensive rebound
  406. Q1 6:47
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  407. Q1 6:56
    Nolan Traore offensive rebound
  408. Q1 6:56
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    7-12
  409. Q1 7:02
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  410. Q1 7:28
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    5-12
  411. Q1 7:46
    Nets turnover
  412. Q1 7:50
    Heat personal foul
  413. Q1 7:55
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  414. Q1 7:57
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  415. Q1 8:07
    Nets personal foul
  416. Q1 8:07
    Nic Claxton turnover (offensive foul)
  417. Q1 8:08
    Nic Claxton turnover (Davion Mitchell steals)
  418. Q1 8:22
    Nets 60 second timeout
  419. Q1 8:23
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    5-10
  420. Q1 8:27
    Nets turnover
  421. Q1 8:42
    Nets defensive rebound
  422. Q1 8:42
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  423. Q1 8:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  424. Q1 8:45
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  425. Q1 8:49
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 8:53
    Nets turnover
  427. Q1 9:10
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    5-8
  428. Q1 9:16
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  429. Q1 9:19
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  430. Q1 9:36
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    5-6
  431. Q1 9:48
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  432. Q1 9:48
    Heat defensive rebound
  433. Q1 9:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  434. Q1 9:54
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  435. Q1 9:58
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  436. Q1 10:10
    Nets turnover
  437. Q1 10:12
    Terance Mann defensive rebound
  438. Q1 10:16
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 10:37
    Nets turnover
  440. Q1 10:37
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  441. Q1 10:40
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  442. Q1 10:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  443. Q1 10:55
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    5-4
  444. Q1 11:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    2-4
  445. Q1 11:18
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  446. Q1 11:34
    Nets personal foul
  447. Q1 11:34
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    0-1
  448. Q1 11:34
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    0-2
  449. Q1 11:47
    Nets turnover
  450. Q1 12:00
    Nic Claxton vs. Bam Adebayo (Michael Porter Jr. gains possession)
  451. Q1 12:00
    Nets lineup change (Michael Porter Jr., Nic Claxton, Terance Mann, Noah Clowney, Nolan Traore)
  452. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  453. Q1 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Andrew Wiggins, Davion Mitchell, Bam Adebayo)
Box Score
Nets
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Nets vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nets vs. Heat
  • Date: Thursday, March 5, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225
  • Moneyline Odds: Nets +610, Heat -715

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nets: 18%
  • Heat: 82%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nets 108-118 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nets a win probability of 18%, while the Heat have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nets vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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