Nets vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nets vs. Heat NBA game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Nets
98
124
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Nets
28 26 44 0 98
Heat
34 35 55 0 124
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nets
    <1%
  • Heat
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nets
28 26 44 0 98
Heat
34 35 55 0 124
Q4 00:11 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:25 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:30 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:43 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:40 Heat misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:17 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:29 Nets misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Nets misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:56 Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
Q4 3:13 Nets makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:08
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:11
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:25
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  5. Q4 00:26
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  6. Q4 00:30
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:41
    Kel'el Ware personal foul (Grant Nelson draws the foul)
  8. Q4 00:41
    Nets offensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:41
    Grant Nelson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  10. Q4 00:41
    Nets offensive rebound
  11. Q4 00:41
    +1
    Grant Nelson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-124
  12. Q4 00:43
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  13. Q4 00:58
    Heat turnover
  14. Q4 1:13
    Instant replay (Request: Ruling Upheld)
  15. Q4 1:13
    +1
    Grant Nelson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-124
  16. Q4 1:13
    +1
    Grant Nelson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-124
  17. Q4 1:13
    Heat personal foul
  18. Q4 1:37
    Heat turnover
  19. Q4 1:38
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  20. Q4 1:40
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  21. Q4 1:50
    Nets turnover
  22. Q4 2:06
    Nets personal foul
  23. Q4 2:06
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-124
  24. Q4 2:06
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-124
  25. Q4 2:16
    Heat offensive rebound
  26. Q4 2:16
    Nets personal foul
  27. Q4 2:17
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  28. Q4 2:26
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  29. Q4 2:29
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  30. Q4 2:36
    Nets offensive rebound
  31. Q4 2:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  32. Q4 2:38
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  33. Q4 2:49
    Nets 60 second timeout
  34. Q4 2:49
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jahmir Young, Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
  35. Q4 2:49
    Nets lineup change (Danny Wolf, Ochai Agbaji, Grant Nelson, Jalen Wilson, Ben Saraf)
  36. Q4 2:56
    +3
    Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    98-124
  37. Q4 3:13
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  38. Q4 3:29
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    93-117
  39. Q4 3:36
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  40. Q4 3:40
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  41. Q4 3:57
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    93-115
  42. Q4 4:17
    +2
    Michael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (Ben Saraf assists)
    93-113
  43. Q4 4:17
    Heat 60 second timeout
  44. Q4 4:17
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
  45. Q4 4:17
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  46. Q4 4:17
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Myron Gardner)
  47. Q4 4:27
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  48. Q4 4:30
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  49. Q4 4:47
    +3
    Noah Clowney makes three point jump shot (Ben Saraf assists)
    98-124
  50. Q4 5:09
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot
    98-124
  51. Q4 5:23
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  52. Q4 5:37
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  53. Q4 5:47
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  54. Q4 6:00
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  55. Q4 6:00
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point tip dunk
    98-124
  56. Q4 6:07
    Bam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  57. Q4 6:16
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  58. Q4 6:19
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  59. Q4 6:28
    Terance Mann shooting foul (Jaime Jaquez Jr. draws the foul)
  60. Q4 6:28
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-107
  61. Q4 6:28
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  62. Q4 6:28
    Heat offensive rebound
  63. Q4 6:42
    +2
    Noah Clowney makes two point running finger roll layup
    98-124
  64. Q4 6:48
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Nic Claxton steals)
  65. Q4 7:10
    Heat defensive rebound
  66. Q4 7:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  67. Q4 7:12
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 7:23
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann, Ben Saraf)
  69. Q4 7:23
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  70. Q4 7:23
    Nets 60 second timeout
  71. Q4 7:28
    Nets turnover
  72. Q4 7:35
    Terance Mann defensive rebound
  73. Q4 7:38
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  74. Q4 7:59
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  75. Q4 8:03
    Noah Clowney misses three point jump shot
  76. Q4 8:24
    Nolan Traore personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
  77. Q4 8:24
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    98-124
  78. Q4 8:24
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    98-124
  79. Q4 8:24
    +1
    Simone Fontecchio makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    98-124
  80. Q4 8:24
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
  81. Q4 8:43
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  82. Q4 9:02
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    80-101
  83. Q4 9:07
    Nets turnover
  84. Q4 9:11
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  85. Q4 9:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  86. Q4 9:22
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  87. Q4 9:27
    Nolan Traore misses three point jump shot
  88. Q4 9:43
    Heat 60 second timeout
  89. Q4 9:43
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
  90. Q4 9:45
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    98-124
  91. Q4 9:54
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  92. Q4 9:56
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  93. Q4 10:11
    +3
    Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    98-124
  94. Q4 10:30
    +3
    Ziaire Williams makes three point jump shot
    98-124
  95. Q4 10:45
    Danny Wolf personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  96. Q4 10:45
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-124
  97. Q4 10:45
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-124
  98. Q4 10:55
    Bam Adebayo shooting foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
  99. Q4 10:55
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-124
  100. Q4 10:55
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-124
  101. Q4 11:00
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  102. Q4 11:00
    Josh Minott defensive rebound
  103. Q4 11:00
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  104. Q4 11:03
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  105. Q4 11:16
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  106. Q4 11:20
    Ben Saraf misses two point jump shot
  107. Q4 11:35
    Nets defensive rebound
  108. Q4 11:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  109. Q4 11:38
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  110. Q4 11:47
    Ben Saraf turnover (lost ball) (Kasparas Jakucionis steals)
  111. Q4 11:50
    Heat turnover
  112. Q3 00:00
    Nets offensive rebound
  113. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  114. Q3 00:01
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  115. Q3 00:20
    +3
    Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot
    93-117
  116. Q3 00:22
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
  117. Q3 00:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  118. Q3 00:37
    Stoppage (Equipment malfunction)
  119. Q3 00:38
    +2
    Danny Wolf makes two point jump shot
    71-88
  120. Q3 00:42
    Heat turnover
  121. Q3 00:48
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  122. Q3 00:50
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  123. Q3 1:01
    Heat personal foul
  124. Q3 1:01
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    71-88
  125. Q3 1:01
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-124
  126. Q3 1:01
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  127. Q3 1:21
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    98-124
  128. Q3 1:38
    +2
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point putback layup
    98-124
  129. Q3 1:39
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  130. Q3 1:40
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  131. Q3 2:03
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  132. Q3 2:10
    Danny Wolf turnover
  133. Q3 2:22
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    98-124
  134. Q3 2:36
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  135. Q3 2:37
    Josh Minott defensive rebound
  136. Q3 2:40
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses two point jump shot
  137. Q3 2:47
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  138. Q3 2:52
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  139. Q3 3:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    93-117
  140. Q3 3:12
    Nets turnover
  141. Q3 3:19
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  142. Q3 3:23
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  143. Q3 3:48
    +2
    Day'Ron Sharpe makes two point cutting dunk (Danny Wolf assists)
    67-78
  144. Q3 3:55
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  145. Q3 4:00
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  146. Q3 4:06
    Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Ziaire Williams draws the foul)
  147. Q3 4:15
    Heat turnover
  148. Q3 4:17
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  149. Q3 4:22
    Kel'el Ware misses three point jump shot
  150. Q3 4:32
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    98-124
  151. Q3 4:39
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  152. Q3 4:41
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  153. Q3 4:45
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  154. Q3 4:51
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  155. Q3 5:10
    Andrew Wiggins misses two point running layup
  156. Q3 5:10
    Heat offensive rebound
  157. Q3 5:10
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  158. Q3 5:10
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Josh Minott, Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  159. Q3 5:11
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  160. Q3 5:14
    Danny Wolf misses three point jump shot
  161. Q3 5:32
    Kel'el Ware offensive foul (Charge) (Ben Saraf draws the foul)
  162. Q3 5:32
    Kel'el Ware turnover (offensive foul)
  163. Q3 5:38
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  164. Q3 5:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  165. Q3 5:42
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  166. Q3 5:58
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  167. Q3 5:58
    Ziaire Williams misses two point floating jump shot
  168. Q3 5:58
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  169. Q3 5:58
    Heat 60 second timeout
  170. Q3 5:58
    Nets offensive rebound
  171. Q3 5:58
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  172. Q3 5:58
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  173. Q3 5:58
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  174. Q3 5:58
    Instant replay
  175. Q3 5:58
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  176. Q3 5:58
    Instant replay
  177. Q3 5:58
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  178. Q3 5:58
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  179. Q3 5:58
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  180. Q3 6:18
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Danny Wolf, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  181. Q3 6:18
    Tyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  182. Q3 6:26
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  183. Q3 6:29
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  184. Q3 6:36
    Jump ball. (Terance Mann gains possession)
  185. Q3 6:39
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  186. Q3 6:39
    Heat 60 second timeout
  187. Q3 6:55
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    84-107
  188. Q3 7:03
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  189. Q3 7:07
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  190. Q3 7:19
    Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Ziaire Williams steals)
  191. Q3 7:19
    Heat personal foul
  192. Q3 7:21
    Terance Mann personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)
  193. Q3 7:21
    Heat offensive rebound
  194. Q3 7:23
    Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
  195. Q3 7:29
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  196. Q3 7:32
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  197. Q3 7:37
    Nolan Traore defensive rebound
  198. Q3 7:41
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  199. Q3 7:56
    Nets personal foul
  200. Q3 7:56
    Noah Clowney turnover (offensive foul)
  201. Q3 8:06
    Heat turnover
  202. Q3 8:11
    Tyler Herro offensive rebound
  203. Q3 8:14
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  204. Q3 8:23
    Ziaire Williams personal foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  205. Q3 8:29
    Nets offensive rebound
  206. Q3 8:29
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    82-101
  207. Q3 8:29
    Heat personal foul
  208. Q3 8:29
    Ziaire Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  209. Q3 8:37
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  210. Q3 8:39
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  211. Q3 8:48
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  212. Q3 9:00
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  213. Q3 9:04
    Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
  214. Q3 9:20
    Nets turnover
  215. Q3 9:33
    Bam Adebayo personal foul
  216. Q3 9:33
    Heat personal foul
  217. Q3 9:33
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    98-124
  218. Q3 9:33
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Terance Mann, Ziaire Williams)
  219. Q3 9:34
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    98-124
  220. Q3 9:39
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  221. Q3 9:43
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  222. Q3 10:02
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    98-124
  223. Q3 10:22
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    71-88
  224. Q3 10:27
    Terance Mann offensive rebound
  225. Q3 10:30
    Terance Mann misses three point running jump shot
  226. Q3 10:34
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  227. Q3 10:36
    Bam Adebayo misses two point jump shot
  228. Q3 10:48
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  229. Q3 10:52
    Michael Porter Jr. misses two point driving finger roll layup
  230. Q3 11:01
    Terance Mann defensive rebound
  231. Q3 11:04
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  232. Q3 11:07
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  233. Q3 11:09
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  234. Q3 11:27
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point driving layup
    82-101
  235. Q3 11:32
    Nets personal foul
  236. Q3 11:41
    Andrew Wiggins personal foul (Terance Mann draws the foul)
  237. Q3 11:41
    Michael Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  238. Q3 11:41
    +1
    Terance Mann makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    98-124
  239. Q3 11:41
    +1
    Terance Mann makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-124
  240. Q3 11:42
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  241. Q2 00:00
    Nolan Traore turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  242. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  243. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  244. Q2 00:04
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point running dunk (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    54-69
  245. Q2 00:08
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  246. Q2 00:11
    Nolan Traore misses two point driving floating jump shot
  247. Q2 00:30
    Nolan Traore defensive rebound
  248. Q2 00:34
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  249. Q2 00:42
    Davion Mitchell personal foul (Nolan Traore draws the foul)
  250. Q2 00:42
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  251. Q2 00:42
    +1
    Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-78
  252. Q2 00:42
    +1
    Nolan Traore makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-78
  253. Q2 00:47
    Nic Claxton shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  254. Q2 00:47
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-69
  255. Q2 00:47
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-78
  256. Q2 1:03
    +3
    Nolan Traore makes three point jump shot
    54-69
  257. Q2 1:16
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point jump shot
    54-69
  258. Q2 1:25
    Nets offensive rebound
  259. Q2 1:25
    Nets turnover (shot clock violation)
  260. Q2 1:25
    Terance Mann misses three point jump shot
  261. Q2 1:27
    Nets violation
  262. Q2 1:37
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  263. Q2 1:37
    Andrew Wiggins blocks Nolan Traore's two point driving layup
  264. Q2 1:37
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  265. Q2 1:37
    Nets offensive rebound
  266. Q2 1:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  267. Q2 1:37
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  268. Q2 1:37
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  269. Q2 1:37
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  270. Q2 1:37
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo)
  271. Q2 1:54
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    54-69
  272. Q2 2:14
    Heat defensive rebound
  273. Q2 2:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  274. Q2 2:17
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  275. Q2 2:30
    Heat 60 second timeout
  276. Q2 2:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  277. Q2 2:30
    Stoppage (Court cleanup)
  278. Q2 2:38
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  279. Q2 2:41
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  280. Q2 2:56
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  281. Q2 2:59
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  282. Q2 3:05
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  283. Q2 3:05
    Nets offensive rebound
  284. Q2 3:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  285. Q2 3:14
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    58-74
  286. Q2 3:16
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  287. Q2 3:20
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  288. Q2 3:22
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  289. Q2 3:22
    Nets offensive rebound
  290. Q2 3:23
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  291. Q2 3:38
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    58-74
  292. Q2 3:58
    Pelle Larsson personal foul (Noah Clowney draws the foul)
  293. Q2 3:58
    Noah Clowney technical foul (Double)
  294. Q2 3:58
    Tyler Herro technical foul (Double)
  295. Q2 3:58
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    54-69
  296. Q2 3:58
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    54-69
  297. Q2 4:06
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    52-67
  298. Q2 4:12
    Davion Mitchell defensive rebound
  299. Q2 4:17
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  300. Q2 4:30
    Nets personal foul
  301. Q2 4:30
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    52-67
  302. Q2 4:32
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    52-67
  303. Q2 4:41
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  304. Q2 4:41
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  305. Q2 4:41
    Nets personal foul
  306. Q2 4:41
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  307. Q2 4:47
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  308. Q2 4:47
    Pelle Larsson misses three point jump shot
  309. Q2 4:52
    Heat turnover
  310. Q2 5:15
    Heat personal foul
  311. Q2 5:15
    Noah Clowney misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  312. Q2 5:15
    Nets offensive rebound
  313. Q2 5:15
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-59
  314. Q2 5:35
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  315. Q2 5:35
    Nets defensive rebound
  316. Q2 5:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  317. Q2 5:50
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    49-59
  318. Q2 6:01
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  319. Q2 6:05
    Tyler Herro misses two point jump shot
  320. Q2 6:16
    Davion Mitchell shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)
  321. Q2 6:16
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  322. Q2 6:16
    +1
    Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    49-59
  323. Q2 6:16
    +1
    Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    49-59
  324. Q2 6:16
    +1
    Michael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    49-59
  325. Q2 6:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    49-59
  326. Q2 6:32
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  327. Q2 6:40
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  328. Q2 7:02
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  329. Q2 7:04
    Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  330. Q2 7:04
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  331. Q2 7:04
    Nets personal foul
  332. Q2 7:04
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-59
  333. Q2 7:04
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
  334. Q2 7:04
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  335. Q2 7:04
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  336. Q2 7:04
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
  337. Q2 7:15
    Kel'el Ware personal foul (Noah Clowney draws the foul)
  338. Q2 7:15
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    39-49
  339. Q2 7:15
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  340. Q2 7:15
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    40-49
  341. Q2 7:15
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
  342. Q2 7:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  343. Q2 7:24
    Kel'el Ware personal foul
  344. Q2 7:24
    Nets offensive rebound
  345. Q2 7:24
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
  346. Q2 7:27
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  347. Q2 7:37
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Loose ball) (Nic Claxton draws the foul)
  348. Q2 7:37
    Nic Claxton misses two point jump shot
  349. Q2 7:37
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson)
  350. Q2 7:37
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  351. Q2 7:37
    Nic Claxton offensive rebound
  352. Q2 7:37
    Heat defensive rebound
  353. Q2 7:37
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
  354. Q2 7:53
    Nets personal foul
  355. Q2 7:53
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-59
  356. Q2 7:53
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-59
  357. Q2 7:55
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  358. Q2 7:59
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. blocks Danny Wolf's two point floating jump shot
  359. Q2 8:00
    Danny Wolf offensive rebound
  360. Q2 8:03
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  361. Q2 8:20
    Nets 60 second timeout
  362. Q2 8:20
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio)
  363. Q2 8:20
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Michael Porter Jr., Ziaire Williams)
  364. Q2 8:21
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    39-47
  365. Q2 8:29
    Nets turnover
  366. Q2 8:45
    +3
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes three point jump shot
    39-44
  367. Q2 8:59
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    39-47
  368. Q2 9:04
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  369. Q2 9:07
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  370. Q2 9:22
    Nets turnover
  371. Q2 9:22
    Day'Ron Sharpe personal foul
  372. Q2 9:22
    Nets lineup change (Josh Minott, Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Danny Wolf, Ziaire Williams)
  373. Q2 9:27
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  374. Q2 9:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  375. Q2 9:41
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  376. Q2 9:57
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    35-41
  377. Q2 10:09
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    35-39
  378. Q2 10:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    33-39
  379. Q2 10:33
    Heat personal foul
  380. Q2 10:33
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    31-37
  381. Q2 10:33
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    32-37
  382. Q2 10:33
    +1
    Ziaire Williams makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    33-37
  383. Q2 10:36
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  384. Q2 10:39
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  385. Q2 10:50
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    30-37
  386. Q2 10:54
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  387. Q2 10:58
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  388. Q2 11:14
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    28-37
  389. Q2 11:15
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  390. Q2 11:19
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  391. Q2 11:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  392. Q2 11:39
    Ben Saraf turnover
  393. Q2 11:49
    Josh Minott defensive rebound
  394. Q2 11:51
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  395. Q2 11:55
    Nets turnover
  396. Q1 00:00
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  397. Q1 00:00
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  398. Q1 00:00
    Heat offensive rebound
  399. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  400. Q1 00:01
    Ben Saraf misses two point driving floating bank jump shot
  401. Q1 00:01
    Ben Saraf turnover (bad pass)
  402. Q1 00:19
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    28-34
  403. Q1 00:28
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  404. Q1 00:30
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  405. Q1 00:47
    Nets personal foul
  406. Q1 00:47
    Heat 60 second timeout
  407. Q1 00:47
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    28-30
  408. Q1 00:47
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    28-31
  409. Q1 1:07
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    28-29
  410. Q1 1:23
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  411. Q1 1:23
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    26-29
  412. Q1 1:23
    Kel'el Ware misses two point tip layup
  413. Q1 1:23
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  414. Q1 1:25
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  415. Q1 1:25
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  416. Q1 1:29
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  417. Q1 1:34
    Nets turnover
  418. Q1 1:45
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    26-27
  419. Q1 2:04
    +3
    Nets makes three point jump shot
    26-24
  420. Q1 2:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    23-24
  421. Q1 2:22
    Kasparas Jakucionis offensive rebound
  422. Q1 2:26
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 2:38
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    23-22
  424. Q1 2:42
    Danny Wolf defensive rebound
  425. Q1 2:45
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  426. Q1 2:58
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    21-22
  427. Q1 3:09
    Heat turnover
  428. Q1 3:09
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Josh Minott, Danny Wolf, Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  429. Q1 3:18
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    19-22
  430. Q1 3:28
    Day'Ron Sharpe defensive rebound
  431. Q1 3:34
    Nets personal foul
  432. Q1 3:34
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    17-22
  433. Q1 3:34
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Bam Adebayo, Simone Fontecchio)
  434. Q1 3:34
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Danny Wolf, Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  435. Q1 3:34
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  436. Q1 3:37
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  437. Q1 3:39
    Ziaire Williams offensive rebound
  438. Q1 3:39
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 3:42
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  440. Q1 3:54
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  441. Q1 3:57
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  442. Q1 4:11
    Ben Saraf offensive rebound
  443. Q1 4:11
    +2
    Ben Saraf makes two point tip layup
    17-21
  444. Q1 4:15
    Day'Ron Sharpe offensive rebound
  445. Q1 4:15
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  446. Q1 4:21
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  447. Q1 4:38
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    15-21
  448. Q1 4:42
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  449. Q1 4:46
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  450. Q1 4:51
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  451. Q1 4:54
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  452. Q1 5:01
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  453. Q1 5:07
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    15-19
  454. Q1 5:07
    Heat personal foul
  455. Q1 5:07
    Nets lineup change (Day'Ron Sharpe, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Ben Saraf, Ziaire Williams)
  456. Q1 5:07
    Michael Porter Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  457. Q1 5:19
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot
    13-19
  458. Q1 5:27
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  459. Q1 5:31
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 5:50
    Nets defensive rebound
  461. Q1 5:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  462. Q1 5:52
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  463. Q1 6:05
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    13-17
  464. Q1 6:17
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  465. Q1 6:17
    Nets defensive rebound
  466. Q1 6:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  467. Q1 6:17
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann, Ben Saraf)
  468. Q1 6:17
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr.)
  469. Q1 6:21
    Nets turnover
  470. Q1 6:30
    +2
    Davion Mitchell makes two point jump shot
    11-17
  471. Q1 6:45
    Heat personal foul
  472. Q1 6:45
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    10-15
  473. Q1 6:45
    +1
    Noah Clowney makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-15
  474. Q1 6:55
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  475. Q1 6:55
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  476. Q1 6:55
    Nets personal foul
  477. Q1 6:55
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    9-14
  478. Q1 6:55
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    9-15
  479. Q1 7:17
    +2
    Nets makes two point jump shot
    9-13
  480. Q1 7:39
    Nets 60 second timeout
  481. Q1 7:40
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    7-13
  482. Q1 7:44
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  483. Q1 7:48
    Nets misses three point jump shot
  484. Q1 7:51
    Noah Clowney defensive rebound
  485. Q1 7:58
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  486. Q1 8:00
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  487. Q1 8:05
    Nets misses two point jump shot
  488. Q1 8:12
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  489. Q1 8:15
    Bam Adebayo misses three point pullup jump shot
  490. Q1 8:22
    +2
    Terance Mann makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    7-11
  491. Q1 8:50
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point finger roll layup (Tyler Herro assists)
    5-11
  492. Q1 9:05
    +2
    Nolan Traore makes two point driving floating bank jump shot
    5-9
  493. Q1 9:24
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
    3-9
  494. Q1 9:38
    +3
    Nolan Traore makes three point jump shot (Michael Porter Jr. assists)
    3-7
  495. Q1 9:44
    Nic Claxton defensive rebound
  496. Q1 9:47
    Tyler Herro misses two point running layup
  497. Q1 9:51
    Nolan Traore turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
  498. Q1 10:09
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point stepback jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)
    0-7
  499. Q1 10:15
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  500. Q1 10:18
    Andrew Wiggins blocks Michael Porter Jr.'s two point driving layup
  501. Q1 10:33
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point tip layup
    0-4
  502. Q1 10:33
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  503. Q1 10:38
    Pelle Larsson misses two point running layup
  504. Q1 10:43
    Nolan Traore turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
  505. Q1 10:54
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    0-1
  506. Q1 10:54
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    0-2
  507. Q1 10:54
    Michael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)
  508. Q1 11:04
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  509. Q1 11:07
    Michael Porter Jr. misses three point stepback jump shot
  510. Q1 11:21
    Nets offensive rebound
  511. Q1 11:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  512. Q1 11:24
    Michael Porter Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot
  513. Q1 11:42
    Michael Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  514. Q1 11:45
    Davion Mitchell misses three point jump shot
  515. Q1 12:00
    Nic Claxton vs. Bam Adebayo (Tyler Herro gains possession)
  516. Q1 12:00
    Nets lineup change (Nic Claxton, Nolan Traore, Noah Clowney, Michael Porter Jr., Terance Mann)
  517. Q1 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Davion Mitchell, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Pelle Larsson, Bam Adebayo)
  518. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Nets
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Nets vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nets vs. Heat
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 225.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nets +525, Heat -650

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nets: 17%
  • Heat: 83%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nets 108-119 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nets a win probability of 17%, while the Heat have a win probability of 83%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Nets in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nets vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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