Pistons vs. Cavaliers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pistons vs. Cavaliers NBA game on March 3, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pistons
109
113
Rocket Arena
Cavaliers
Rocket Arena
TEAM1234T
Pistons
27 21 32 25 109
Cavaliers
25 29 35 23 113
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pistons
    13%
  • Cavaliers
    87%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pistons
27 21 32 25 109
Cavaliers
25 29 35 23 113
Q4 00:00 Jalen Duren misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Jalen Duren makes two point running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)
Q4 00:21 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 00:48 Pistons misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:54 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:03 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:31 Pistons misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:10 Pistons makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:38 Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Pistons offensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    Jalen Duren misses three point jump shot
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:00
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:01
    Pistons personal foul
  6. Q4 00:01
    Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  7. Q4 00:01
    +1
    Jaylon Tyson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-112
  8. Q4 00:03
    +2
    Jalen Duren makes two point running dunk (Cade Cunningham assists)
    105-112
  9. Q4 00:07
    Cavaliers turnover
  10. Q4 00:21
    Pistons lineup change (Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  11. Q4 00:21
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  12. Q4 00:21
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  13. Q4 00:22
    Dennis Schroder turnover
  14. Q4 00:30
    Ausar Thompson violation
  15. Q4 00:46
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  16. Q4 00:48
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  17. Q4 00:51
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  18. Q4 00:54
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  19. Q4 1:03
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  20. Q4 1:17
    Cade Cunningham turnover
  21. Q4 1:22
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  22. Q4 1:22
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 1:28
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  24. Q4 1:31
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  25. Q4 1:46
    Pistons personal foul
  26. Q4 1:46
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  27. Q4 1:46
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  28. Q4 1:46
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-112
  29. Q4 1:56
    Cade Cunningham personal foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
  30. Q4 2:10
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    105-107
  31. Q4 2:38
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    103-107
  32. Q4 2:56
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    103-104
  33. Q4 3:06
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  34. Q4 3:09
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 3:25
    Pistons turnover
  36. Q4 3:31
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  37. Q4 3:34
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  38. Q4 3:56
    Jaylon Tyson personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
  39. Q4 3:56
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-112
  40. Q4 3:56
    +1
    Cade Cunningham makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-112
  41. Q4 3:59
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  42. Q4 4:02
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  43. Q4 4:17
    Pistons personal foul
  44. Q4 4:17
    Duncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)
  45. Q4 4:23
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  46. Q4 4:23
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  47. Q4 4:23
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  48. Q4 4:23
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  49. Q4 4:32
    +3
    Evan Mobley makes three point pullup jump shot
    99-104
  50. Q4 4:54
    +2
    Tobias Harris makes two point stepback jump shot
    105-112
  51. Q4 4:57
    Cavaliers personal foul
  52. Q4 4:57
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  53. Q4 5:00
    Keon Ellis personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
  54. Q4 5:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  55. Q4 5:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  56. Q4 5:00
    Keon Ellis turnover
  57. Q4 5:06
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  58. Q4 5:11
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  59. Q4 5:33
    Evan Mobley personal foul (Jalen Duren draws the foul)
  60. Q4 5:33
    Pistons offensive rebound
  61. Q4 5:33
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-112
  62. Q4 5:33
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  63. Q4 5:33
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  64. Q4 5:36
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  65. Q4 5:39
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  66. Q4 5:47
    Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  67. Q4 5:50
    James Harden misses two point jump shot
  68. Q4 6:01
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  69. Q4 6:02
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  70. Q4 6:02
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  71. Q4 6:10
    Craig Porter Jr. turnover (Duncan Robinson steals)
  72. Q4 6:34
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-97
  73. Q4 6:34
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    88-97
  74. Q4 6:34
    Cavaliers personal foul
  75. Q4 6:34
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Craig Porter Jr., Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  76. Q4 6:47
    Ausar Thompson personal foul (James Harden draws the foul)
  77. Q4 6:47
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-112
  78. Q4 6:47
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-112
  79. Q4 7:02
    +2
    Javonte Green makes two point alley-oop dunk (Ausar Thompson assists)
    88-97
  80. Q4 7:06
    Cavaliers turnover
  81. Q4 7:14
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  82. Q4 7:29
    Duncan Robinson shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)
  83. Q4 7:29
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-107
  84. Q4 7:29
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren, Daniss Jenkins)
  85. Q4 7:29
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  86. Q4 7:29
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-112
  87. Q4 7:43
    Pistons turnover
  88. Q4 7:49
    Jaylon Tyson turnover
  89. Q4 8:01
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  90. Q4 8:05
    James Harden turnover
  91. Q4 8:14
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  92. Q4 8:16
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  93. Q4 8:28
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    86-97
  94. Q4 8:47
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  95. Q4 8:50
    Cavaliers personal foul
  96. Q4 8:50
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-112
  97. Q4 8:50
    Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  98. Q4 8:50
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  99. Q4 8:53
    James Harden turnover (Isaiah Stewart steals)
  100. Q4 9:13
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  101. Q4 9:13
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  102. Q4 9:14
    +2
    Ausar Thompson makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)
    105-107
  103. Q4 9:31
    Isaiah Stewart defensive rebound
  104. Q4 9:33
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  105. Q4 9:40
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
  106. Q4 9:40
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  107. Q4 9:40
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  108. Q4 9:42
    Keon Ellis misses three point jump shot
  109. Q4 9:50
    Isaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup
  110. Q4 9:51
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  111. Q4 9:55
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  112. Q4 9:55
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  113. Q4 10:16
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  114. Q4 10:29
    Keon Ellis defensive rebound
  115. Q4 10:32
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  116. Q4 10:53
    +3
    Jaylon Tyson makes three point jump shot
    105-112
  117. Q4 11:08
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    105-112
  118. Q4 11:22
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  119. Q4 11:25
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  120. Q4 11:32
    Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  121. Q4 11:36
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  122. Q3 00:00
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  123. Q4 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
  124. Q3 00:00
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  125. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  126. Q3 00:05
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    105-112
  127. Q3 00:06
    Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  128. Q3 00:07
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  129. Q3 00:27
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  130. Q3 00:32
    Tobias Harris misses three point jump shot
  131. Q3 00:47
    +3
    Dennis Schroder makes three point jump shot
    80-87
  132. Q3 1:04
    +2
    Tobias Harris makes two point jump shot (Daniss Jenkins assists)
    79-84
  133. Q3 1:04
    Thomas Bryant shooting foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
  134. Q3 1:04
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    80-87
  135. Q3 1:20
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  136. Q3 1:22
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  137. Q3 1:40
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  138. Q3 1:43
    Thomas Bryant blocks Daniss Jenkins's two point driving layup
  139. Q3 1:58
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    96-101
  140. Q3 1:58
    Pistons personal foul
  141. Q3 1:58
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    105-112
  142. Q3 2:13
    Keon Ellis personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
  143. Q3 2:13
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  144. Q3 2:13
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    96-101
  145. Q3 2:13
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Dennis Schroder)
  146. Q3 2:13
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    96-101
  147. Q3 2:33
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    80-87
  148. Q3 2:57
    +2
    Caris LeVert makes two point jump shot
    80-87
  149. Q3 2:58
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  150. Q3 3:00
    Caris LeVert misses three point jump shot
  151. Q3 3:04
    Isaiah Stewart offensive rebound
  152. Q3 3:08
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-87
  153. Q3 3:08
    Tobias Harris misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  154. Q3 3:08
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  155. Q3 3:08
    Dennis Schroder personal foul (Tobias Harris draws the foul)
  156. Q3 3:30
    Caris LeVert shooting foul (Thomas Bryant draws the foul)
  157. Q3 3:30
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    80-87
  158. Q3 3:30
    +1
    Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    96-101
  159. Q3 3:30
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris)
  160. Q3 3:50
    Pistons turnover
  161. Q3 3:50
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Craig Porter Jr., James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  162. Q3 3:59
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  163. Q3 4:02
    Craig Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot
  164. Q3 4:12
    +2
    Ronald Holland II makes two point putback layup
    80-87
  165. Q3 4:13
    Ronald Holland II offensive rebound
  166. Q3 4:21
    Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
  167. Q3 4:35
    Pistons personal foul
  168. Q3 4:35
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-87
  169. Q3 4:35
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    88-97
  170. Q3 4:35
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart)
  171. Q3 4:55
    Cavaliers personal foul
  172. Q3 4:55
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-94
  173. Q3 4:55
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    85-94
  174. Q3 5:05
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  175. Q3 5:08
    James Harden misses three point jump shot
  176. Q3 5:27
    Pistons turnover
  177. Q3 5:27
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Jalen Duren)
  178. Q3 5:44
    +3
    Craig Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot
    72-78
  179. Q3 6:02
    Evan Mobley personal foul
  180. Q3 6:02
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-87
  181. Q3 6:02
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  182. Q3 6:02
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    85-94
  183. Q3 6:02
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren)
  184. Q3 6:04
    Cade Cunningham misses three point jump shot
  185. Q3 6:30
    +2
    Dennis Schroder makes two point running finger roll layup
    80-87
  186. Q3 6:30
    Duncan Robinson shooting foul (Dennis Schroder draws the foul)
  187. Q3 6:30
    +1
    Dennis Schroder makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    85-94
  188. Q3 6:30
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Craig Porter Jr., James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  189. Q3 6:34
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  190. Q3 6:37
    Duncan Robinson misses three point jump shot
  191. Q3 6:44
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  192. Q3 6:50
    Ausar Thompson blocks Evan Mobley's two point driving finger roll layup
  193. Q3 7:03
    Jalen Duren turnover
  194. Q3 7:06
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  195. Q3 7:08
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  196. Q3 7:32
    Cavaliers personal foul
  197. Q3 7:32
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    85-94
  198. Q3 7:32
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  199. Q3 7:32
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    85-94
  200. Q3 7:32
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Sam Merrill, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  201. Q3 7:41
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  202. Q3 7:58
    Pistons turnover
  203. Q3 8:01
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  204. Q3 8:04
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  205. Q3 8:08
    Duncan Robinson defensive rebound
  206. Q3 8:11
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 8:22
    Pistons personal foul
  208. Q3 8:25
    James Harden defensive rebound
  209. Q3 8:28
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  210. Q3 8:40
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  211. Q3 8:43
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  212. Q3 8:55
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    72-78
  213. Q3 9:15
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  214. Q3 9:17
    Instant replay (Challenge)
  215. Q3 9:17
    Pistons personal foul
  216. Q3 9:17
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  217. Q3 9:17
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  218. Q3 9:17
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  219. Q3 9:17
    Jarrett Allen misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  220. Q3 9:17
    Jalen Duren defensive rebound
  221. Q3 9:27
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  222. Q3 9:41
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    63-67
  223. Q3 10:05
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  224. Q3 10:13
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    63-67
  225. Q3 10:27
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  226. Q3 10:27
    Cavaliers personal foul
  227. Q3 10:27
    +1
    Tobias Harris makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    63-67
  228. Q3 10:32
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  229. Q3 10:34
    Jaylon Tyson misses three point jump shot
  230. Q3 10:41
    Pistons turnover
  231. Q3 10:58
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    63-67
  232. Q3 11:12
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    63-67
  233. Q3 11:21
    Jalen Duren shooting foul (James Harden draws the foul)
  234. Q3 11:22
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  235. Q3 11:23
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-65
  236. Q3 11:23
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  237. Q3 11:23
    James Harden offensive rebound
  238. Q3 11:23
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  239. Q3 11:23
    +1
    James Harden makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    63-67
  240. Q3 11:46
    +3
    Duncan Robinson makes three point jump shot
    51-54
  241. Q3 11:52
    Jaylon Tyson personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)
  242. Q2 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  243. Q2 00:00
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  244. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  245. Q3 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  246. Q3 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  247. Q2 00:23
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    48-54
  248. Q2 00:32
    Javonte Green defensive rebound
  249. Q2 00:35
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  250. Q2 00:36
    Keon Ellis offensive rebound
  251. Q2 00:38
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  252. Q2 00:45
    James Harden defensive rebound
  253. Q2 00:50
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  254. Q2 1:02
    Pistons personal foul
  255. Q2 1:02
    Evan Mobley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  256. Q2 1:02
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  257. Q2 1:02
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris)
  258. Q2 1:02
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-54
  259. Q2 1:06
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  260. Q2 1:08
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  261. Q2 1:30
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    46-53
  262. Q2 1:49
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  263. Q2 1:49
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    46-51
  264. Q2 1:49
    Stoppage (Other)
  265. Q2 1:53
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  266. Q2 2:11
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    44-51
  267. Q2 2:27
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    44-48
  268. Q2 2:46
    Jarrett Allen offensive rebound
  269. Q2 2:46
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  270. Q2 2:46
    Pistons defensive rebound
  271. Q2 2:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  272. Q2 2:48
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  273. Q2 3:01
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    42-48
  274. Q2 3:05
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  275. Q2 3:10
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  276. Q2 3:18
    Pistons turnover
  277. Q2 3:30
    Cavaliers turnover
  278. Q2 3:35
    Pistons personal foul
  279. Q2 3:36
    Pistons turnover
  280. Q2 3:55
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  281. Q2 3:55
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  282. Q2 3:55
    Cavaliers personal foul
  283. Q2 3:55
    Keon Ellis turnover
  284. Q2 4:16
    Daniss Jenkins defensive rebound
  285. Q2 4:16
    Keon Ellis shooting foul
  286. Q2 4:16
    Instant replay
  287. Q2 4:16
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  288. Q2 4:16
    Jalen Duren misses two point running layup
  289. Q2 4:16
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  290. Q2 4:16
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  291. Q2 4:19
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  292. Q2 4:37
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  293. Q2 4:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  294. Q2 4:37
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  295. Q2 4:38
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  296. Q2 4:43
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  297. Q2 4:46
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  298. Q2 4:53
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  299. Q2 5:05
    Cavaliers personal foul
  300. Q2 5:05
    +1
    Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    39-48
  301. Q2 5:05
    +1
    Duncan Robinson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    40-48
  302. Q2 5:06
    Ausar Thompson offensive rebound
  303. Q2 5:10
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  304. Q2 5:16
    Cavaliers turnover
  305. Q2 5:30
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  306. Q2 5:31
    Pistons offensive rebound
  307. Q2 5:31
    Pistons turnover
  308. Q2 5:58
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    38-48
  309. Q2 5:59
    James Harden offensive rebound
  310. Q2 6:02
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  311. Q2 6:16
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  312. Q2 6:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  313. Q2 6:16
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  314. Q2 6:17
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  315. Q2 6:17
    Jalen Duren turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  316. Q2 6:20
    Jaylon Tyson offensive rebound
  317. Q2 6:23
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  318. Q2 6:41
    James Harden defensive rebound
  319. Q2 6:44
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  320. Q2 6:44
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  321. Q2 6:44
    Jalen Duren offensive rebound
  322. Q2 6:44
    Cavaliers personal foul
  323. Q2 6:44
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    38-45
  324. Q2 6:44
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  325. Q2 6:44
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  326. Q2 6:45
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  327. Q2 7:03
    Thomas Bryant offensive rebound
  328. Q2 7:03
    Pistons personal foul
  329. Q2 7:03
    +1
    Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    37-44
  330. Q2 7:03
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  331. Q2 7:03
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Javonte Green, Jalen Duren)
  332. Q2 7:03
    +1
    Thomas Bryant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    37-45
  333. Q2 7:05
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  334. Q2 7:07
    Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  335. Q2 7:09
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  336. Q2 7:18
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  337. Q2 7:20
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  338. Q2 7:30
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    37-43
  339. Q2 7:54
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    37-40
  340. Q2 8:11
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    34-40
  341. Q2 8:34
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  342. Q2 8:36
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  343. Q2 9:06
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    34-38
  344. Q2 9:13
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  345. Q2 9:15
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  346. Q2 9:19
    Caris LeVert defensive rebound
  347. Q2 9:21
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  348. Q2 9:32
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    34-35
  349. Q2 9:47
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    32-35
  350. Q2 9:47
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  351. Q2 9:53
    Craig Porter Jr. offensive rebound
  352. Q2 9:55
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  353. Q2 10:08
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    32-33
  354. Q2 10:22
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    29-33
  355. Q2 10:26
    Jaylon Tyson defensive rebound
  356. Q2 10:29
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  357. Q2 10:50
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    29-31
  358. Q2 10:58
    Thomas Bryant defensive rebound
  359. Q2 11:03
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  360. Q2 11:14
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    29-28
  361. Q2 11:30
    Pistons personal foul
  362. Q2 11:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    29-25
  363. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  364. Q1 00:00
    Cavaliers offensive rebound
  365. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  366. Q2 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Javonte Green, Isaiah Stewart)
  367. Q2 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Dennis Schroder)
  368. Q1 00:15
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    27-25
  369. Q1 00:31
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  370. Q1 00:34
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    24-25
  371. Q1 00:34
    Pistons personal foul
  372. Q1 00:34
    Jaylon Tyson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  373. Q1 00:57
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    24-23
  374. Q1 1:21
    Pistons personal foul
  375. Q1 1:21
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    21-22
  376. Q1 1:21
    +1
    Keon Ellis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    21-23
  377. Q1 1:21
    Pistons lineup change (Caris LeVert, Ronald Holland II, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  378. Q1 1:28
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  379. Q1 1:31
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  380. Q1 1:48
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  381. Q1 1:52
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  382. Q1 2:09
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    21-21
  383. Q1 2:19
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  384. Q1 2:23
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  385. Q1 2:37
    Keon Ellis defensive rebound
  386. Q1 2:40
    Cavaliers personal foul
  387. Q1 2:40
    Cavaliers 60 second timeout
  388. Q1 2:40
    Pistons lineup change (Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris, Daniss Jenkins)
  389. Q1 2:40
    Cavaliers lineup change (Thomas Bryant, Keon Ellis, Jaylon Tyson, Craig Porter Jr., Dennis Schroder)
  390. Q1 2:40
    +1
    Ausar Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    18-21
  391. Q1 2:40
    Ausar Thompson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  392. Q1 2:49
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    17-21
  393. Q1 3:02
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    17-19
  394. Q1 3:25
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    15-19
  395. Q1 3:30
    Pistons turnover
  396. Q1 3:46
    Ronald Holland II defensive rebound
  397. Q1 3:48
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  398. Q1 4:06
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  399. Q1 4:10
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  400. Q1 4:19
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  401. Q1 4:23
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  402. Q1 4:34
    Craig Porter Jr. defensive rebound
  403. Q1 4:35
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  404. Q1 4:48
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    15-17
  405. Q1 5:01
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    15-15
  406. Q1 5:22
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    13-15
  407. Q1 5:35
    Pistons personal foul
  408. Q1 5:35
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Jarrett Allen, Craig Porter Jr., James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  409. Q1 5:35
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ronald Holland II, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart)
  410. Q1 5:40
    Dennis Schroder defensive rebound
  411. Q1 5:44
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  412. Q1 5:47
    Ausar Thompson defensive rebound
  413. Q1 5:52
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  414. Q1 6:10
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    13-13
  415. Q1 6:24
    Pistons personal foul
  416. Q1 6:24
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-12
  417. Q1 6:24
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, James Harden, Dennis Schroder)
  418. Q1 6:24
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Isaiah Stewart, Tobias Harris)
  419. Q1 6:24
    +1
    Evan Mobley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    11-13
  420. Q1 6:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    11-11
  421. Q1 6:42
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  422. Q1 6:46
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  423. Q1 7:01
    +3
    Pistons makes three point jump shot
    9-11
  424. Q1 7:13
    Cavaliers personal foul
  425. Q1 7:13
    Cavaliers lineup change (Keon Ellis, Evan Mobley, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  426. Q1 7:23
    Pistons defensive rebound
  427. Q1 7:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  428. Q1 7:26
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  429. Q1 7:32
    Pistons personal foul
  430. Q1 7:40
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    6-11
  431. Q1 8:01
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    4-11
  432. Q1 8:05
    James Harden defensive rebound
  433. Q1 8:09
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  434. Q1 8:12
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  435. Q1 8:16
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  436. Q1 8:35
    +2
    Pistons makes two point jump shot
    4-9
  437. Q1 8:49
    Tobias Harris defensive rebound
  438. Q1 8:52
    Cavaliers misses two point jump shot
  439. Q1 9:06
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  440. Q1 9:06
    Cavaliers defensive rebound
  441. Q1 9:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  442. Q1 9:28
    Pistons 60 second timeout
  443. Q1 9:31
    +3
    Cavaliers makes three point jump shot
    2-9
  444. Q1 9:38
    Jarrett Allen defensive rebound
  445. Q1 9:40
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  446. Q1 9:58
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    2-6
  447. Q1 10:12
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  448. Q1 10:12
    Pistons personal foul
  449. Q1 10:12
    Jalen Duren turnover
  450. Q1 10:14
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  451. Q1 10:25
    Cavaliers personal foul
  452. Q1 10:25
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  453. Q1 10:25
    Pistons offensive rebound
  454. Q1 10:25
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-4
  455. Q1 10:36
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    1-4
  456. Q1 10:49
    Cavaliers personal foul
  457. Q1 10:49
    Jalen Duren misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  458. Q1 10:49
    Pistons offensive rebound
  459. Q1 10:49
    +1
    Jalen Duren makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    1-2
  460. Q1 11:03
    +2
    Cavaliers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  461. Q1 11:06
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  462. Q1 11:08
    Pistons misses two point jump shot
  463. Q1 11:15
    Cade Cunningham defensive rebound
  464. Q1 11:17
    Cavaliers misses three point jump shot
  465. Q1 11:33
    Evan Mobley defensive rebound
  466. Q1 11:37
    Pistons misses three point jump shot
  467. Q1 11:42
    Cavaliers turnover
  468. Q1 12:00
    Cavaliers lineup change (Evan Mobley, Jaylon Tyson, Jarrett Allen, Sam Merrill, James Harden)
  469. Q1 12:00
    Pistons lineup change (Duncan Robinson, Cade Cunningham, Ausar Thompson, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris)
  470. Q1 12:00
    (James Harden gains possession)
Box Score
Pistons
PosPlayerPts
Cavaliers
PosPlayerPts

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pistons vs. Cavaliers
  • Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Rocket Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pistons favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 227.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pistons -137, Cavaliers +125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pistons: 59%
  • Cavaliers: 41%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pistons 115-112 Cavaliers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pistons a win probability of 59%, while the Cavaliers have a win probability of 41%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pistons are more likely to beat the Cavaliers in the NBA game at Rocket Arena on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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