Pelicans vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pelicans vs. Jazz NBA game on February 28, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Pelicans
115
105
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
27 38 24 26 115
Jazz
22 18 33 32 105
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pelicans
    >99%
  • Jazz
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Pelicans
27 38 24 26 115
Jazz
22 18 33 32 105
Q4 00:01 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:05 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:18 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:29 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 00:33 Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:42 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:24 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Jazz makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:46 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Pelicans misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  3. Q4 00:01
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:02
    Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:05
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  6. Q4 00:15
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  7. Q4 00:18
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  8. Q4 00:29
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    115-105
  9. Q4 00:30
    Ace Bailey offensive rebound
  10. Q4 00:33
    Brice Sensabaugh misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 00:40
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  12. Q4 00:40
    Jazz personal foul
  13. Q4 00:40
    +1
    Karlo Matkovic makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    114-102
  14. Q4 00:40
    +1
    Karlo Matkovic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-102
  15. Q4 00:42
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  16. Q4 00:50
    Micah Peavy defensive rebound
  17. Q4 00:52
    Pelicans personal foul
  18. Q4 00:52
    +1
    Elijah Harkless makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    113-101
  19. Q4 00:52
    +1
    Elijah Harkless makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    113-102
  20. Q4 00:52
    Elijah Harkless misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  21. Q4 1:04
    Jazz personal foul
  22. Q4 1:04
    Pelicans lineup change (Jordan Hawkins, Micah Peavy, Karlo Matkovic, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
  23. Q4 1:04
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    112-100
  24. Q4 1:04
    +1
    Jeremiah Fears makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    113-100
  25. Q4 1:24
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    111-100
  26. Q4 1:33
    Pelicans personal foul
  27. Q4 1:33
    Karlo Matkovic turnover (offensive foul)
  28. Q4 1:39
    Elijah Harkless offensive rebound
  29. Q4 1:39
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    111-98
  30. Q4 1:46
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 1:49
    Jump ball. (Kyle Filipowski gains possession)
  32. Q4 1:49
    Saddiq Bey turnover (lost ball)
  33. Q4 1:57
    Bryce McGowens offensive rebound
  34. Q4 1:59
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  35. Q4 2:10
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  36. Q4 2:13
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  37. Q4 2:21
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  38. Q4 2:21
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  39. Q4 2:21
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  40. Q4 2:37
    Karlo Matkovic defensive rebound
  41. Q4 2:37
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  42. Q4 2:38
    Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
  43. Q4 2:38
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  44. Q4 2:44
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  45. Q4 2:59
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    111-96
  46. Q4 3:14
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    108-96
  47. Q4 3:26
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    107-94
  48. Q4 3:26
    Jazz personal foul
  49. Q4 3:26
    +1
    Bryce McGowens makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    108-94
  50. Q4 3:44
    Pelicans personal foul
  51. Q4 3:44
    +1
    Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    105-93
  52. Q4 3:44
    +1
    Isaiah Collier makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    105-94
  53. Q4 3:59
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    105-92
  54. Q4 4:04
    Pelicans turnover
  55. Q4 4:04
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  56. Q4 4:04
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  57. Q4 4:27
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    103-92
  58. Q4 4:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  59. Q4 4:37
    Jazz defensive rebound
  60. Q4 4:38
    Pelicans misses three point jump shot
  61. Q4 4:54
    Pelicans personal foul
  62. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-89
  63. Q4 4:54
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    103-90
  64. Q4 5:08
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    103-88
  65. Q4 5:31
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    100-88
  66. Q4 5:41
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    100-86
  67. Q4 5:50
    Jazz personal foul
  68. Q4 5:50
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh)
  69. Q4 6:10
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    98-86
  70. Q4 6:32
    Pelicans turnover
  71. Q4 6:48
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  72. Q4 6:52
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 7:01
    Pelicans turnover
  74. Q4 7:05
    Jazz turnover
  75. Q4 7:05
    Pelicans lineup change (Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
  76. Q4 7:12
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    98-86
  77. Q4 7:12
    Pelicans violation
  78. Q4 7:12
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  79. Q4 7:12
    Instant replay
  80. Q4 7:12
    Isaiah Collier misses two point jump shot
  81. Q4 7:12
    Jazz offensive rebound
  82. Q4 7:12
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  83. Q4 7:12
    Pelicans challenge timeout
  84. Q4 7:24
    Jazz personal foul
  85. Q4 7:24
    Yves Missi misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  86. Q4 7:24
    +1
    Yves Missi makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    98-84
  87. Q4 7:24
    Pelicans offensive rebound
  88. Q4 7:36
    Pelicans personal foul
  89. Q4 7:36
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    97-83
  90. Q4 7:36
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-84
  91. Q4 7:50
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  92. Q4 7:50
    Jazz lineup change (Kyle Filipowski, Ace Bailey, Isaiah Collier, Blake Hinson, Brice Sensabaugh)
  93. Q4 7:51
    +3
    Pelicans makes three point jump shot
    97-82
  94. Q4 7:56
    Jeremiah Fears defensive rebound
  95. Q4 7:59
    Jazz personal foul
  96. Q4 7:59
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  97. Q4 8:22
    +2
    Pelicans makes two point jump shot
    94-82
  98. Q4 8:32
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  99. Q4 8:37
    Isaiah Collier misses two point pullup jump shot
  100. Q4 9:00
    +3
    Bryce McGowens makes three point jump shot
    92-82
  101. Q4 9:28
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    94-82
  102. Q4 9:40
    Herbert Jones turnover
  103. Q4 9:48
    Jazz offensive rebound
  104. Q4 9:48
    Kyle Filipowski misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  105. Q4 9:48
    Pelicans 60 second timeout
  106. Q4 9:48
    Pelicans personal foul
  107. Q4 9:48
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-82
  108. Q4 9:48
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears, Bryce McGowens)
  109. Q4 10:00
    Blake Hinson defensive rebound
  110. Q4 10:03
    Saddiq Bey misses three point jump shot
  111. Q4 10:03
    Isaiah Collier misses two point jump shot
  112. Q4 10:03
    Blake Hinson offensive rebound
  113. Q4 10:28
    Jordan Poole personal foul
  114. Q4 10:28
    +2
    Kyle Filipowski makes two point jump shot
    89-79
  115. Q4 10:28
    +1
    Kyle Filipowski makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    89-79
  116. Q4 10:28
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Herbert Jones, Jeremiah Fears)
  117. Q4 10:35
    Blake Hinson defensive rebound
  118. Q4 10:38
    Pelicans misses two point jump shot
  119. Q4 10:52
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    89-76
  120. Q4 11:05
    Jordan Poole personal foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
  121. Q4 11:05
    Yves Missi turnover
  122. Q4 11:23
    Brice Sensabaugh offensive rebound
  123. Q4 11:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  124. Q4 11:25
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  125. Q4 11:36
    Jazz defensive rebound
  126. Q4 11:36
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  127. Q4 11:38
    Jordan Poole misses three point jump shot
  128. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  129. Q4 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Isaiah Collier, Blake Hinson, Brice Sensabaugh)
  130. Q4 12:00
    Pelicans lineup change (Yves Missi, Karlo Matkovic, Saddiq Bey, Jordan Poole, Jeremiah Fears)
  131. Q3 1:57
    Isaiah Collier misses two point running pullup jump shot
  132. Q3 2:57
    Jazz lineup change (Cody Williams, Kyle Filipowski, Isaiah Collier, Elijah Harkless, Brice Sensabaugh)
  133. Q3 4:18
    Jordan Poole blocks Oscar Tshiebwe's two point putback layup
  134. Q3 4:18
    Bryce McGowens defensive rebound
  135. Q3 4:18
    Oscar Tshiebwe turnover (lost ball)
  136. Q2 1:21
    Saddiq Bey offensive rebound
  137. Q2 1:21
    Bryce McGowens misses two point tip dunk
  138. Q2 7:36
    Jeremiah Fears offensive rebound
  139. Q1 1:50
    Jordan Poole misses two point jump shot
  140. Q1 1:50
    Jazz defensive rebound
  141. Q1 1:50
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  142. Q1 7:45
    Jazz personal foul
Box Score
Pelicans
PosPlayerPts
Jazz
PosPlayerPts

Pelicans vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pelicans vs. Jazz
  • Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026
  • Time: 9:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Pelicans favored at -22.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 220.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pelicans -225, Jazz +4000

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pelicans: 67%
  • Jazz: 33%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Pelicans 124-119 Jazz.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pelicans a win probability of 67%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 33%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pelicans are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pelicans vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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