Grizzlies vs. Heat Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Grizzlies vs. Heat NBA game on February 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Grizzlies
120
136
Kaseya Center
Heat
Kaseya Center
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
33 35 26 26 120
Heat
39 34 39 24 136
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Grizzlies
    <1%
  • Heat
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Grizzlies
33 35 26 26 120
Heat
39 34 39 24 136
Q4 00:00 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:06 Trevor Keels misses three point jump shot
Q4 00:23 Keshad Johnson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:50 GG Jackson makes two point tip layup
Q4 00:57 Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:20 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:33 Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:39 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:59 Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  2. Q4 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  4. Q4 00:05
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  5. Q4 00:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  6. Q4 00:06
    Trevor Keels misses three point jump shot
  7. Q4 00:21
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-136
  8. Q4 00:21
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  9. Q4 00:21
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul
  10. Q4 00:21
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    119-136
  11. Q4 00:23
    Keshad Johnson misses two point jump shot
  12. Q4 00:40
    Keshad Johnson shooting foul (Taylor Hendricks draws the foul)
  13. Q4 00:40
    Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  14. Q4 00:40
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  15. Q4 00:40
    +1
    Taylor Hendricks makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    115-136
  16. Q4 00:41
    Keshad Johnson turnover (Taylor Hendricks steals)
  17. Q4 00:47
    Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
  18. Q4 00:50
    Simone Fontecchio shooting foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
  19. Q4 00:50
    GG Jackson misses two point jump shot
  20. Q4 00:50
    GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  21. Q4 00:50
    +2
    GG Jackson makes two point tip layup
    118-136
  22. Q4 00:50
    GG Jackson offensive rebound
  23. Q4 00:53
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  24. Q4 00:57
    Dru Smith misses two point jump shot
  25. Q4 1:08
    Dru Smith personal foul (Javon Small draws the foul)
  26. Q4 1:08
    +1
    Javon Small makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    115-136
  27. Q4 1:08
    +1
    Javon Small makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    119-136
  28. Q4 1:16
    Cam Spencer defensive rebound
  29. Q4 1:20
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  30. Q4 1:27
    Keshad Johnson defensive rebound
  31. Q4 1:33
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 1:39
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    115-136
  33. Q4 1:55
    Instant replay
  34. Q4 1:55
    Heat personal foul
  35. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies personal foul
  36. Q4 1:55
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  37. Q4 1:55
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  38. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  39. Q4 1:55
    Myron Gardner technical foul (Double)
  40. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  41. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  42. Q4 1:55
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  43. Q4 1:55
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Dru Smith, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  44. Q4 1:55
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  45. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  46. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  47. Q4 1:55
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  48. Q4 1:55
    Myron Gardner technical foul (Double)
  49. Q4 1:55
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  50. Q4 1:59
    +3
    Scotty Pippen Jr. makes three point jump shot (Cam Spencer assists)
    113-136
  51. Q4 2:04
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  52. Q4 2:10
    Simone Fontecchio misses three point jump shot
  53. Q4 2:13
    Keshad Johnson offensive rebound
  54. Q4 2:17
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  55. Q4 2:21
    Trevor Keels defensive rebound
  56. Q4 2:23
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  57. Q4 2:29
    Heat lineup change (Keshad Johnson, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Trevor Keels, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  58. Q4 2:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  59. Q4 2:43
    +3
    Myron Gardner makes three point jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    113-134
  60. Q4 2:54
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    113-134
  61. Q4 3:03
    +3
    Bam Adebayo makes three point jump shot (Norman Powell assists)
    113-134
  62. Q4 3:13
    Heat offensive rebound
  63. Q4 3:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  64. Q4 3:15
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  65. Q4 3:19
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  66. Q4 3:20
    GG Jackson turnover
  67. Q4 3:23
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  68. Q4 3:25
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  69. Q4 3:25
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
  70. Q4 3:27
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  71. Q4 3:29
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  72. Q4 3:36
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  73. Q4 3:39
    GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
  74. Q4 3:53
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    108-128
  75. Q4 4:13
    Andrew Wiggins personal foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
  76. Q4 4:13
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-126
  77. Q4 4:13
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    108-126
  78. Q4 4:27
    Norman Powell turnover
  79. Q4 4:43
    Grizzlies turnover
  80. Q4 4:56
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  81. Q4 4:56
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    106-126
  82. Q4 4:56
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  83. Q4 5:11
    Pelle Larsson defensive rebound
  84. Q4 5:15
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
  85. Q4 5:37
    +2
    Pelle Larsson makes two point jump shot (Dru Smith assists)
    106-123
  86. Q4 5:55
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    106-126
  87. Q4 5:58
    Ty Jerome offensive rebound
  88. Q4 6:02
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  89. Q4 6:04
    Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
  90. Q4 6:08
    Ty Jerome blocks Pelle Larsson's two point jump shot
  91. Q4 6:08
    Pelle Larsson turnover (lost ball) (Ty Jerome steals)
  92. Q4 6:14
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  93. Q4 6:16
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  94. Q4 6:39
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point layup
    106-123
  95. Q4 6:43
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  96. Q4 6:45
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  97. Q4 7:01
    Heat 60 second timeout
  98. Q4 7:02
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    104-119
  99. Q4 7:07
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  100. Q4 7:07
    GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
  101. Q4 7:07
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  102. Q4 7:11
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul
  103. Q4 7:11
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Dru Smith, Norman Powell)
  104. Q4 7:11
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, GG Jackson)
  105. Q4 7:23
    Tyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Olivier-Maxence Prosper steals)
  106. Q4 7:40
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  107. Q4 7:45
    Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
  108. Q4 7:55
    Grizzlies personal foul
  109. Q4 7:55
    +1
    Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-119
  110. Q4 7:55
    +1
    Dru Smith makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-119
  111. Q4 7:59
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  112. Q4 8:02
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  113. Q4 8:22
    Grizzlies personal foul
  114. Q4 8:22
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    101-116
  115. Q4 8:22
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-119
  116. Q4 8:22
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Scotty Pippen Jr., Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks)
  117. Q4 8:30
    Walter Clayton Jr. turnover
  118. Q4 8:43
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith)
  119. Q4 8:43
    Walter Clayton Jr. shooting foul (Pelle Larsson draws the foul)
  120. Q4 8:43
    Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  121. Q4 8:43
    Heat offensive rebound
  122. Q4 8:43
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    101-119
  123. Q4 8:56
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    101-114
  124. Q4 8:58
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  125. Q4 9:01
    Tyler Herro misses three point jump shot
  126. Q4 9:05
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  127. Q4 9:08
    Ty Jerome misses two point driving floating jump shot
  128. Q4 9:25
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point jump shot
    99-114
  129. Q4 9:30
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  130. Q4 9:33
    Ty Jerome misses three point jump shot
  131. Q4 9:37
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  132. Q4 9:40
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  133. Q4 9:51
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  134. Q4 9:54
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  135. Q4 10:11
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  136. Q4 10:11
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  137. Q4 10:11
    Heat personal foul
  138. Q4 10:30
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    99-112
  139. Q4 10:35
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  140. Q4 10:37
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  141. Q4 10:56
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  142. Q4 10:58
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  143. Q4 11:02
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  144. Q4 11:05
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  145. Q4 11:07
    Tyler Herro offensive rebound
  146. Q4 11:10
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  147. Q4 11:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    96-112
  148. Q4 11:46
    Heat turnover
  149. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  150. Q3 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  151. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  152. Q4 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  153. Q3 00:01
    Heat turnover
  154. Q3 00:01
    Tyler Herro misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  155. Q3 00:01
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  156. Q3 00:14
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    94-112
  157. Q3 00:16
    Tyler Herro turnover (Javon Small steals)
  158. Q3 00:25
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  159. Q3 00:28
    Cam Spencer misses two point driving floating jump shot
  160. Q3 00:42
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    92-112
  161. Q3 00:52
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    92-109
  162. Q3 00:56
    Tyler Herro turnover (Scotty Pippen Jr. steals)
  163. Q3 1:01
    Tyler Herro defensive rebound
  164. Q3 1:05
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  165. Q3 1:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    89-109
  166. Q3 1:29
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  167. Q3 1:31
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  168. Q3 1:47
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    89-107
  169. Q3 1:54
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  170. Q3 1:58
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  171. Q3 2:08
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  172. Q3 2:12
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  173. Q3 2:24
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  174. Q3 2:27
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  175. Q3 2:37
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  176. Q3 2:49
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  177. Q3 2:49
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  178. Q3 2:49
    +2
    Kel'el Ware makes two point dunk (Dru Smith assists)
    89-105
  179. Q3 2:50
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  180. Q3 2:50
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  181. Q3 2:54
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  182. Q3 2:56
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  183. Q3 2:59
    Tyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot
  184. Q3 3:05
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  185. Q3 3:13
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  186. Q3 3:17
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  187. Q3 3:34
    Jahmai Mashack personal foul
  188. Q3 3:34
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    89-101
  189. Q3 3:34
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    89-102
  190. Q3 3:34
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
  191. Q3 3:48
    +2
    GG Jackson makes two point driving reverse layup (Scotty Pippen Jr. assists)
    87-98
  192. Q3 4:07
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot
    89-102
  193. Q3 4:22
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  194. Q3 4:25
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses three point jump shot
  195. Q3 4:31
    Heat turnover
  196. Q3 4:34
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  197. Q3 4:37
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses two point running layup
  198. Q3 4:38
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  199. Q3 4:42
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  200. Q3 4:48
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  201. Q3 4:51
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Scotty Pippen Jr. draws the foul)
  202. Q3 4:51
    Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
  203. Q3 4:51
    +1
    Scotty Pippen Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    87-98
  204. Q3 4:51
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware)
  205. Q3 4:51
    Scotty Pippen Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  206. Q3 4:54
    Cam Spencer misses three point jump shot
  207. Q3 5:02
    +2
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes two point running layup
    87-98
  208. Q3 5:07
    Grizzlies turnover
  209. Q3 5:13
    Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
  210. Q3 5:17
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. shooting foul (GG Jackson draws the foul)
  211. Q3 5:17
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  212. Q3 5:17
    GG Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  213. Q3 5:17
    GG Jackson misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  214. Q3 5:17
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  215. Q3 5:17
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
  216. Q3 5:20
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  217. Q3 5:23
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  218. Q3 5:35
    +2
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes two point jump shot
    86-96
  219. Q3 5:47
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    84-96
  220. Q3 5:48
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  221. Q3 5:50
    Norman Powell misses three point jump shot
  222. Q3 5:54
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    101-117
  223. Q3 6:07
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  224. Q3 6:09
    Jaylen Wells misses three point jump shot
  225. Q3 6:25
    Ty Jerome personal foul
  226. Q3 6:25
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    84-93
  227. Q3 6:25
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
  228. Q3 6:25
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-94
  229. Q3 6:25
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
  230. Q3 6:42
    Kasparas Jakucionis personal foul (Ty Jerome draws the foul)
  231. Q3 6:42
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-92
  232. Q3 6:42
    +1
    Ty Jerome makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    84-92
  233. Q3 6:57
    +3
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot
    82-92
  234. Q3 7:16
    Heat turnover
  235. Q3 7:17
    Heat personal foul
  236. Q3 7:17
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    80-89
  237. Q3 7:17
    +1
    Jaylen Wells makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-89
  238. Q3 7:22
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    80-89
  239. Q3 7:45
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    78-88
  240. Q3 7:46
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  241. Q3 7:51
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  242. Q3 8:05
    Heat personal foul
  243. Q3 8:09
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  244. Q3 8:12
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    78-86
  245. Q3 8:12
    Grizzlies personal foul
  246. Q3 8:12
    Bam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  247. Q3 8:28
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    78-84
  248. Q3 8:32
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  249. Q3 8:35
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  250. Q3 8:48
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    75-84
  251. Q3 8:54
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper defensive rebound
  252. Q3 8:59
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    72-84
  253. Q3 8:59
    Grizzlies personal foul
  254. Q3 8:59
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  255. Q3 9:12
    Stoppage (Other)
  256. Q3 9:14
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    72-82
  257. Q3 9:20
    Heat turnover
  258. Q3 9:35
    Grizzlies turnover
  259. Q3 9:45
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  260. Q3 9:45
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    70-81
  261. Q3 9:45
    Grizzlies personal foul
  262. Q3 9:45
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  263. Q3 9:45
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    70-82
  264. Q3 9:47
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  265. Q3 9:57
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  266. Q3 10:01
    Heat personal foul
  267. Q3 10:01
    Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  268. Q3 10:01
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  269. Q3 10:01
    Taylor Hendricks misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  270. Q3 10:20
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    70-79
  271. Q3 10:30
    Grizzlies turnover
  272. Q3 10:36
    Heat turnover
  273. Q3 10:40
    Grizzlies turnover
  274. Q3 10:55
    Grizzlies personal foul
  275. Q3 10:55
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    70-76
  276. Q3 10:55
    +1
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    70-77
  277. Q3 11:04
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    70-75
  278. Q3 11:25
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    68-76
  279. Q3 11:38
    Ty Jerome offensive rebound
  280. Q3 11:38
    Grizzlies turnover
  281. Q3 11:39
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  282. Q3 11:47
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  283. Q3 11:47
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  284. Q3 11:49
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  285. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  286. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
  287. Q3 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  288. Q2 00:03
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    68-73
  289. Q2 00:04
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  290. Q2 00:05
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  291. Q2 00:20
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    68-71
  292. Q2 00:22
    Jahmai Mashack defensive rebound
  293. Q2 00:25
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  294. Q2 00:28
    Tyler Herro offensive rebound
  295. Q2 00:31
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  296. Q2 00:39
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    66-71
  297. Q2 00:51
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    64-71
  298. Q2 1:05
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    64-68
  299. Q2 1:22
    Grizzlies personal foul
  300. Q2 1:22
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    62-67
  301. Q2 1:22
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    62-68
  302. Q2 1:22
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Norman Powell)
  303. Q2 1:39
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    62-66
  304. Q2 1:54
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  305. Q2 1:54
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  306. Q2 1:57
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  307. Q2 2:09
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    58-66
  308. Q2 2:09
    Heat personal foul
  309. Q2 2:09
    Heat 60 second timeout
  310. Q2 2:09
    +1
    GG Jackson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    59-66
  311. Q2 2:32
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    56-66
  312. Q2 2:52
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  313. Q2 2:57
    GG Jackson misses three point jump shot
  314. Q2 3:04
    Heat personal foul
  315. Q2 3:13
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    56-62
  316. Q2 3:13
    Grizzlies personal foul
  317. Q2 3:13
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    56-63
  318. Q2 3:17
    Grizzlies turnover
  319. Q2 3:27
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  320. Q2 3:27
    Heat turnover
  321. Q2 3:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    56-60
  322. Q2 3:30
    Grizzlies personal foul
  323. Q2 3:30
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Norman Powell)
  324. Q2 3:30
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  325. Q2 3:46
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    56-58
  326. Q2 3:55
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    54-58
  327. Q2 4:02
    Heat offensive rebound
  328. Q2 4:02
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  329. Q2 4:02
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  330. Q2 4:04
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  331. Q2 4:06
    Myron Gardner offensive rebound
  332. Q2 4:10
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  333. Q2 4:19
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  334. Q2 4:24
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  335. Q2 4:30
    Javon Small defensive rebound
  336. Q2 4:34
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  337. Q2 4:38
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    54-56
  338. Q2 4:43
    Heat turnover
  339. Q2 4:44
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  340. Q2 4:47
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  341. Q2 5:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-56
  342. Q2 5:01
    Grizzlies violation
  343. Q2 5:15
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    51-54
  344. Q2 5:21
    Jahmai Mashack offensive rebound
  345. Q2 5:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  346. Q2 5:29
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  347. Q2 5:30
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  348. Q2 5:30
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  349. Q2 5:51
    Grizzlies personal foul
  350. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    49-53
  351. Q2 5:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
  352. Q2 5:51
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    49-54
  353. Q2 5:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
  354. Q2 5:55
    Grizzlies turnover
  355. Q2 6:17
    Heat turnover
  356. Q2 6:27
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    49-52
  357. Q2 6:32
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    46-52
  358. Q2 6:32
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  359. Q2 6:42
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  360. Q2 6:43
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  361. Q2 7:00
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    46-50
  362. Q2 7:06
    Grizzlies personal foul
  363. Q2 7:06
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  364. Q2 7:06
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Andrew Wiggins, Kasparas Jakucionis, Norman Powell)
  365. Q2 7:13
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  366. Q2 7:15
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  367. Q2 7:30
    Heat personal foul
  368. Q2 7:30
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Kasparas Jakucionis)
  369. Q2 7:42
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    46-48
  370. Q2 7:45
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  371. Q2 7:47
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  372. Q2 7:50
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  373. Q2 7:58
    Ty Jerome defensive rebound
  374. Q2 8:03
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  375. Q2 8:17
    Heat defensive rebound
  376. Q2 8:17
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  377. Q2 8:17
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  378. Q2 8:19
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  379. Q2 8:31
    Grizzlies defensive rebound
  380. Q2 8:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  381. Q2 8:31
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis)
  382. Q2 8:32
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  383. Q2 8:43
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    46-45
  384. Q2 8:47
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  385. Q2 8:48
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  386. Q2 8:48
    Kel'el Ware offensive rebound
  387. Q2 8:53
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  388. Q2 9:10
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    44-45
  389. Q2 9:17
    Ty Jerome offensive rebound
  390. Q2 9:20
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  391. Q2 9:29
    Heat personal foul
  392. Q2 9:55
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    42-45
  393. Q2 10:09
    Grizzlies personal foul
  394. Q2 10:18
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    42-43
  395. Q2 10:30
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    39-43
  396. Q2 10:37
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    39-41
  397. Q2 10:42
    Heat turnover
  398. Q2 10:57
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    37-41
  399. Q2 11:15
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    35-41
  400. Q2 11:33
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    35-39
  401. Q2 11:37
    Heat turnover
  402. Q2 11:44
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  403. Q2 11:48
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  404. Q1 00:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  405. Q1 00:00
    Grizzlies offensive rebound
  406. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  407. Q2 12:00
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Ty Jerome, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  408. Q1 00:01
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    33-39
  409. Q1 00:19
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  410. Q1 00:23
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  411. Q1 00:34
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)
    33-37
  412. Q1 00:37
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  413. Q1 00:40
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  414. Q1 00:51
    +2
    Tyler Herro makes two point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    33-35
  415. Q1 1:05
    +2
    Scotty Pippen Jr. makes two point jump shot
    33-33
  416. Q1 1:22
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  417. Q1 1:22
    Heat personal foul
  418. Q1 1:24
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  419. Q1 1:33
    Grizzlies turnover
  420. Q1 1:54
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    31-33
  421. Q1 2:10
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    31-31
  422. Q1 2:19
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    28-31
  423. Q1 2:20
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  424. Q1 2:21
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  425. Q1 2:23
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  426. Q1 2:27
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  427. Q1 2:29
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  428. Q1 2:31
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  429. Q1 2:38
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    28-29
  430. Q1 2:44
    Heat turnover
  431. Q1 2:57
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    26-29
  432. Q1 3:04
    Heat personal foul
  433. Q1 3:13
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    23-29
  434. Q1 3:18
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  435. Q1 3:20
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  436. Q1 3:26
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  437. Q1 3:26
    Scotty Pippen Jr. offensive rebound
  438. Q1 3:26
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  439. Q1 3:45
    Grizzlies personal foul
  440. Q1 3:45
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-26
  441. Q1 3:45
    +1
    Tyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-27
  442. Q1 3:45
    Heat lineup change (Pelle Larsson, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
  443. Q1 3:55
    Kel'el Ware defensive rebound
  444. Q1 3:58
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  445. Q1 4:12
    Grizzlies personal foul
  446. Q1 4:12
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    23-24
  447. Q1 4:12
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    23-25
  448. Q1 4:12
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Dru Smith, Kel'el Ware)
  449. Q1 4:30
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    23-23
  450. Q1 4:34
    Scotty Pippen Jr. defensive rebound
  451. Q1 4:40
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  452. Q1 4:51
    Heat 60 second timeout
  453. Q1 4:51
    Grizzlies lineup change (Scotty Pippen Jr., Cam Spencer, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, GG Jackson)
  454. Q1 4:51
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Tyler Herro, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
  455. Q1 4:52
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    21-23
  456. Q1 4:55
    GG Jackson defensive rebound
  457. Q1 4:57
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  458. Q1 5:00
    Andrew Wiggins offensive rebound
  459. Q1 5:02
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  460. Q1 5:19
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    19-23
  461. Q1 5:29
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    17-22
  462. Q1 5:29
    Grizzlies personal foul
  463. Q1 5:29
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis, Kel'el Ware, Norman Powell)
  464. Q1 5:29
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    17-23
  465. Q1 5:31
    Kasparas Jakucionis defensive rebound
  466. Q1 5:33
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  467. Q1 5:42
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    17-20
  468. Q1 5:54
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    17-18
  469. Q1 6:10
    Heat personal foul
  470. Q1 6:10
    Kasparas Jakucionis turnover (offensive foul)
  471. Q1 6:10
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Jahmai Mashack, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr., GG Jackson)
  472. Q1 6:23
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  473. Q1 6:26
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    15-18
  474. Q1 6:40
    Jaylen Wells defensive rebound
  475. Q1 6:44
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  476. Q1 6:58
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  477. Q1 7:02
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  478. Q1 7:12
    Grizzlies personal foul
  479. Q1 7:12
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    13-17
  480. Q1 7:12
    Grizzlies lineup change (Jaylen Wells, Olivier-Maxence Prosper, Taylor Hendricks, Javon Small, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  481. Q1 7:12
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    13-18
  482. Q1 7:24
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    12-16
  483. Q1 7:24
    Heat personal foul
  484. Q1 7:24
    +1
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    13-16
  485. Q1 7:45
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    11-16
  486. Q1 7:57
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    11-14
  487. Q1 8:12
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    8-14
  488. Q1 8:27
    Grizzlies personal foul
  489. Q1 8:27
    Grizzlies turnover
  490. Q1 8:27
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper turnover (offensive foul)
  491. Q1 8:45
    Grizzlies personal foul
  492. Q1 8:45
    Grizzlies 60 second timeout
  493. Q1 8:45
    Instant replay
  494. Q1 8:45
    Pelle Larsson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  495. Q1 8:45
    Heat offensive rebound
  496. Q1 8:45
    +1
    Pelle Larsson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    8-11
  497. Q1 8:49
    Norman Powell defensive rebound
  498. Q1 8:54
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  499. Q1 9:09
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    8-10
  500. Q1 9:25
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    8-7
  501. Q1 9:46
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    5-7
  502. Q1 9:49
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  503. Q1 9:51
    Grizzlies misses two point jump shot
  504. Q1 9:59
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  505. Q1 10:02
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  506. Q1 10:17
    +3
    Grizzlies makes three point jump shot
    5-4
  507. Q1 10:33
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    2-4
  508. Q1 10:38
    Grizzlies turnover
  509. Q1 10:40
    Walter Clayton Jr. defensive rebound
  510. Q1 10:43
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  511. Q1 10:54
    +2
    Grizzlies makes two point jump shot
    2-2
  512. Q1 10:56
    Olivier-Maxence Prosper offensive rebound
  513. Q1 11:00
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  514. Q1 11:07
    Taylor Hendricks defensive rebound
  515. Q1 11:10
    Grizzlies personal foul
  516. Q1 11:10
    Stoppage (Other)
  517. Q1 11:10
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 1 of 3
  518. Q1 11:10
    Heat offensive rebound
  519. Q1 11:10
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 2 of 3
  520. Q1 11:10
    Heat offensive rebound
  521. Q1 11:10
    Norman Powell misses regular free throw 3 of 3
  522. Q1 11:14
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  523. Q1 11:18
    Grizzlies misses three point jump shot
  524. Q1 11:42
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  525. Q1 12:00
    Jahmai Mashack vs. Bam Adebayo (Kasparas Jakucionis gains possession)
Box Score
Grizzlies
PosPlayerPts
Heat
PosPlayerPts

Grizzlies vs. Heat: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Grizzlies vs. Heat
  • Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026
  • Time: 8:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Kaseya Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Heat favored at -11.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 237.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +430, Heat -550

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Grizzlies: 18%
  • Heat: 82%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Grizzlies 113-124 Heat.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Grizzlies a win probability of 18%, while the Heat have a win probability of 82%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Heat are more likely to beat the Grizzlies in the NBA game at Kaseya Center on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Grizzlies vs. Heat predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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