Cincinnati vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Cincinnati vs. NY City MLS match on April 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Cincinnati
4
:
4
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
CincinnatiCIN
N. Mercau (20')
Soccer ball icon
N. Mercau (35')
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A. Ojeda (53')
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Talles Magno (79')
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K. Denkey (32')
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K. Denkey (65')
Soccer ball icon
A. Chirila (90')
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Evander (pen.) (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Cincinnati
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Tanasijevic replaces T. Gray
  2. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by A. Chirila, assisted by P. Bucha
    3-4
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by Evander (pen.)
    4-4
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    T. Anunga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  5. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces A. Ojeda
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: A. Farnos replaces N. Mercau
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Jabbari replaces T. Barlow
  8. 79'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by Talles Magno, assisted by A. Ojeda
    2-4
  9. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces M. Moralez
  10. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: K. Parks replaces H. Wolf
  11. 71'
    Yellow Card
    K. Smith (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  12. 65'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by G. Valenzuela
    2-3
  13. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: G. Valenzuela replaces E. Echenique
  14. 60'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Anunga replaces G. Flores
  15. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda, assisted by A. O'Neill
    1-3
  16. 50'
    Yellow Card
    G. Flores (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  17. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Chirila replaces A. Powell
  18. 35'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau, assisted by M. Moralez
    1-2
  19. 32'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey, assisted by E. Echenique
    1-1
  20. 23'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: A. Powell replaces T. Hadebe
  21. 20'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
    0-1

Cincinnati vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Cincinnati vs. NY City
  • Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Cincinnati +290, NY City -115, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-188/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Cincinnati: 21.7%
  • NY City: 58.0%
  • Draw: 20.3%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Cincinnati 1-2 NY City (9.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Cincinnati vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.0%.

The most likely correct score is Cincinnati 1-2 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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