NY Red Bulls vs. Montreal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. Montreal MLS match on April 18, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
NY Red Bulls
1
:
4
Saputo Stadium
Montreal
Saputo Stadium
MontrealMTL
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
V. Loturi (5')
Soccer ball icon
P. Owusu (pen.) (39')
Soccer ball icon
M. Longstaff (48')
Soccer ball icon
M. Opoku (77')
Soccer ball icon
M. Longstaff (o.g.) (53')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Montreal
    >99.9%
  • Draw
    <0.1%
  • NY Red Bulls
    <0.1%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Yellow Card
    M. Longstaff (CF Montreal) cautioned
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
  3. 83'
    Yellow Card
    R. Donkor (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  4. 80'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces E. Forsberg
  5. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: F. Herbers replaces Ivan Jaime
  6. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces S. Piette
  7. 77'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by M. Opoku
    1-4
  8. 75'
    Yellow Card
    T. Gillier (CF Montreal) cautioned
  9. 71'
    Yellow Card
    B. Vera (CF Montreal) cautioned
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: N. Benedetti replaces A. Mehmeti
  11. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Opoku replaces N. Streit
  12. 53'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by M. Longstaff (o.g.)
    1-3
  13. 48'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by M. Longstaff
    0-3
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Mina replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: R. Mosquera replaces C. Cowell
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces J. Ruvalcaba
  17. 43'
    Yellow Card
    J. Ruvalcaba (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  18. 39'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu (pen.)
    0-2
  19. 34'
    Yellow Card
    A. Mehmeti (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  20. 5'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by V. Loturi, assisted by P. Owusu
    0-1

NY Red Bulls vs. Montreal: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Montreal
  • Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
  • Time: 2:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Saputo Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +145, Montreal +180, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 42.6%
  • Montreal: 33.7%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-1 Montreal (10.7%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. Montreal? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 42.6%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-1 Montreal.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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Responsible gambling

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