Miami vs. NY City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Miami vs. NY City MLS match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
Get 6 months of Dimers Pro for just $99.99
FINAL
MLS
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLS sport icon
MLS
Miami
3
2
Yankee Stadium
NY City
Yankee Stadium
NY CityNYC
Score Summary
MiamiMIA
N. Mercau (17')
Soccer ball icon
A. Ojeda (59')
Soccer ball icon
G. Lujan (3')
Soccer ball icon
L. Messi (61')
Soccer ball icon
Micael (74')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY City
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Miami
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: D. Baiera replaces T. Gray
  2. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: S. Reid replaces A. Ojeda
  3. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: Talles Magno replaces H. Wolf
  4. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces I. Fray
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: G. Berterame replaces Y. Bright
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ruiz replaces M. Silvetti
  7. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York City: J. Shore replaces K. Parks
  8. 74'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by Micael
    3-2
  9. 63'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Pinter replaces T. Allende
  10. 61'
    Yellow Card
    M. Moralez (New York City) cautioned
  11. 61'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi
    2-2
  12. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by A. Ojeda
    1-2
  13. 55'
    Yellow Card
    I. Fray (Inter Miami) cautioned
  14. 55'
    Yellow Card
    T. Allende (Inter Miami) cautioned
  15. 53'
    Yellow Card
    Micael (Inter Miami) cautioned
  16. 38'
    Yellow Card
    G. Lujan (Inter Miami) cautioned
  17. 17'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York City by N. Mercau
    1-1
  18. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by G. Lujan
    1-0

Miami vs. NY City: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Miami vs. NY City
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Miami +220, NY City +120, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-130/+112)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Miami: 30.3%
  • NY City: 47.5%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Miami 1-1 NY City (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Who will win Miami vs. NY City? Prediction & correct score

NY City is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 47.5%.

The most likely correct score is Miami 1-1 NY City.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on Miami vs. NY City, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.