Montreal vs. Cincinnati Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Montreal vs. Cincinnati MLS match on March 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS sport icon
MLS
Montreal
3
4
TQL Stadium
Cincinnati
TQL Stadium
CincinnatiCIN
Score Summary
MontrealMTL
E. Echenique (40')
Soccer ball icon
A. Jabbari (52')
Soccer ball icon
M. Robinson (60')
Red Card icon
T. Barlow (80')
Soccer ball icon
K. Denkey (90')
Soccer ball icon
W. Carmona (6')
Soccer ball icon
P. Owusu (45')
Soccer ball icon
P. Owusu (pen.) (64')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cincinnati
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Montreal
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by K. Denkey
    3-4
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    K. Denkey (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  3. 88'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Jimenez replaces O. Nwobodo
  4. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: O. Escobar replaces M. Longstaff
  5. 83'
    Yellow Card
    T. Hadebe (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  6. 80'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by T. Barlow
    3-3
  7. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: S. Gidi replaces A. Powell
  8. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Barlow replaces P. Bucha
  9. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Rios replaces P. Owusu
  10. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: S. Piette replaces W. Carmona
  11. 66'
    Yellow Card
    O. Nwobodo (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  12. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: T. Hadebe replaces M. Miazga
  13. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Cincinnati: N. Hagglund replaces A. Jabbari
  14. 64'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu (pen.)
    3-2
  15. 62'
    Yellow Card
    M. Miazga (FC Cincinnati) cautioned
  16. 60'
    Red Card
    M. Robinson (FC Cincinnati) sent off with a straight red card
  17. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: D. Thorhallsson replaces Ivan Jaime
  18. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for CF Montreal: M. Opoku replaces G. Synchuk
  19. 52'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by A. Jabbari
    2-2
  20. 47'
    Yellow Card
    G. Synchuk (CF Montreal) cautioned
  21. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by P. Owusu
    2-1
  22. 40'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Cincinnati by E. Echenique, assisted by A. Powell
    1-1
  23. 6'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for CF Montreal by W. Carmona
    1-0

Montreal vs. Cincinnati: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Montreal vs. Cincinnati
  • Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: TQL Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Montreal +350, Cincinnati -135, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-169/+142)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Montreal: 19.9%
  • Cincinnati: 58.0%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Montreal 1-1 Cincinnati (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Montreal vs. Cincinnati? Prediction & correct score

Cincinnati is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 58.0%.

The most likely correct score is Montreal 1-1 Cincinnati.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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