Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls MLS match on August 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Chicago
1
:
1
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red Bulls
Sports Illustrated Stadium
NY Red BullsNY
Score Summary
ChicagoCHI
C. Harper (86')
Soccer ball icon
M. Haile-Selassie (38')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
  • Draw
    100.0%
  • Chicago
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Elliott replaces R. Lod
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: P. Dithejane replaces J. Bamba
  3. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Harper, assisted by E. M. Choupo-Moting
    1-1
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: D. D'Avilla replaces M. Pineda
  5. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: C. Harper replaces J. Hall
  6. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: J. Dean replaces V. Radojevic
  7. 66'
    Yellow Card
    M. Sofo (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: A. Saletros replaces S. Williams
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Chicago Fire: R. Lewandowski replaces P. Zinckernagel
  10. 64'
    Yellow Card
    J. Waterman (Chicago Fire) cautioned
  11. 57'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: E. M. Choupo-Moting replaces E. Forsberg
  12. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces D. Nealis
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Ruvalcaba replaces M. Jimenez
  14. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces C. Cowell
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Marshall-Rutty replaces M. Dos Santos
  16. 38'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Chicago Fire by M. Haile-Selassie, assisted by V. Radojevic
    1-0
  17. 17'
    Yellow Card
    L. Barroso (Chicago Fire) cautioned

Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Sports Illustrated Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chicago +188, NY Red Bulls +140, draw +295
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-300/+240)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Chicago: 34.2%
  • NY Red Bulls: 43.7%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Chicago 1-1 NY Red Bulls (9.1%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Chicago vs. NY Red Bulls? Prediction & correct score

NY Red Bulls is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 43.7%.

The most likely correct score is Chicago 1-1 NY Red Bulls.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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