Toronto vs. Miami Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Toronto vs. Miami MLS match on August 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Toronto
2
1
Nu Stadium
Miami
Nu Stadium
MiamiMIA
Score Summary
TorontoTOR
L. Messi (83')
Soccer ball icon
J. Sargent (59')
Soccer ball icon
D. Etienne (62')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Miami
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Toronto
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    D. Ayala (Inter Miami) cautioned
  2. 87'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: N. Gomis replaces D. Mihailovic
  3. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: J. Gilman replaces D. Etienne
  4. 83'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Inter Miami by L. Messi, assisted by R. de Paul
    2-1
  5. 77'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: T. Corbeanu replaces J. Sargent
  6. 74'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Pinter replaces T. Segovia
  7. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: L. Delinois replaces L. Suarez
  8. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: D. Ayala replaces Casemiro
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Matheus Pereira replaces D. Salloi
  10. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by D. Etienne
    2-0
  11. 59'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by J. Sargent, assisted by D. Salloi
    1-0
  12. 58'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: N. Allen replaces S. Reguilon
  13. 53'
    Yellow Card
    M. Falcon (Inter Miami) cautioned
  14. 37'
    Yellow Card
    R. Laryea (Toronto FC) cautioned
  15. 26'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Inter Miami: F. Mura replaces G. Lujan

Toronto vs. Miami: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Toronto vs. Miami
  • Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Nu Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toronto +700, Miami -275, draw +500
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-550/+350)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Toronto: 13.0%
  • Miami: 72.3%
  • Draw: 14.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Toronto 1-2 Miami (8.2%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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  • Moneyline probabilities
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Who will win Toronto vs. Miami? Prediction & correct score

Miami is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 72.3%.

The most likely correct score is Toronto 1-2 Miami.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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