New England vs. Toronto Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the New England vs. Toronto MLS match on August 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
New England
1
2
BMO Field
Toronto
BMO Field
TorontoTOR
Score Summary
New EnglandNE
W. Sands (o.g.) (43')
Soccer ball icon
N. Dorsch (45')
Soccer ball icon
D. Mihailovic (76')
Red Card icon
W. Harris (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Toronto
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • New England
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New England Revolution by W. Harris, assisted by J. Harrison
    1-2
  2. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: E. Aristizabal replaces J. Sargent
  3. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: K. Franklin replaces M. Cimermancic
  4. 86'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: D. Fagundez replaces B. Raines
  5. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: M. Zambrano replaces M. Polster
  6. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: Z. Monlouis replaces T. Corbeanu
  7. 81'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Toronto FC: A. Coello replaces D. Salloi
  8. 76'
    Red Card
    D. Mihailovic (Toronto FC) sent off with a straight red card
  9. 74'
    Yellow Card
    W. Zimmerman (Toronto FC) cautioned
  10. 73'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: W. Harris replaces D. Turgeman
  11. 45'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by N. Dorsch, assisted by D. Mihailovic
    0-2
  12. 43'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Toronto FC by W. Sands (o.g.)
    0-1
  13. 40'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New England Revolution: G. Yow replaces P. Miller
  14. 25'
    Yellow Card
    B. Raines (New England Revolution) cautioned

New England vs. Toronto: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: New England vs. Toronto
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: BMO Field

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: New England +220, Toronto +120, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-148/+125)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • New England: 29.9%
  • Toronto: 45.4%
  • Draw: 24.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: New England 1-1 Toronto (11.6%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win New England vs. Toronto? Prediction & correct score

Toronto is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 45.4%.

The most likely correct score is New England 1-1 Toronto.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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