St Louis City vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the St Louis City vs. San Jose MLS match on August 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
St Louis City
3
1
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
St Louis CitySTL
B. Leroux (47')
Soccer ball icon
D. Edelman (8')
Soccer ball icon
S. Becher (27')
Soccer ball icon
S. Becher (55')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • St Louis City
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Orozco replaces C. Wallem
  2. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: P. Ault replaces S. Becher
  3. 84'
    Yellow Card
    T. Totland (St. Louis City) cautioned
  4. 82'
    Yellow Card
    R. Roberts (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  5. 77'
    Yellow Card
    C. Wallem (St. Louis City) cautioned
  6. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces O. Bouda
  7. 71'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: I. Harkes replaces R. Vieira
  8. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: C. Holse replaces E. Lowen
  9. 69'
    Substitution
    Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Matan replaces S. Jeong
  10. 55'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by T. Totland
    3-1
  11. 47'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Leroux
    2-1
  12. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: L. Jovanovic replaces N. Tsakiris
  13. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Jasinski replaces B. Kikanovic
  14. 27'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by S. Becher, assisted by E. Lowen
    2-0
  15. 8'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for St. Louis City by D. Edelman, assisted by C. Wallem
    1-0

St Louis City vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: St Louis City vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: St Louis City +210, San Jose +115, draw +290

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • St Louis City: 28.0%
  • San Jose: 49.7%
  • Draw: 22.4%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: St Louis City 1-1 San Jose (9.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win St Louis City vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 49.7%.

The most likely correct score is St Louis City 1-1 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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