LA Galaxy vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the LA Galaxy vs. Houston MLS match on August 15, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
LA Galaxy
0
1
Shell Energy Stadium
Houston
Shell Energy Stadium
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
LA GalaxyLAG
Guilherme (pen.) (21')
Soccer ball icon
I. Aliyu (90')
Red Card icon
C. Garces (58')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Houston
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • LA Galaxy
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: R. Ramos replaces L. Sanabria
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    H. Lozano (Los Angeles Galaxy) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Yellow Card
    I. Aliyu (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  4. 90'
    Red Card
    I. Aliyu (Houston Dynamo) sent off for a second yellow card
  5. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Aliyu replaces M. Bogusz
  6. 89'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Samassekou replaces H. Herrera
  7. 83'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: A. Bouzat replaces J. McGlynn
  8. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: D. Holmes replaces F. Negri
  9. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Houston Dynamo: O. Lingr replaces D. McGuire
  10. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: T. Elgersma replaces K. Furuhashi
  11. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: H. Lozano replaces R. Taylor
  12. 58'
    Red Card
    C. Garces (Los Angeles Galaxy) sent off with a straight red card
  13. 56'
    Yellow Card
    L. Ennali (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  14. 54'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: I. Parente replaces E. Wynder
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Los Angeles Galaxy: C. Garces replaces M. Yoshida
  16. 45'
    Yellow Card
    H. Herrera (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
  17. 21'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Houston Dynamo by Guilherme (pen.)
    0-1

LA Galaxy vs. Houston: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: LA Galaxy vs. Houston
  • Date: Saturday, August 15, 2026
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: LA Galaxy +400, Houston -150, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+133)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • LA Galaxy: 20.1%
  • Houston: 57.7%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: LA Galaxy 1-1 Houston (10.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win LA Galaxy vs. Houston? Prediction & correct score

Houston is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 57.7%.

The most likely correct score is LA Galaxy 1-1 Houston.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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