NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia MLS match on July 22, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro for full access.
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MLS
NY Red Bulls
1
3
Jul 22, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park
Philadelphia
Jul 22, 7:30 PM ET Subaru Park
PhiladelphiaPHI
Score Summary
NY Red BullsNY
M. Iloski (9')
Soccer ball icon
I. Vassilev (57')
Soccer ball icon
N. Pierre (66')
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C. Cowell (38')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Philadelphia
    100.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • NY Red Bulls
    0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Yellow Card
G. Berggren (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: E. Alladoh replaces M. Iloski
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. Bueno replaces C. Sullivan
85'
Yellow Card
O. Valencia (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
77'
Yellow Card
R. Donkor (New York Red Bulls) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: G. Berggren replaces E. Forsberg
75'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: M. Sofo replaces C. Cowell
74'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: J. Bazan replaces J. Marshall-Rutty
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: Q. Sullivan replaces I. Vassilev
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by N. Pierre, assisted by K. Wagner
1-3
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by I. Vassilev, assisted by F. Westfield
1-2
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: N. Pierre replaces J. Sery Larsen
46'
Substitution
Substitution for New York Red Bulls: O. Valencia replaces M. Dos Santos
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for New York Red Bulls by C. Cowell, assisted by E. Forsberg
1-1
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by M. Iloski
0-1

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NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia
  • Date: Wednesday, July 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Subaru Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: NY Red Bulls +325, Philadelphia -135, draw +333
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-250/+188)

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • NY Red Bulls: 23.0%
  • Philadelphia: 56.2%
  • Draw: 20.8%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: NY Red Bulls 1-2 Philadelphia (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities

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Who will win NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia? Prediction & correct score

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 56.2%.

The most likely correct score is NY Red Bulls 1-2 Philadelphia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Start your free 3-day trial of Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

Dimers' predictions and betting insights are designed to help inform your betting decisions. If you're betting on NY Red Bulls vs. Philadelphia, always gamble responsibly and within your means. For support, you can visit our responsible gambling resources.