Dallas vs. San Jose Prediction, Picks and Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for the Dallas vs. San Jose MLS match on May 16, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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FINAL
MLS
FINAL
MLS sport icon
MLS
Dallas
3
2
PayPal Park
San Jose
PayPal Park
San JoseSJ
Score Summary
DallasFCD
B. Leroux (18')
Soccer ball icon
R. Roberts (81')
Soccer ball icon
P. Delgado (1')
Soccer ball icon
P. Musa (49')
Soccer ball icon
S. Sarver (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • San Jose
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Dallas
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Yellow Card
    N. Norris (FC Dallas) cautioned
  2. 90'
    Yellow Card
    C. Cappis (FC Dallas) cautioned
  3. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by S. Sarver, assisted by Kaick
    3-2
  4. 90'
    Yellow Card
    Daniel (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  5. 85'
    Yellow Card
    B. Kikanovic (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  6. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Sarver replaces J. Valiente
  7. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: S. Ibeagha replaces Ramiro
  8. 81'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by R. Roberts
    2-2
  9. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: J. Skahan replaces J. Ricketts
  10. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: P. Marie replaces I. Harkes
  11. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: C. Cappis replaces P. Delgado
  12. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: R. Binyamin replaces S. Moreno
  13. 70'
    Substitution
    Substitution for San Jose Earthquakes: N. Fernandez replaces J. Jasinski
  14. 65'
    Substitution
    Substitution for FC Dallas: L. Farrington replaces P. Musa
  15. 61'
    Yellow Card
    Ramiro (FC Dallas) cautioned
  16. 49'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Musa, assisted by H. Johansson
    2-1
  17. 48'
    Yellow Card
    D. Munie (San Jose Earthquakes) cautioned
  18. 42'
    Penalty missed by B. Leroux for San Jose Earthquakes
  19. 18'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for San Jose Earthquakes by B. Leroux
    1-1
  20. 1'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for FC Dallas by P. Delgado
    1-0

Dallas vs. San Jose: Match prediction & analysis

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. San Jose
  • Date: Saturday, May 16, 2026
  • Time: 10:30 PM ET
  • Venue: PayPal Park

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +230, San Jose +260, draw +310

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Dallas: 25.9%
  • San Jose: 52.4%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' MLS data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Dallas 1-1 San Jose (9.5%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

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Who will win Dallas vs. San Jose? Prediction & correct score

San Jose is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 52.4%.

The most likely correct score is Dallas 1-1 San Jose.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

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