Nationals vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Red Sox MLB game on June 29, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Nationals
Miles Mikolas 2-6, 5.24 ERA
3
6
Jun 29, 7:10 PM ET Fenway Park
Red Sox
Starter not available 3-3, 2.83 ERA
Jun 29, 7:10 PM ET Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 7 0
Red Sox
4 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 X 6 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    0%
  • Red Sox
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jorbit Vivas strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wood LF4111102.2501.250
2 J. Tena DH1000001.0000.000
3 C. Mead 3B4020002.5001.000
4 C. Abrams SS4012002.2500.750
5 D. Crews RF4000001.0000.000
6 D. Lile PH1000000.0000.000
7 L. García 1B3010010.3330.833
8 J. Vivas PH1000001.0000.000
9 K. Ruiz C3110000.3330.666
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 M. Yoshida DH4010000.2500.500
2 C. Rafaela CF4120000.5001.000
3 W. Abreu RF3111000.3330.583
4 A. Monasterio 1B2000000.0000.000
5 J. Duran LF4000002.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B3111110.3331.833
7 A. Seigler 2B3120000.6671.667
8 C. Narváez C2001001.0000.000
9 T. Cheng SS3110000.3330.666

Nationals vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nationals vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Monday, June 29, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nationals +167, Red Sox -163

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nationals: 37%
  • Red Sox: 63%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 37%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 63%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Monday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.