Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Phillies MLB game on June 21, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Mets
David Peterson 3-5, 5.91 ERA
2
6
Jun 21, 7:20 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 6-1, 2.01 ERA
Jun 21, 7:20 PM ET Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 6 1
Phillies
2 3 0 0 1 0 0 0 X 6 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Francisco Alvarez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF3211111.3331.833
2 B. Bichette SS4000002.0000.000
3 J. Soto LF3010011.3330.833
4 J. Young 1B3010011.3330.833
5 A. Ewing CF4021000.5001.000
6 M. Semien 2B4000002.0000.000
7 M. Melendez PH1000001.0000.000
8 F. Alvarez DH4000003.0000.000
9 L. Torrens C3010001.3330.666
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS3210010.3330.833
2 K. Schwarber DH3213111.3331.833
3 B. Harper 1B4131101.7502.500
4 A. Bohm 3B3010010.3330.833
5 J. Crawford CF0000000.0000.000
6 B. Marsh LF4000002.0000.000
7 J. Realmuto C4000000.0000.000
8 D. Hill RF4010001.2500.500
9 B. Stott 2B4110001.2500.500

Mets vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Phillies
  • Date: Sunday, June 21, 2026
  • Time: 7:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets +167, Phillies -160

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 41%
  • Phillies: 59%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 41%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 59%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.