Mets vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Phillies MLB game on June 20, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Freddy Peralta 5-5, 3.90 ERA
3
15
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Cristopher Sánchez 8-3, 1.82 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 3 8 1
Phillies
1 2 8 0 2 0 2 0 X 15 17 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Zack Short strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF4112102.2501.250
2 B. Baty SS1000000.0000.000
3 M. Melendez LF1000000.0000.000
4 M. Semien 2B4000000.0000.000
5 E. Wagaman 3B3000010.0000.250
6 A. Ewing CF1000000.0000.000
7 M. Vientos 1B4221102.5001.750
8 L. Torrens C4010001.2500.500
9 Z. Short P4010003.2500.500
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5321000.4000.800
2 K. Schwarber DH5446300.8003.400
3 G. Stubbs 1B0000000.0000.000
4 B. Marsh LF5110001.2000.400
5 A. Bohm 3B5110000.2000.400
6 B. Stott 2B5111000.2000.600
7 J. Realmuto C4222002.5001.500
8 G. Rincones RF4000002.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF3121011.6671.750

Mets vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, June 20, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets 36¢, Phillies 64¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 39%
  • Phillies: 61%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 39%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 61%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mets in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.