Mets vs. Nationals Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mets vs. Nationals MLB game on May 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mets
Nolan McLean 2-2, 2.92 ERA
6
9
Nationals Park
Nationals
Foster Griffin 4-2, 3.53 ERA
Nationals Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mets
3 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 6 10 2
Nationals
0 4 3 2 0 0 0 0 X 9 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mets
    0%
  • Nationals
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Benge strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF5230001.6001.200
2 B. Bichette SS4224200.5002.500
3 J. Soto DH4221101.5001.750
4 M. Vientos 1B4020000.5001.250
5 M. Semien 2B3011001.3330.583
6 A. Ewing CF1000001.0000.000
7 N. Morabito LF3000002.0000.250
8 B. Baty 3B4000001.0000.000
9 L. Torrens C4000001.0000.000
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Young CF0000000.0000.000
2 L. García 1B5000002.0000.000
3 J. Tena DH4211101.2501.250
4 C. Abrams SS2100011.0000.500
5 D. Lile LF4110000.2500.500
6 D. Crews RF4010000.2500.500
7 J. Vivas 3B3111001.3330.917
8 D. Millas C2100010.0000.500
9 N. Nuñez 2B4120001.5001.000

Mets vs. Nationals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mets vs. Nationals
  • Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Nationals Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mets 56¢, Nationals 41¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mets: 56%
  • Nationals: 44%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mets a win probability of 56%, while the Nationals have a win probability of 44%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Nationals Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mets vs. Nationals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.