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Royals vs. Cardinals Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Royals vs. Cardinals MLB game on May 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB
Royals
Stephen Kolek 1-0, 6.75 ERA
2
0
May 17, 2:15 PM ET Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Andre Pallante 4-3, 4.47 ERA
May 17, 2:15 PM ET Busch Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | R | H | E | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Royals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Cardinals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 |
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
- Royals
- Cardinals
Win Probability
Last At Bat
Outs
Nathan Church grounds out to shallow infield, Bobby Witt to Vinnie Pasquantino.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Garcia | 3B | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .200 | 0.400 |
| 2 | B. Witt | SS | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 3 | V. Pasquantino | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 4 | S. Perez | C | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 3.250 |
| 5 | C. Jensen | DH | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 6 | I. Collins | LF | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 7 | L. Thomas | RF | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 8 | N. Loftin | 2B | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 1.000 |
| 9 | K. Isbel | CF | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .500 | 1.250 |
| No. | Player | Pos | AB | R | H | RBI | HR | BB | SO | AVG | OPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Wetherholt | 2B | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .000 | 0.250 |
| 2 | I. Herrera | C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 3 | A. Burleson | 1B | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .250 | 0.500 |
| 4 | J. Walker | DH | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 5 | N. Gorman | 3B | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | .333 | 0.833 |
| 6 | C. Prieto | SS | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 7 | N. Church | CF | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
| 8 | T. Saggese | LF | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | .333 | 0.666 |
| 9 | J. Fermín | RF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | .000 | 0.000 |
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Royals vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Royals vs. Cardinals
- Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
- Time: 2:15 PM ET
- Venue: Busch Stadium
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Cardinals favored at -1.5
- Total (Over/Under): 9.5
- Moneyline Odds: Royals +111, Cardinals -111
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Royals: 49%
- Cardinals: 51%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Royals a win probability of 49%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the Royals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Royals vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.