Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Mets MLB game on May 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Elmer Rodríguez 0-1, 5.19 ERA
6
7
Citi Field
Mets
Freddy Peralta 3-3, 3.10 ERA
Citi Field
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 RHE
Yankees
0 1 0 0 4 1 0 0 0 6 6 0
Mets
0 0 1 0 2 0 0 3 1 7 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • Mets
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Benge hits into a force out to shallow infield. Luis Torrens to second. Marcus Semien scores.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5000001.0000.000
2 B. Rice 1B5111101.2001.000
3 A. Judge DH4000011.0000.200
4 C. Bellinger RF2210030.5001.300
5 J. Chisholm 2B3120021.6671.467
6 R. McMahon 3B4000000.0000.000
7 M. Schuemann LF1100011.0000.500
8 A. Volpe SS3123021.6671.800
9 A. Wells C2000000.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF5111001.2000.533
2 B. Bichette SS5010000.2000.400
3 J. Soto DH5110001.2000.400
4 M. Vientos 1B5120001.4000.800
5 T. Taylor LF3113100.3331.666
6 B. Baty 3B4010010.2500.650
7 M. Semien 2B5221000.4001.000
8 A. Ewing CF11100301.0002.000
9 L. Torrens C2012000.5001.667

Yankees vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Mets
  • Date: Sunday, May 17, 2026
  • Time: 1:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mets favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees 47¢, Mets 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 47%
  • Mets: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 47%, while the Mets have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Citi Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.