Marlins vs. Rays Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Marlins vs. Rays MLB game on May 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
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MLB
Marlins
Janson Junk 2-3, 3.25 ERA
2
7
Tropicana Field
Rays
Ian Seymour 2-0, 5.59 ERA
Tropicana Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Marlins
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 2 7 0
Rays
2 2 0 2 0 1 0 0 X 7 11 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Marlins
    0%
  • Rays
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Owen Caissie flies out to deep left field to Chandler Simpson.
Quick Box Score
Marlins Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 X. Edwards 2B4020001.5001.000
2 L. Hicks DH4000001.0000.000
3 O. Lopez SS4010000.2500.500
4 C. Morel 1B4000000.0000.000
5 K. Stowers LF4000002.0000.000
6 C. Norby 3B4111100.2501.250
7 J. Marsee CF4131100.7502.250
8 O. Caissie PH1000000.0000.000
9 J. Mack C3000002.0000.000
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Simpson LF4020000.5001.500
2 J. Caminero 3B4000001.0000.000
3 J. Aranda 1B2100021.0000.500
4 Y. Díaz DH3112110.3331.833
5 J. DeLuca RF1000001.0000.000
6 B. Williamson 2B1000001.0000.000
7 C. Mullins CF43411001.0002.750
8 N. Fortes C1000000.0000.000
9 T. Walls SS3013001.3331.000

Marlins vs. Rays: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Marlins vs. Rays
  • Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Tropicana Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rays favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Marlins 47¢, Rays 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Marlins: 49%
  • Rays: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Marlins a win probability of 49%, while the Rays have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rays are more likely to beat the Marlins in the MLB game at Tropicana Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Marlins vs. Rays predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.