Yankees vs. Mets Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Mets MLB game on May 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Yankees
Cam Schlittler 5-1, 1.35 ERA
5
2
May 15, 7:15 PM ET Citi Field
Mets
Clay Holmes 4-3, 1.86 ERA
May 15, 7:15 PM ET Citi Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 3 0 1 0 0 0 1 5 10 0
Mets
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcus Semien lines out to shallow infield to Ryan McMahon.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF5000002.0000.000
2 B. Rice 1B5231101.6001.800
3 A. Judge RF4110001.2500.500
4 C. Bellinger LF5111001.2000.600
5 J. Chisholm 2B4132010.7501.800
6 R. McMahon 3B4000002.0000.000
7 S. Jones DH4021001.5001.000
8 A. Volpe SS1000031.0000.750
9 A. Wells C4000002.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Benge RF4000001.0000.000
2 B. Bichette SS4000001.0000.000
3 J. Soto LF3111112.3331.833
4 M. Vientos 1B4000000.0000.000
5 M. Melendez DH4110003.2500.500
6 B. Baty 3B3021011.6671.417
7 M. Semien 2B3010011.3330.833
8 A. Ewing CF3000001.0000.000
9 L. Torrens C3000000.0000.000

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Yankees vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Yankees vs. Mets
  • Date: Friday, May 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Yankees -135, Mets +135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Yankees: 49%
  • Mets: 51%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 49%, while the Mets have a win probability of 51%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Citi Field on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.