Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Mariners vs. Astros MLB game on May 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Mariners
Luis Castillo 0-4, 6.57 ERA
8
3
Daikin Park
Astros
Mike Burrows 2-4, 5.04 ERA
Daikin Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Mariners
3 0 0 2 0 2 0 1 0 8 11 0
Astros
0 0 1 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Mariners
    100%
  • Astros
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Zach Cole called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Donovan 3B5130000.6001.800
2 J. Rodríguez DH5000002.0000.000
3 J. Naylor 1B4010012.2500.900
4 R. Arozarena LF3100021.0000.400
5 L. Raley CF5223100.4001.400
6 J. Crawford SS5121001.4001.000
7 D. Canzone RF4110000.2500.500
8 M. Garver C3212110.3331.833
9 C. Young 2B3012010.3331.167
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Z. Cole LF5000003.0000.000
2 J. Altuve 2B4000001.0000.000
3 Y. Alvarez DH32311101.0003.333
4 I. Paredes 3B3000013.0000.250
5 C. Walker 1B3100010.0000.250
6 B. Shewmake SS4022000.5001.250
7 B. Matthews CF4000001.0000.000
8 C. Smith RF4000000.0000.000
9 C. Salazar C2000020.0000.500

Mariners vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Mariners vs. Astros
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mariners favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Mariners 50¢, Astros 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Mariners: 50%
  • Astros: 50%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Mariners a win probability of 50%, while the Astros have a win probability of 50%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Astros are more likely to beat the Mariners in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Mariners vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.