Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 14, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Jesús Luzardo 3-3, 5.77 ERA
3
1
Fenway Park
Red Sox
Starter not available 2-2, 2.77 ERA
Fenway Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 3 9 0
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    100%
  • Red Sox
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS5110002.2000.400
2 K. Schwarber DH5112103.2001.000
3 B. Harper 1B4010010.2500.650
4 A. García RF4000002.0000.000
5 A. Bohm 3B4120001.5001.000
6 B. Marsh LF4010001.2500.500
7 J. Realmuto C3010002.3330.833
8 B. Stott 2B2011000.5001.000
9 J. Crawford CF1000000.0000.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF5000001.0000.000
2 A. Monasterio DH4120001.5001.500
3 W. Abreu RF4021000.5001.000
4 W. Contreras 1B4010000.2500.750
5 C. Rafaela CF3000001.0000.250
6 T. Story SS4000002.0000.000
7 M. Gasper PH1000001.0000.000
8 M. Yoshida PH0000010.0001.000
9 M. Mayer 2B2000002.0000.000

Phillies vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Thursday, May 14, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies 48¢, Red Sox 50¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 47%
  • Red Sox: 53%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 47%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 53%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Thursday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.