Phillies vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 13, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Andrew Painter 1-4, 6.89 ERA
vs.
May 13, 6:45 PM ET Fenway Park
Red Sox
Sonny Gray 3-1, 3.54 ERA
May 13, 6:45 PM ET Fenway Park
Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET

Moneyline

Moneyline
Win %
  • Phillies
    44.3%
    PolymarketPolymarket
  • Red Sox
    55.7%
    PolymarketPolymarket
Weather Forecast
Last Updated: May 13, 2026, 7:20 AM ET
Sunny weather icon
62°FSunny
RoofNone
Humidity54%
Wind speed14mph
Cloud cover19%
Dew point45°F
Wind directionS

Phillies vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Phillies vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Wednesday, May 13, 2026
  • Time: 6:45 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Phillies +115, Red Sox -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Phillies: 44%
  • Red Sox: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 44%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.