Cardinals vs. Padres Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cardinals vs. Padres MLB game on May 9, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
Add this game to My Favorites
FINAL
Add this game to My Favorites
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cardinals
Dustin May 3-3, 5.16 ERA
2
4
May 9, 7:15 PM ET Petco Park
Padres
Randy Vásquez 3-1, 3.20 ERA
May 9, 7:15 PM ET Petco Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cardinals
0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 7 1
Padres
0 0 0 0 3 0 0 1 X 4 5 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cardinals
    0%
  • Padres
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
JJ Wetherholt called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4110001.2500.650
2 V. Scott DH0000000.0000.000
3 A. Burleson 1B4000001.0000.000
4 J. Walker RF4110001.2500.500
5 N. Gorman 3B3010012.3330.833
6 M. Winn SS4000002.0000.000
7 N. Church CF3021010.6671.750
8 T. Saggese LF4000001.0000.000
9 Y. Pozo C1000001.0000.000
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Merrill CF4000002.0000.000
2 F. Tatis RF4012002.2500.500
3 M. Machado 3B4111102.2501.250
4 G. Sheets DH4000001.0000.000
5 X. Bogaerts SS4000001.0000.000
6 R. Laureano LF2000011.0000.333
7 T. France 1B3111101.3331.666
8 S. Song 2B2100010.0000.333
9 F. Fermin C3120000.6671.334

Cardinals vs. Padres: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Cardinals vs. Padres
  • Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
  • Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Petco Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Padres favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Cardinals +125, Padres -120

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Cardinals: 46%
  • Padres: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cardinals a win probability of 46%, while the Padres have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Cardinals in the MLB game at Petco Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cardinals vs. Padres predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.