Pirates vs. D-Backs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. D-Backs MLB game on May 5, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 1-3, 4.97 ERA
0
9
May 5, 9:40 PM ET Chase Field
D-Backs
Eduardo Rodriguez 2-0, 3.03 ERA
May 5, 9:40 PM ET Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0
D-Backs
2 0 0 0 0 5 0 2 X 9 9 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Marcell Ozuna strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF4000001.0000.000
2 N. Gonzales 2B4000001.0000.000
3 B. Reynolds RF3000011.0000.250
4 B. Cook PH1000001.0000.000
5 M. Ozuna DH3000011.0000.250
6 K. Griffin SS2010011.5001.667
7 J. Mangum LF3000001.0000.000
8 J. Bart C3000001.0000.000
9 J. Triolo 3B3010000.3331.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 G. Perdomo SS4112011.2500.900
2 K. Marte 2B5222000.4001.200
3 C. Carroll RF3101011.0000.200
4 A. Del Castillo DH4012001.2500.450
5 I. Vargas 1B5011000.2000.600
6 L. Gurriel LF11100301.0002.000
7 N. Arenado 3B1100020.0000.750
8 G. Moreno C4121000.5001.250
9 A. Thomas CF3210001.3331.167

Pirates vs. D-Backs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. D-Backs
  • Date: Tuesday, May 5, 2026
  • Time: 9:40 PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: D-Backs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates +125, D-Backs -125

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 44%
  • D-Backs: 56%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 44%, while the D-Backs have a win probability of 56%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the D-Backs are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at Chase Field on Wednesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. D-Backs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.