Dodgers vs. Astros Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Dodgers vs. Astros MLB game on May 4, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Dodgers
Yoshinobu Yamamoto 2-2, 2.87 ERA
8
3
May 4, 8:10 PM ET Daikin Park
Astros
Steven Okert 0-0, 4.20 ERA
May 4, 8:10 PM ET Daikin Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Dodgers
1 2 4 0 1 0 0 0 0 8 13 0
Astros
2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 6 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Dodgers
    100%
  • Astros
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Zach Cole strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Dodgers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 S. Ohtani DH3201020.0000.400
2 F. Freeman 1B5022003.4000.800
3 W. Smith C5131002.6001.600
4 T. Hernández LF5010002.2000.400
5 K. Tucker RF5122101.4001.400
6 M. Muncy 3B3000022.0000.400
7 A. Pages CF5110001.2000.400
8 H. Kim SS5110000.2000.400
9 A. Freeland 2B4231110.7502.300
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Correa SS4000003.0000.000
2 Y. Alvarez DH3120001.6671.417
3 B. Shewmake 3B0000000.0000.000
4 C. Walker 1B4000002.0000.000
5 J. Altuve 2B4011002.2500.500
6 B. Matthews CF3000011.0000.250
7 C. Smith RF4010002.2500.500
8 Z. Cole LF4111102.2501.250
9 C. Vázquez C3000001.0000.000

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Dodgers vs. Astros: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Dodgers vs. Astros
  • Date: Monday, May 4, 2026
  • Time: 8:10 PM ET
  • Venue: Daikin Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Dodgers favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Dodgers -174, Astros +178

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Dodgers: 60%
  • Astros: 40%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Dodgers a win probability of 60%, while the Astros have a win probability of 40%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Dodgers are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at Daikin Park on Tuesday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Dodgers vs. Astros predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.