Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Yankees MLB game on May 2, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Orioles
Kyle Bradish 1-3, 4.20 ERA
4
9
May 2, 1:35 PM ET Yankee Stadium
Yankees
Ryan Weathers 1-2, 3.21 ERA
May 2, 1:35 PM ET Yankee Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Orioles
0 0 0 1 0 2 1 0 0 4 4 1
Yankees
0 1 2 2 1 0 3 0 X 9 11 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    0%
  • Yankees
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Blaze Alexander called out on strikes.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Ward LF3111010.3330.833
2 G. Henderson SS4110002.2500.500
3 A. Rutschman C4000001.0000.000
4 P. Alonso DH4111101.2501.250
5 C. Cowser CF0000010.0001.000
6 S. Basallo 1B2011001.5001.500
7 J. Jackson 2B4000000.0000.000
8 D. Beavers RF1100010.0000.500
9 B. Alexander 3B4000003.0000.000
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Grisham CF4222111.5002.100
2 B. Rice 1B3110021.3330.933
3 A. Judge RF3100013.0000.400
4 C. Bellinger LF43442001.0003.750
5 J. Chisholm 2B3011010.3330.833
6 J. Domínguez DH4010001.2500.500
7 J. Escarra C4010000.2500.750
8 R. McMahon 3B4110001.2500.750
9 J. Caballero SS3100011.0000.250

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Orioles vs. Yankees: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Orioles vs. Yankees
  • Date: Saturday, May 2, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Yankee Stadium

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Yankees favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Orioles +156, Yankees -153

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Orioles: 40%
  • Yankees: 60%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 40%, while the Yankees have a win probability of 60%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Yankees predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.