Red Sox vs. Orioles Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Orioles MLB game on April 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Red Sox
Brayan Bello 1-2, 6.75 ERA
3
10
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Orioles
Brandon Young 1-0, 0.00 ERA
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 3 10 0
Orioles
4 1 1 2 1 0 1 0 X 10 20 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Orioles
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran pops out to shallow left field to Coby Mayo.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF5010000.2000.400
2 C. Rafaela CF4001000.0000.000
3 M. Yoshida DH4010000.2500.500
4 W. Contreras 1B4000004.0000.000
5 W. Abreu RF4221101.5002.000
6 T. Story SS3020010.6671.417
7 M. Mayer 2B4021000.5001.250
8 C. Durbin 3B3110010.3330.833
9 C. Narváez C4010001.2500.500
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Alexander SS0000000.0000.000
2 T. Ward LF42400101.0002.000
3 A. Rutschman C5236200.6002.400
4 P. Alonso 1B5010001.2000.400
5 D. Beavers RF5131100.6001.800
6 S. Basallo DH5141100.8002.400
7 L. Taveras CF4000011.0000.200
8 C. Mayo 3B5121102.4001.400
9 J. Jackson 2B4000000.0000.000

Red Sox vs. Orioles: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Red Sox vs. Orioles
  • Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Orioles favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Red Sox 46¢, Orioles -115

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Red Sox: 46%
  • Orioles: 54%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 46%, while the Orioles have a win probability of 54%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Orioles are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.