Astros vs. Mariners Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Astros vs. Mariners MLB game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Astros
Cody Bolton 0-0, 3.68 ERA
1
6
Apr 12, 4:10 PM ET T-Mobile Park
Mariners
Logan Gilbert 0-2, 5.40 ERA
Apr 12, 4:10 PM ET T-Mobile Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Astros
0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 5 0
Mariners
1 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 X 6 8 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Astros
    0%
  • Mariners
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Isaac Paredes strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
Astros Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Altuve 2B4030000.7501.750
2 Y. Alvarez DH3000011.0000.250
3 I. Paredes 3B4010001.2500.500
4 C. Walker 1B3000001.0000.000
5 C. Smith RF3000001.0000.000
6 J. Loperfido LF3000001.0000.000
7 Y. Diaz C3111100.3331.666
8 T. Trammell CF3000002.0000.000
9 N. Allen SS3000001.0000.000
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Donovan 3B3101001.0000.200
2 C. Raleigh C5000003.0000.000
3 J. Rodríguez CF4021011.5001.100
4 J. Naylor 1B3100011.0000.400
5 R. Arozarena LF4231010.7501.550
6 L. Raley RF5132000.6001.600
7 J. Crawford SS1100030.0000.750
8 D. Canzone DH3000011.0000.250
9 C. Young 2B2001020.0000.500

Astros vs. Mariners: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Astros vs. Mariners
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 4:10 PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Mariners favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Astros +174, Mariners -170

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Astros: 36%
  • Mariners: 64%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Astros a win probability of 36%, while the Mariners have a win probability of 64%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mariners are more likely to beat the Astros in the MLB game at T-Mobile Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Astros vs. Mariners predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.