Pirates vs. Cubs Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Pirates vs. Cubs MLB game on April 12, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Pirates
Bubba Chandler 0-1, 3.12 ERA
6
7
Wrigley Field
Cubs
Jameson Taillon 0-1, 2.53 ERA
Wrigley Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Pirates
1 4 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 1
Cubs
0 0 2 0 1 0 1 2 1 7 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Pirates
    0%
  • Cubs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Kelly singles to deep right center field. Seiya Suzuki to second. Ian Happ to third. Scott Kingery scores.
Quick Box Score
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 O. Cruz CF4111113.2501.400
2 B. Lowe 2B4225212.5002.600
3 B. Reynolds LF4010001.2500.500
4 R. O'Hearn 1B4020001.5001.000
5 N. Yorke 3B3000001.0000.250
6 M. Ozuna DH4110001.2500.500
7 B. Cook RF0000000.0000.000
8 K. Griffin SS3100002.0000.250
9 J. Bart C4000002.0000.000
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 N. Hoerner 2B5120000.4001.000
2 S. Kingery PR0100000.0000.000
3 A. Bregman 3B3012010.3330.733
4 I. Happ LF4000010.0000.200
5 S. Suzuki RF3100021.0000.400
6 C. Kelly C5021001.4001.000
7 P. Crow-Armstrong CF4000002.0000.000
8 D. Swanson SS2311120.5002.750
9 M. Busch 1B10110001.0002.000

Pirates vs. Cubs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Pirates vs. Cubs
  • Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
  • Time: 2:20 PM ET
  • Venue: Wrigley Field

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Cubs favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 12.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Pirates 46¢, Cubs +106

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Pirates: 51%
  • Cubs: 49%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Pirates a win probability of 51%, while the Cubs have a win probability of 49%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Pirates are more likely to beat the Cubs in the MLB game at Wrigley Field on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Pirates vs. Cubs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.