D-Backs vs. Phillies Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the D-Backs vs. Phillies MLB game on April 11, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 0-0, 6.75 ERA
3
4
Citizens Bank Park
Phillies
Taijuan Walker 0-2, 9.31 ERA
Citizens Bank Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
D-Backs
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 3 7 1
Phillies
0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 X 4 5 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • D-Backs
    0%
  • Phillies
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jorge Barrosa strikes out on a foul tip.
Quick Box Score
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Marte 2B4111100.2501.250
2 C. Carroll DH3100012.0000.250
3 G. Perdomo SS3100011.0000.250
4 A. Del Castillo C4031000.7501.500
5 J. Fernandez 1B4011002.2500.500
6 N. Arenado 3B4000002.0000.000
7 T. Tawa LF3000011.0000.250
8 A. Thomas CF3010001.3331.167
9 J. Barrosa RF4010002.2500.500
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 T. Turner SS4000002.0000.000
2 K. Schwarber DH4113102.2501.250
3 B. Harper 1B3111110.3331.833
4 B. Marsh LF4000001.0000.000
5 B. Stott 2B3010010.3330.833
6 A. García RF2000012.0000.500
7 J. Realmuto C4000003.0000.000
8 A. Bohm 3B4100001.0000.000
9 J. Crawford CF21200101.0002.500

D-Backs vs. Phillies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: D-Backs vs. Phillies
  • Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
  • Time: 1:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Citizens Bank Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Phillies favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: D-Backs 46¢, Phillies 53¢

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • D-Backs: 55%
  • Phillies: 45%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the D-Backs a win probability of 55%, while the Phillies have a win probability of 45%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the D-Backs are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citizens Bank Park on Saturday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our D-Backs vs. Phillies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.