Cubs vs. Reds: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Cubs vs. Reds MLB game on Saturday, September 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Cubs
Matthew Boyd 8-5, 4.16 ERA
5
2
Great American Ball Park
Reds
Nick Lodolo 3-5, 5.12 ERA
Great American Ball Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Cubs
0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 5 8 1
Reds
0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Cubs
    100%
  • Reds
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
JJ Bleday pops out to Carson Kelly.
Quick Box Score
Cubs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Crow-Armstrong CF5000001.0000.000
2 A. Bregman 3B4000011.0000.200
3 S. Suzuki DH3021011.6671.417
4 I. Happ LF0100010.0001.000
5 N. Hoerner 2B4121000.5001.250
6 M. Busch 1B3121101.6672.417
7 C. Kelly C4000000.0000.000
8 M. Shaw RF3001000.0000.000
9 D. Swanson SS4221100.5001.750
Reds Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Myers CF4010001.2500.500
2 E. De La Cruz SS2000021.0000.500
3 S. Stewart 1B4000002.0000.000
4 T. Stephenson C4010000.2500.500
5 E. Suárez DH3100011.0000.250
6 J. Brito 2B4000001.0000.000
7 J. Bleday LF4110001.2500.500
8 C. Jorge RF1000000.0000.000
9 K. Hayes 3B3011000.3330.666

Cubs vs. Reds: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: CHI Cubs Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 6:40PM ET
  • Venue: Great American Ball Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Cubs (-1.5, +117), Reds (+1.5, -122)
  • Moneyline: Cubs -133, Reds +130
  • Total (Over/Under): 9.5 runs (+108/-111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Cubs: 55.0%
  • Reds: 45.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Cubs a win probability of 55.0%, while the Reds have a win probability of 45.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cubs are more likely to beat the Reds in the MLB game at Great American Ball Park on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Cubs vs. Reds predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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