Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Saturday, September 19, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Cam Schlittler 14-6, 1.95 ERA
3
5
Chase Field
D-Backs
Brandon Pfaadt 7-3, 3.77 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
0 0 0 0 1 2 0 0 0 3 6 1
D-Backs
0 0 0 0 2 1 0 0 2 5 7 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    0%
  • D-Backs
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Pavin Smith homers to right field. Ildemaro Vargas scores.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Rice DH3001001.0000.000
2 C. Bellinger LF4000000.0000.000
3 L. García 1B4000002.0000.000
4 H. Ramos RF4111101.2501.250
5 G. Lombard SS4000001.0000.000
6 A. Sánchez C0000000.0000.000
7 A. Volpe 2B4110001.2500.500
8 A. Rosario 3B2000000.0000.000
9 J. Caballero CF20200101.0002.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Smith PH11121001.0005.000
2 K. Marte 2B3100011.0000.250
3 G. Moreno C3010010.3330.833
4 G. Perdomo SS4010001.2500.500
5 C. Carroll RF2001012.0000.250
6 N. Arenado 3B4120001.5001.000
7 T. Tawa LF3100002.0000.000
8 I. Vargas DH11100101.0002.000
9 J. Lawlar CF4012001.2501.000

Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Saturday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Saturday, September 19, 2026
  • Time: 8:10PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (-1.5, +117), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -120)
  • Moneyline: Yankees -147, Diamondbacks +148
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (+108/-113)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 56.0%
  • Diamondbacks: 44.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 56.0%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 44.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Yankees are more likely to beat the Diamondbacks in the MLB game at Chase Field on Saturday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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