Nationals vs. Cardinals: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nationals vs. Cardinals MLB game on Friday, September 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Nationals
Cade Cavalli 12-5, 3.12 ERA
9
1
Busch Stadium
Cardinals
Kyle Leahy 10-4, 3.33 ERA
Busch Stadium
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Nationals
3 0 4 1 0 1 0 0 0 9 7 0
Cardinals
0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 7 3
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nationals
    100%
  • Cardinals
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Cesar Prieto grounds out to shallow infield, Jorbit Vivas to Yohandy Morales.
Quick Box Score
Nationals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Tena DH1000000.0000.000
2 D. Lile LF3201010.0000.200
3 D. Crews RF5222101.4001.400
4 N. Nuñez SS1000000.0000.000
5 B. House 3B4111001.2500.750
6 J. Vivas 2B2100020.0000.500
7 Y. Morales 1B4012001.2500.750
8 H. Ford C3000012.0000.250
9 J. Young CF3210010.3331.167
Cardinals Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Wetherholt 2B4010002.2500.500
2 I. Herrera DH4011001.2500.500
3 N. Gorman 1B0000010.0001.000
4 V. Scott RF1000000.0000.000
5 L. Bernal C4030001.7501.500
6 T. Saggese SS3000001.0000.250
7 B. Torres LF4000002.0000.000
8 C. Prieto 3B2000000.0000.000
9 N. Church CF3110000.3331.000

Nationals vs. Cardinals: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals
  • Date: Friday, September 18, 2026
  • Time: 8:15PM ET
  • Venue: Busch Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Nationals (-1.5, +167), Cardinals (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Nationals -104, Cardinals +102
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-104/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Nationals: 48.0%
  • Cardinals: 52.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nationals a win probability of 48.0%, while the Cardinals have a win probability of 52.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Cardinals are more likely to beat the Nationals in the MLB game at Busch Stadium on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nationals vs. Cardinals predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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