Phillies vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Mets MLB game on Friday, September 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.

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MLB

Phillies

Andrew Painter 3-9, 5.54 ERA

vs.

Sep 18, 7:15 PM ET Citi Field

Mets

Zac Thornton 4-5, 3.44 ERA

Sep 18, 7:15 PM ET Citi Field

Pre-Game Probabilities Last Update: September 18, 2026, 3:28 PM ET

Moneyline

Win %

Phillies
46.8%
Mets
53.2%

Weather Forecast

Last Updated: September 18, 2026, 7:32 AM ET

81°FPartly Cloudy

RoofNone
Humidity34%
Wind speed12mph
Cloud cover29%
Dew point49°F
Wind directionN

Phillies vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. NY Mets Mets
Date: Friday, September 18, 2026
Time: 7:15PM ET
Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +165), Mets (+1.5, -170)
Moneyline: Phillies +100, Mets -102
Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

Phillies: 47.0%
Mets: 53.0%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 47.0%, while the Mets have a win probability of 53.0%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Phillies in the MLB game at Citi Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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