Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Yankees vs. Diamondbacks MLB game on Friday, September 18, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Yankees
Gerrit Cole 8-9, 3.67 ERA
9
2
Chase Field
D-Backs
Eduardo Rodriguez 15-6, 2.62 ERA
Chase Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Yankees
5 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 9 8 0
D-Backs
0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 7 2
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Yankees
    100%
  • D-Backs
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jose Fernandez strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Yankees Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 P. Goldschmidt 1B4210010.2500.650
2 C. Bellinger LF5110000.2000.400
3 H. Ramos RF3200021.0000.400
4 B. Rice DH3222120.6673.133
5 R. McMahon 3B2001001.0000.000
6 S. Jones CF4001002.0000.000
7 G. Lombard SS4123100.5001.750
8 A. Wells C3010011.3330.833
9 A. Volpe 2B4000002.0000.000
D-Backs Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 L. Nootbaar LF4000002.0000.000
2 K. Marte 2B4000001.0000.000
3 G. Moreno C4000001.0000.000
4 G. Perdomo SS3120010.6671.417
5 I. Vargas 1B2000001.0000.000
6 N. Arenado 3B4020000.5001.000
7 C. Carroll RF4122100.5002.000
8 J. Fernandez DH2000002.0000.000
9 T. Tawa CF3000002.0000.000

Yankees vs. Diamondbacks: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Friday

  • Teams: NY Yankees Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
  • Date: Friday, September 18, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: Chase Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Yankees (-1.5, +163), Diamondbacks (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Yankees +104, Diamondbacks -104
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-106/+104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Yankees: 48.6%
  • Diamondbacks: 51.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Yankees a win probability of 48.6%, while the Diamondbacks have a win probability of 51.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Diamondbacks are more likely to beat the Yankees in the MLB game at Chase Field on Friday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Yankees vs. Diamondbacks predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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