Brewers vs. Pirates: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Brewers vs. Pirates MLB game on Thursday, September 17, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Brewers
Kyle Harrison 10-4, 3.99 ERA
4
7
PNC Park
Pirates
Wilber Dotel 1-5, 4.84 ERA
PNC Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Brewers
0 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 4 9 1
Pirates
0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 X 7 7 1
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Brewers
    0%
  • Pirates
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Joey Ortiz grounds out to first base to Rafael Flores.
Quick Box Score
Brewers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 B. Turang 2B4010012.2500.650
2 L. Lara CF4000011.0000.200
3 J. Chourio LF4000012.0000.200
4 A. Vaughn 1B4000011.0000.200
5 G. Mitchell DH2110001.5001.500
6 J. Ortiz 3B4210010.2500.650
7 S. Frelick RF3021000.6671.167
8 B. Naylor C3112111.3331.833
9 C. Pratt SS2010000.5001.000
Pirates Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Griffin SS4112011.2500.900
2 O. Cruz CF5112002.2000.400
3 B. Reynolds RF4010000.2500.900
4 R. Flores 1B3000012.0000.250
5 B. Lowe 2B2011011.5001.750
6 N. Gonzales DH4000003.0000.000
7 B. Cook LF0000000.0000.000
8 J. Triolo 3B4110001.2500.500
9 H. Davis C2212111.5002.667

Brewers vs. Pirates: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Thursday

  • Teams: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
  • Date: Thursday, September 17, 2026
  • Time: 12:35PM ET
  • Venue: PNC Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Brewers (-1.5, +133), Pirates (+1.5, -133)
  • Moneyline: Brewers -127, Pirates +127
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5 runs (-108/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Brewers: 53.4%
  • Pirates: 46.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Brewers a win probability of 53.4%, while the Pirates have a win probability of 46.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Brewers are more likely to beat the Pirates in the MLB game at PNC Park on Thursday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Brewers vs. Pirates predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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