Red Sox vs. Rangers: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Red Sox vs. Rangers MLB game on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Red Sox
Jake Bennett 9-7, 3.69 ERA
3
7
Globe Life Field
Rangers
MacKenzie Gore 8-11, 4.62 ERA
Globe Life Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Red Sox
2 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 1
Rangers
1 0 0 1 1 0 3 1 X 7 13 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Red Sox
    0%
  • Rangers
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Caleb Durbin lines out to shallow right field to Nicky Lopez.
Quick Box Score
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Anthony LF3000011.0000.250
2 N. Sogard DH2010000.5001.000
3 W. Abreu RF4100000.0000.000
4 W. Contreras 1B3112100.3331.833
5 A. Rutschman C4000000.0000.000
6 C. Durbin 3B2100020.0000.500
7 T. Story SS3010001.3330.666
8 I. Kiner-Falefa 2B3000001.0000.000
9 J. Duran CF1000000.0000.000
Rangers Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 E. Carter CF0000000.0000.000
2 C. Seager SS4111002.2500.650
3 N. Lopez 2B0000000.0000.000
4 J. Burger 1B4121011.5001.350
5 B. Nimmo RF4111001.2500.750
6 W. Langford LF3111012.3330.833
7 E. Duran 3B4012002.2500.500
8 A. Osuna DH0100000.0000.000
9 D. Jansen C3010000.3330.666

Red Sox vs. Rangers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 8:05PM ET
  • Venue: Globe Life Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Red Sox (-1.5, +163), Rangers (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Red Sox -104, Rangers +102
  • Total (Over/Under): 7.5 runs (-113/+108)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Red Sox: 47.4%
  • Rangers: 52.6%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Red Sox a win probability of 47.4%, while the Rangers have a win probability of 52.6%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rangers are more likely to beat the Red Sox in the MLB game at Globe Life Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Red Sox vs. Rangers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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