Padres vs. Rockies: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Padres vs. Rockies MLB game on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Padres
Robbie Ray 12-8, 3.57 ERA
9
3
Coors Field
Rockies
Mason Adams 0-0, 3.38 ERA
Coors Field
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Padres
2 1 0 1 4 1 0 0 0 9 13 0
Rockies
1 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 3 4 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Padres
    100%
  • Rockies
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Ezequiel Tovar grounds out to third base, Manny Machado to Ty France.
Quick Box Score
Padres Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Tatis DH4100001.0000.200
2 D. Harris RF4121010.5001.600
3 M. Machado 3B5110001.2000.400
4 T. France 1B4012000.2500.700
5 J. Merrill CF5130002.6001.200
6 S. Song SS1000001.0000.000
7 J. Cronenworth 2B5021002.4000.800
8 S. Taylor LF4222000.5001.000
9 E. Salas C4223200.5002.500
Rockies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 Z. Veen LF0000000.0000.000
2 C. Norby 2B3110000.3331.167
3 C. Carrigg CF4000001.0000.000
4 K. Karros 3B3112110.3331.833
5 A. Amador DH4001002.0000.000
6 T. Johnston 1B4000002.0000.000
7 J. Beck RF3010010.3330.833
8 B. Fulford C3000012.0000.250
9 E. Tovar SS4010001.2500.500

Padres vs. Rockies: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Wednesday

  • Teams: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
  • Date: Wednesday, September 16, 2026
  • Time: 8:40PM ET
  • Venue: Coors Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Padres (-1.5, -106), Rockies (+1.5, +104)
  • Moneyline: Padres -156, Rockies +150
  • Total (Over/Under): 10.5 runs (-113/+111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Padres: 59.3%
  • Rockies: 40.7%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Padres a win probability of 59.3%, while the Rockies have a win probability of 40.7%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Padres are more likely to beat the Rockies in the MLB game at Coors Field on Wednesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Padres vs. Rockies predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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