Orioles vs. Mets: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Orioles vs. Mets MLB game on Tuesday, September 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
MLB
FINAL
MLB sport icon
MLB
Orioles
Shane Baz 6-15, 4.05 ERA
7
5
Citi Field
Mets
Sean Manaea 5-7, 4.79 ERA
Citi Field
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 RHE
Orioles
0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 7 8 1
Mets
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 5 12 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Orioles
    100%
  • Mets
    0%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Carson Benge flies out to deep center field to Colton Cowser.
Quick Box Score
Orioles Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 D. Beavers LF1100010.0000.500
2 P. Alonso 1B5111102.2001.000
3 C. Mayo DH5123101.4001.400
4 C. Encarnacion-Strand 3B5221101.4001.400
5 G. Henderson SS5010004.2000.400
6 J. Jackson 2B4111102.2501.250
7 C. Narváez C0000000.0000.000
8 L. Taveras RF4100003.0000.000
9 C. Cowser CF4000001.0000.000
Mets Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 F. Lindor SS5010010.2000.733
2 J. Soto LF5121001.4000.900
3 B. Bichette 3B6031000.5001.000
4 C. Benge RF5211112.2001.133
5 J. Young 1B4011000.2500.700
6 M. Semien 2B4011010.2500.900
7 A. Ewing CF4120001.5001.100
8 C. Morel DH3000000.0000.000
9 F. Alvarez C5100002.0000.000

Orioles vs. Mets: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Tuesday

  • Teams: Baltimore Orioles vs. NY Mets Mets
  • Date: Tuesday, September 15, 2026
  • Time: 7:10PM ET
  • Venue: Citi Field

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Orioles (+1.5, -170), Mets (-1.5, +170)
  • Moneyline: Orioles +122, Mets -125
  • Total (Over/Under): 8 runs (-105/-104)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Orioles: 41.6%
  • Mets: 58.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Orioles a win probability of 41.6%, while the Mets have a win probability of 58.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Mets are more likely to beat the Orioles in the MLB game at Citi Field on Tuesday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Orioles vs. Mets predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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